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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Rhetoric Effect of Ibn Al Faridh’s Poetry Counterparts: اسماء خليل ابراهيم, فرج منسي محمد
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 The Sufi poetry of Ibn Al-Faridh represents a true image of the spiritual  experience, in which he presented the bright aspects of  his experience, and his suffering in it, by formulating it in a poetic form, because the Sufi poetry is the result of an experience in which the Sufi seeks to achieve his goal of reaching the truth, and this is why Ibn Al-Faridh made his poetry a tool for expression on his own experience, the poet reflected his Sufi life in which he moved rhymes and weights.

   The poet Ibn Al-Faridh stands as a witness to his making of  Sufi poetry in the service of the purpose of who said, it is the embodiment of the Sufi journey in the stages, and the fluctuation in the places and si

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Effect of the activity of Boswellia Carterii extracts on preservation of ground meat
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The study aimed to know the effect of the use alcoholic ethanol extraction of Boswellia Carterii In prolonging the period of preservation cooled ground meat in 4C for 6 days, it has been mixing ground meat with 150,300,450 mg/ml of alcoholic extract Consecutive, Where (0 was the control sample), All samples were stored separately for 0 , 3 , 6 days in Refrigerator temperature 4 C, Conducted by some microbial tests, Results have shown that mixing the ground meat with Boswellia Carterii extraction Led to prolong the storage of meat for 6 days at 4 C .and the Best result came when adding alcoholic ethanol extract of Boswellia Carterii by 450mg/ml Which Equal 0.9 g ,that reducing microbial load more higher than 150&300 mg/ml. All of thes

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 11 2022
Journal Name
جامعة بغداد/ كلية التربية للعلوم الصرفة - ابن الهيثم
التفكير التخيلي وعلاقته بالقراءة الستراتيجية والتحصيل في مادة الرياضيات لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية
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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2024
Journal Name
نسق
تحليل اثر برامج تدريبية في مجال تطوير المهارات الاساسية للاعبات كرة القدم للنساء
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Publication Date
Sun Jun 21 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Detection of Aflatoxin B1 among Early and Middle Childhood Iraqi Patients
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      The study was conducted for the detection of Aflatoxin B1(AFB1) in the serum and urine of 42 early and middle childhood patients (26 male and  16 female ) with renal function disease, liver function disease, in additional to atrophy in the growth and other symptoms depending on the information within consent obtained from each patient, in addition to 8 children, apparently healthy, as  the control. The technique of HPLC was used for the detection of AFB1 from all samples. The results showed that out of 42 patient children, 19 (45.2%) gave positive detection of AFB1 in the serum among all age groups patients with a mean of 0.88 ng/ml and a range of (0.12-3.04) ng/ml. This was compared with the cont

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 27 2024
Journal Name
مؤسسة دار الصادق الثقافية
الجامعة ودورها في الحد من تعاطي المخدرات وتأثيرها على المدمنين (اسباب وحلول ومعالجات)
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ملخص البحث: تعتبر مشكلة تعاطي المخدرات من المشكلات التي تؤثر في بناء المجتمع وأفراده لما يترتب عليها من آثار اجتماعية واقتصادية ونفسية سيئة تنسحب على الفرد و على المجتمع، كما أنها ظاهرة اجتماعية مرضية تدفع إليها عوامل عديدة؛ بعضها يتعلق بالفرد والبعض الآخر بالأسرة والثالث بالبناء الاجتماعي ككل. وتعد ظاهرة انتشار المخدرات من الظواهر الأكثر تعقيدا وبارزة هذه الظاهر ة وإحدى مشكلات العصر، الشاملة في المجتمع، و

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
مؤتمرات الآداب والعلوم الانسانية والطبيعية
تحليل واقع السياسات التعليمة العربية المتبعة في التعليم العالي وامكانيات تطويرها والنهوض بها
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هذه الورقة البحثية تهدف الى مناقشة سبل تطوير التعليم العالي في العالم العربي والارتقاء به لخلق راسمال بشري وثقافي قادر على مواجهة تحديات العصر، فالتنمية الاقتصادية في العصر الحالي ما عادت تعتمد على المواد الاولية بل على القيمة الابداعية للانسان التي اصبحت اساسية في المنافسة الحالية بين الشعوب الانسانية و اصبح الفكر المبدع هو المنافس الحقيقي المهم حيث تصنع احدث الاجهزة الحديثة باحجام صغيرة ومواد اولية اقل

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
تجلیات اللغة الایحائیة في دعاء الصباح للامام علي بن ابي طالب (علیھ السلام)
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The literary aspect of any text reveals when it used The inspiration language
which reveals the creative aspect of language for the creator (writer) he in turn
will seek for the best choice from these aspects then, he will distribute them due
to their intention, and according to the their context
Thus, propagandistic text contains many moral features which the language
accord to thus , we found that the morning (dua al asbah)is full of creative
literary manifestations through many abstentions which happened in different
structures that contain the text, especially in structure of metaphor, and contrast.
we found many outstanding gaps and abstentions in these are given life, matter
that gives the text the most l

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
دور الاعتماد المزدوج للكلفة التاريخية والقيمة العادلة في تحقيق ملائمة وموثوقية البيانات المالية
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Performance measurement is considered one of the most important issues in

Measuring performance effectiveness in the educational institutions by maintaining balance among quantity measurable factors. They can be financial or non‐financial factors. Consequently they reflect decisive factors in the success of educational institutions and determining suitable standards and dimensions for their activities and giving it proportional importance. Adopting the idea of Balanced Score Card as one of the modern administrative techniques and methods by educational institutions assists in the development of administrative work, adjusting the performance in addition to achieving comprehensive standard and development of educational universit

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تقييم الأساليب و المؤشرات المالية في تحديد كفاءة وفاعلية وإصلاح أنظمة المؤسسات المصرفية
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تلعب المؤسسات المصرفية دورا مهما و رئيسيا في اقتصاد أي بلد من خلال قيامها في تعبئة مدخرات المجتمع و من ثم توجيهها نحو الفرص الاستثمارية المختلفة التي تزيد من معدلات النمو الاقتصادي و التوظيف الكامل للموارد وكما هو معروف  فأن الجهاز المصرفي يؤدي مهام اقتصادية تخضع للتغيرات المستمرة و على الرغم من ان وظائفه التقليدية لازالت على حالها ألا وهي قبول الودائع و منح القروض و التسهيلات الائتمانية نجد أن الوسائل و

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