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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
نظام الكوتا النسوية بوصفه مدخلاً لبناء المجتمع العادل : دراسة في تمكين المرأة الكوردستانية
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It could be said that the essence of the “quota” is the state’s intervene as external power in bringing positive change for the benefit of the disadvantaged women and cultural minorities, and from the perspective that compensatory justice requires dealing differently with the different parties culturally and economically for the benefit of those deprived of them. Practicing of quotas merely, does not mean the full achievement of equality between cultural and sexual components in general, but it’s a big leap towards achieving this crucial goal, since the latter necessarily requires a range of legal and non-legal mechanisms aimed at empowering women and expanding their capabilities as a whole. On the other hand, in the absence of a

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 04 2021
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات وبحوث اعلامية مسار
تعرض جمهور مدينة بغداد للقنوات الفضائية الاسلامية المتخصصة ودوره في غرس الثقافة الدينية
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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The tax planning and its effect on the investment: On sample of Iraqi Contribution Company
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The importance of the current study  lies in the  importance of the  Tax policy that  being considered one of the most important tools working on fulfilling  the  social,  financial  and economic  goals  and improving  the investment environment  in the country  to become  having the ability to  activate the  national economy. The current study  has  referred  that  (  Has  the  tax planning  practiced by  the Iraqi  contribution  companies  led to increase  the  far-term tax  outcome through  getting  benefit of   the monetary  funds  and expansion in&nbs

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
العنف الاسري وتأثيره على صحة الطفل بحث ميداني / في قضاء المدائن لمدينة بغداد
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Children are the victims most tragic and suffering among the other categories, particularly using the ugliest attacks by their families because of the Family pressures of economic and especially resulting from inadequate family income and other factors leading to domestic violence, for example, family disputes and the disintegration of the family, inequality and segregation between family members and the use of violence as a means to solve problems and this is what is reflected on the child's health due to the processes of socialization inadequate and contradictory and loose had not depend on the principles of punishment and reward and imponderables between soft and intensity of treatment and methods of interaction with the child would b

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
الأسطول والقوة البحریة في سلطنة عُمان خلال النصف الأول من القرن التاسع عشر
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Development and progress of the fleet and the navy in Oman during
the reign of Sultan Said bin sultan from 1804 to 1856.
It had second level in Arab Gulf and Indian Ocean during the first half
of nineteenth century. The fleet of Oman in this time became after British
fleet.
Several reasons were behind the development of Omani fleet
- First : The aim of Sultan Said was to built a large navy yard in Arab Gulf
and Indian Ocean to encourage him -to made many ships factories.
- Second: Arab Gulf and Indian Ocean within the reign of Sultan Said
wittinsed the confilicts and wars between different forces it drived Sultan Said
to built agood and strong navy.
- Third The main aim of Oman during the reign of Sultan

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Basic Education,
Effect of mycorrhiza ( Glomus mosseae ) and superphosphate on physiological characters of Hordeum vulgare
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Abstract An experiment was conducted to study the effect of Glomus mosseae and two concentration (21 and 42%) of super phosphate. They used either to be separated or together with inoculation of G. mosseae on physiological characters of Horeum Vulagera . The results showed that all treatment affected significantly especially super phosphate at the above concentration together with G. mosseae. The effects appeared as an increase in plant height , leaves area , dry weight of total plant , stem dry weight , leaves dry weight , tiller’s number , flag leaf area , dry weight of flag and also increased in CGR , RGR , RGR- NAR , LAI . The yield component increased in number of spikes, number of spikelet’s / spike, number of grain / spike, weigh

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
הסיפור העברי באמריקה ברבע השני של המאה ה-20 הסופר שמעון הלקין כדוגמה
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                                      הסיכום

          הסיפורת העברית באמריקה, הייתה קשורה בסביבה מסויימה. גם כן היא קשורה בנושאים מסויימים, ורובם היו מדברים על חיי היהודים באמריקה.

            דמותו של שמעון הלקין קבועה בנפשם של המבקרים כזו של משורר בעי

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of green strategy formulation processes on the adoption of green strategy areas at the functional level
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The research aims at demonstrating the role of the formulation of the green strategy in adopting the areas of the green strategy at the level of jobs in the municipal institutions in the province of Babylon, specifically the Directorate of the municipality of Hilla. The most important areas related to the green strategy were highlighted directly or indirectly, after the indicators of environmental damage emerged from the actions of companies and institutions. The research included a sample size of 222 individual of municipal institutions with different job titles and specializations between the technical and administrative and different levels of academic achievement within the institutions within the Ministry of Construction, Ho

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
إضواء وآراء حول واقع ومستقبل إدارة الموارد البشرية صعبة المراس في منظمات الأعمال
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The current researsh is aimed to pay attention on concept of human resources hard (Difficult) to manage. Such style of human resourcses has emerged to form anew challenge for busniess organizations.

Management such human resources entails first determing incentives of their behaviour models. Analyzing these models will be important to strategical management of them from work.

In nutshell, this researsh try to recommendation of contemporary literature about future of difficult (hard) human resources management.

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
السل االدكتور محمد حسن سلمان الحمامي ودورهُ في مكافحة مرض التدرن الرئوي (السل
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Mohammed Hassan Salman is one of the Iraqi national figures who put a clear mark to promote the health institution and to improve the Iraqi people, even it was written about him as "The man who struggled to fight the tuberculosis", He began to struggle against this social courage that has been killing hundreds of Iraqis since his joining of Association for combating tuberculosis in 1999 and his big role in the application of (B-C-G) for the first in Iraq.

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