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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Isolation and identification of Bacillus stearothermophilus and study the inhibition effect of squeezed grape waste extract on it.: Isolation and identification of Bacillus stearothermophilus and study the inhibition effect of squeezed grape waste extract on it.
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The aim of this study was to know the inhibition activity of squeezed grape waste extract on Bacillus stearpthermophilus by using three different tempretures degree 40, 60 and 80c, in order to reduce the time exposure of food for preservation. This study include two branchs: First: isolation and identification of Bacillus stearothermophilus from soil, 5 sample were collected from the soil of the college agriculture/Baghdad university. Samples were cultured on nutrient agar, microscopic and culturing tests were conducted and many biochemical tests were done. The isolates were cultivated at 55 c and 65 c for differentiate it from Bacillus coagulans which is can't grow at 65 co. The c

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 23 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
رحلة الحاج الموريسكي بوي مونثون من إسبانيا إلى مكة المكرمة بعد تسليم مملكة غرناطة 897هـ - 1492م، دراسة في مضامين الرحلة "نماذج مختارة" دراسة في مضامين الرّحلة "نماذج مختارة"
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Day after day, Morsek literature 879-1018/1492-1609proves the completion of all literary branches starting from poetry with its different purposes to include prose with its various subjects. In 2016, a complete text of ‘the literature of Morsek journeys

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
التأثيرات النفسية للعنف المسلح على الاطفال من خلال التعبير الفن في رسومهم
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مشكلة البحث:

يبقى الفن ولا زال في جميع حالات التعاقب البشري ومراحل التطور الانساني الاكثر انطلاقة وتميزاً في التعبير عن واقع الانسان وعن مشاعره وانفعالاته وافكاره ذات الصلة بتأثيرات البيئة المحيطة به.

والفن ولاسيما (الرسم) يمثل وسيلة من وسائل التعبير الفني بل يكاد يكون الرسم وسيلة الانسان الاولى التي عبر فيها بخطوط مرئية عن مجالات حياته وعلاقته بالبيئة التي عاش فيها، ويقينا

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 06 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الممارسات التدريسية لتدريسي أقسام كليات التربية جامعة بغداد في ضوء دوافع التعلم
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Find aimed to reveal the teaching practices of the teaching faculties of education departments of the University of Baghdad in the light of the motives of learning from the perspective of students . Researcher selected the research community in a deliberate humanitarian sections of students and faculties of education for girls and IbnRushd . Ed reached basic research sample ( 400 ) students were numbers search tool questionnaire , and included (30) paragraph . In processors statistical data , use the weighted average and the weight percentile , results have shown that it is more paragraphs which received wide acceptance from the viewpoint of students ( do not make fun of the students' answers wrong but corrects and discussed with them )

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
أثر التوجيه بتأثيرأشعة الشمس على التطور العمراني للشوارع التجارية في مدينة بغداد
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Publication Date
Mon Feb 28 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Goal Conflict among Twelfth-Grade Students based on Gender and Major
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The aim of the current study is to identify the level of goal conflict with twelfth-grade students in South Sharqiah/ Sultanate of Oman according to gender and specialization. The study used the descriptive method. A scale of (28) items was developed and divided into six dimensions: time pressure, goal achievement, limit of power, limit of budget, incompatible strategies, and unclear task. To validate the scale, it was piloted (40) students. The scale was administered to a sample of (402) students (209) males in the Governorate of South Sharqiah. The results showed that the conflict level was high in “unclear task”, and an average conflict level in “limit of power”. Other dimensions (goal achievement, time pressure, limit of powe

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Investigating the Mastering of the Pronunciation of Weak and Strong Forms of English Function Words
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    The weak and strong forms are so called because it is not their lexical content that primary matter, but the role they have in the sentence. The problematic confusion, our students encounter, in recognizing and producing the correct pronunciation of weak and strong forms of the English function words is the main incentive behind conducting  this study. In order to gather the data, this paper used two types of tests: a recognition test and a production test. The general results reached  through the analysis of the students' answers seem to conform to the researcher's assumption: students face a critical problem in recognizing and producing correct pronunciation of the weak and strong forms of the English funct

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 27 2018
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Experimental Study on Doweled Expansion Joints on Behavior for Plain Concrete Pavement System
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This paper deals with load-deflection behavior the jointed plain concrete pavement system using steel dowel bars as a mechanism to transmit load across the expansion joints. Experimentally, four models of the jointed plain concrete pavement system were made, each model consists of two slabs of plain concrete that connected together across expansion by two dowel bars and the concrete slab were supported by the subgrade soil. Two variables were dealt with, the first is diameter of dowel bar (12, 16 and 20 mm) and the second is type of the subgrade soil, two types of soil were used which classified according to the (AASHTO): Type I (A-6) and type II (A-7-6). Experimental results showed that increasing dowel bar diameter from 12 mm to 20 mm

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 30 2018
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
الرواة الذين خرج لهم البخاري في صحيحه وجرحهم ابن حبان دراسة نقدية
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Since the early ages, scientists have been keen on the second source of Islamic law, namely the hadith of the Prophet. They also took from the less disciplined narrators, but they chose from their conversations a selection, and for this some prominent narrators who can be considered that Ibn Habban has been hardened to weaken them. Narrators who avoided Ibn Habban novel They are not true because Ibn Habban neglected her and left her to hurt some narrators who are confident in themselves

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 21 1930
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Quelques raisons du total et son impact sur l'interprétation du Coran: Study of explanatory models
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The reasons for the totality are varied and multiple, some of which are attributed to the methods of the Arabic language as the participant
Verbal and omnipotent differences in the oud of conscience, which are comprehensive reasons for language in all
And some of these reasons are due to the sciences of the Qur'an, such as cessation and initiation
The explanation of the explanation for the multiplicity of words and differences in them, which necessarily led to a dispute jurisprudence
Linked to the origin of disagreement in the interpretation of the totality and its orientation and understanding and to summarize this subject and diverge
Parts and vocabulary did not receive the necessary care and did not absorb the lesson an

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