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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 31 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The relationship between the rule of mental improvement and ugliness and the objectives of Sharia And its impact on rulings
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The research addresses a fundamental Islamic jurisprudential Purposeful issue, which is (Sharia), and to indicate the impact of this on Islamic jurisprudence, deriving rulings and extracting purposes, and to repel the illusion that this issue is only doctrinal, and clarifying the aspects of similarities and links between them by explaining the origin of deriving the purposes of Islamic Law (Sharia) through the meanings and wisdom learned from the texts and the explanation of the rulings. The rulings of Islamic Law (Sharia) have urged bringing benefits and repelling harms, and that the path to do so is reason and its production. I began the research by defining the purposes of Islamic Law (Sharia), then defining the rule of rational right

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 04 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effect of the Problem Based Learning on EFL Learners’ Achievement
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The present study discusses the problem based learning in Iraqi classroom. This method aims to involve all learners in collaborative activities and it is learner-centered method. To fulfill the aims and verify the hypothesis which reads as follow” It is hypothesized that there is no statistically significant differences between the achievements of Experimental group and control group”. Thirty learners are selected to be the sample of present study.Mann-Whitney Test for two independent samples is used to analysis the results. The analysis shows that experimental group’s members who are taught according to problem based learning gets higher scores than the control group’s members who are taught according to traditional method. This

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 18 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
رعاية الايوبييـن للعلـم والعلمـاء في مصـر وبـــــلاد الشـــــــام (567-648هـ/1171-1250م)
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The Ayyub era witnessed a popular for science, knowledge and became the Ayyub state in its various regions a scientific beacon، despite their preoccupation with wars with the Crusaders now that did not discourage them from their care for science and scientists، and this scientific renaissance had many factors، foremost of which are the tendencies of the sultans and Ayyub kings to pay attention to science and its care، through their establishment of the role of science

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Self-rhythm of the Belenoby Poet
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Al- belenoby , Andalusian obscure poet .I choose to study poetic rhythm in this poetic and the appropriateness of with what  rhythm touring in his self to give beautiful meaning raise to receiver to put the hands of continental placements creativity in poetry .I divided my research into ideas are presented in a sequential manner , I started researching with poetic rhyme than rhyme they represent the form of the poem, they represent the external form of the poem and their music that farm the general concept then the rhetorical styles that represent the internal form of the poem and it music that the listener works and enjoying it part by part all this led to the put the hands of the receiver placement creativity in Belenoby Poet.&nbs

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
أجـــــوبة الحافظ محمد البرزالي على سؤالات العز ابن الحاجب في الجرح والتعديل
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ملخص البحث بالعربي

عنوان البحث : أجـــــوبة الحافظ محمد البرزالي على سؤالات العز ابن الحاجب في الجرح والتعديل

يهدف البحث : إلى جمع أجوبة الحافظ أبي عبدالله محمد البرزالي في الجرح والتعديل، ودراستها.

يتكون البحث من : مقدمة، وتمهيد، نص السؤالات، وخاتمة، وفهارس.

المقدمة : تسمية الموضوع، وسبب اختياره، وأهميته .

والتميهد : ترجمة مختصرة للحافظ أبي عبدالله البرزالي، والتعريف بأجوبة الحافظ الب

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
القيادة التربوية في ضوء نظريتي x-yوعلاقتها بالروح المعنوية لمديري المدارس الإعدادية
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This study aimed to identify the educational leadership in the light of my theory xy and its relationship to the morale of the managers of the junior high school as the study population consisted of directors of junior high school in the city of Baghdad of six directorates education for the academic year 2013-2014 AD The number of managers (211) as director, and amounted to a sample Search of (150) director and director of the research community overall rate (71%) and represent this community fully representative sample, two tools were used in the study: the first measure of educational leadership in the light of my theory xy and the second tool to gauge morale.

Results concluded that the

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
An Analytical Study of the Impact of Military Spending on the Chinese Economy Growth for the Period (1990-2018)
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     The increase in military spending has become a feature of the times for many countries, including China. They have sought to increase their defence spending, not with the aim of domination and possession, but rather to protect their economic interests and to secure their foreign trade. The research aims to identify the impact of military spending by studying the nature of defence spending and its role in providing security. And stability and facilitating foreign investment in it, as well as storming the military industry, securing some humanitarian supplies, and participating in a variety of public works that can be used in the civil and military fields, and the aim of the research is to id

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 25 2018
Journal Name
وقائع مؤتمر
تطبيقات انماط قيادة التعقيد في المؤسسات المستندة على المعرفة (التعليم العالي انموذجاً)
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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2005
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
عرض رسائل واطاريح (اثر التواجد العسكري الامريكي على النظام السياسي في العراق)
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اثر التواجد العسكري الامريكي على النظام السياسي في العراق

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 30 2025
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية الأساسية للعلوم التربوية والإنسانية
سمات الشخصية المفضلة لدى معلمي ومعلمات التربية الخاصة في العراق (دراسة عاملية)
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يستهدف البحث الحالي التعرف إلى 1 .بناء مقياس سمات الشخصية المفضلة لدى معلمي ومعلمات التربية الخاصة في العراق من وجهة نظر ذوي اإلختصاص والعاملين في هذا المجال. 2 .مستوى توافر سمات الشخصية المفضلة لدى معلمي ومعلمات التربية الخاصة في العراق من وجهة نظر ذوي اإلختصاص والعاملين في هذا المجال. 3 .داللة الفروق اإلحصائية في سمات الشخصية المفضلة لدى معلمي ومعلمات التربية الخاصة ً في الع ارق من وجهة نظر ذوي اإلختصاص والعا

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