Preferred Language
Articles
/
bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
...Show More Authors

The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

Scopus Clarivate Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Jan 07 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
دور دور العرب والمسلمون في نشر محاصيل الخضر والفواكه التي إلى دول العالم
...Show More Authors

     شهد العصر الذهبي للإسلام تحول أساسي في مجال الزراعة عرف باسم "الثورة الزراعية الإسلامية" أو" الثورة الخضراء"  أو "الثورة الزراعية العربية" ، وقد أتاح الوضع الاقتصادي العالمي الذي أسسه التجار المسلمون في جميع أنحاء العالم القديم ، نشر العديد من النباتات والتقنيات الزراعية بين أجزاء مختلفة من العالم ا

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
شواهد شواهد الضرورة الشعرية في كتاب شرح ابن عقيل على ألفية ابن مالك
...Show More Authors

The poetic necessity in evidence to explain Ibn Aqeel were not alike, came a statement from him as a necessity in some verses and the other came as abnormal, differentiating it from the language, but he never mentioned in some verses in which the need as a necessity,

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
اثر استخدام دورة التعلم في تحصیل طالبات مرحلة الرابع العام للمعلومات الفیزیائیة واستبقائھا
...Show More Authors

This research aims to reveal the impact of applying a teaching course in
gaining and preserving information by female students comparing with the
traditional method, through testing the two following hypotheses:
1. There is no difference with statistical significance at the level of
significance (0.05) between the average grades achieved by the
experimental group of female students taught using a teaching course,
and the control group of female students taught using the traditional
method.
2. There is no difference with statistical significance at the level of
significance (0.05) between the average grades achieved by the
experimental group of female students taught using a teaching course,
and the contro

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu May 21 2020
Journal Name
کلیة الآداب جامعة بغداد
أثر الرمز في تشكيل اللوحة الشعرية (شعر ديك الجن" 161 636 ه" انموذجا)
...Show More Authors

يرسم الشاعر صورة بالكلمات، ومتى ما تتابعت الصور صارت تمثل لوحة شعرية على قدر كبير من الفنية والابداع, وقد أكثر ديك الجن في شعره من هذه اللوحات ويلاحظ القارئ أن الرمز يعمل عملا مهما في تشكيل اللوحة، وظهرت أنواع متعددة من اللوحات منها اللوحة الرثائية, والغزلية, ومن الرموز التي وظفها ديك الجن رمز الظبي, رمز الديك, واستعمل رمز القبر وظهرت لوحات متنوعة في شعره، ومنها اللوحة الخمرية التي تجعل للخمرة احساسا ومشاعر وا

... Show More
View Publication
Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
المتغیرات الداخلیة والخارجیة المؤثرة على النظام السیاسي في باكستان ٢٠٠٩ - للمدة من ١٩٩
...Show More Authors

The research(the internal and external factors affecting the political system in
PAKISTAN) involves a series of effects interact both internally and external to affect the
stsbility of the political system.
Intrernally there are a lot of powers affecting the political map of PAKISTAN such as
military institution, political parties, judgement, religious schools……etc.of internal
factors, which represent one of the most important pressure points on the system.
Externally one of the most important external factors which affect internal stability is
Pakistani allision to USA in antiterrorism war. The Pakistani military institution was
involved in the war against Pakistani tribes leading to unstable security in Paki

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2005
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
الاحاسيس القومية والوطنية في الادب التركماني من خلال شعر ونثر الشاعر خضر لطفي
...Show More Authors

Vatan ve hürriyet aşkının ilk ve en Kuvvetli örneklerinden Türkmen topraklarında yetişen yüzlerce Şairlerden biri Hıdır Lütfü’dür. Düşmana yar, öz evladına ağyar, yumuşak tabiatlı, yardımı ve milletini seven bir insandır. Şairin duygusu her dem yükseklere yücelirdi. O bilgili bir şair olduğu için şiirinde türlü türlü bilgi ile ögütleri arkasında bırakmamış onun duygusu bir bulak gibi her dem durmadan coşardı.
Onun en çok sevdiği varlıklar yurdu ile ulusuydı, ve tek acısı onların ilerleme ile yükselemesi içın bir haykırıydı.
Şair her zaman yurdunun ufukunda dolaşıp ulusunun bugünkü ve geleck torunları için yanıklı duyguları ile bir yol gosterıci gibi olmuştur.

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Jan 05 2010
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
بعض الملاحظات على القانون رقم 35 لسنة 2007 قانون العمل الصحفي في كوردستان
...Show More Authors

بعض الملاحظات على القانون رقم 35 لسنة 2007 قانون العمل الصحفي في كوردستان

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Joint audit and its impact on the market value of firms listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange
...Show More Authors

The research aims to investigate the possibility of joint auditing in improving the market value of Iraqi companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. The sample was represented by 10 Iraqi companies listed in the Iraq market for the period from 2014-2017 (2 years before implementation and 2 years after implementation) and the research was based on the idea that joint auditing enhances investor confidence and raises their level of security as a result of providing quality and reliable reports, and thus This indicates good news in the market that reflects on the performance of stocks and the market value of companies that adopt joint auditing. The results of the analysis indicate an improvement in the market value, but this improv

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (2)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر برنامج تدريبي في تعديل سلوك الانسحاب الاجتماعي لدى المتخلفين عقليا تخلفا بسيطاً
...Show More Authors

الانسحاب الاجتماعي بغض النظر عن العوامل المسببة له قابل للعلاج حيث وضحت البحوث العلمية إمكانية الحد منه باستخدام أساليب تعديل السلوك .

وهو  نمط سلوكي شائع لدى معظم الفئات ان لم يكن كل فئات الاعاقة ،وينتج هذا النمط السلوكي الانسحاب الاجتماعي عن عوامل عدة فاذا الطفل يعاني من تلف في الجهاز العصبي المركزي فان هذا التلف قد يحول دون قيام الطفل بالنشاطات المطلوبة للعلاج. توضح البحوث العلمية ام

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Effect of Pre-Tension and Orientation on the Springback Behavior of the Sheet Brass 65-35
...Show More Authors

One of the most important phenomenon that occurs in sheet metal forming processes is the spring-back, which causes several geometrical alterations in the parts. The accurate prediction of springback after bending unloading is the key to the tool design, operation control, and precision estimate concerning the part geometry. This study investigated experimentally the effect of pretension in three rolling direction (0, 90, 45 degree) on the springback behavior of the yellow brass, sheet under V shape bending die. The pre-tension ranges from five different levels starting of 11% to 55% from the total strain in each rolling direction by regular increase of 11 %, then bent on a V-die 90 degree for the springback estimate. From experiment the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF