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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 02 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
توظيف رســوم الاطفال كوحدات تصميمية تعليمية في اقمشة ستائر رياض الاطفال
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مشكلة البحث

ان التصميم هو توالد افكار عدت اساس له حيث انها اشياء لها معنى لامور اقتضت الايعاز باعداد هذه التصاميم، اما المصمم فهو الشخص الملم بمباديء واسس التصميم من اجل تنفيذ هذه الافكار بطرق علمية مدروسة، الا ان هناك سؤالا يطرح هل بالامكان لاي شخص ان يرسم فكرة تصميمية؟

الجواب هو نعم فالتصميم ليس مقتصرا على المصمم فحسب بل ان باستطاعة أي شخص ان يعبر عن ما بداخله من افكار سواء ك

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مصادر مصادر القانون الدولي في الألفية الثانية ق.م (أواخر عصر البرونز)
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 In the second millennium BC, the international community change at the ancient Near East, There has been a significant developments with the appearance of five kingdoms (Babylon, Assyria, Mitanni, Egypt, and Hatti) called themselves the (Great Powers) and their kings named (Great King), and Correspondence among themselves on behalf of (the brothers),  to differentiate themselves from the small kingdoms Minor of them.

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
أثر تحليل كلف النوعية على أساس الانشطة في تحقيق الميزة التنافسية
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يتطلب تحقيق تمايز الوحدة الاقتصادية في ظل استعمال تقنيات الأعمال الحديثة وازدياد المنافسة وعالمية الأعمال ضرورة الاهتمام بمستوى نوعية المنتجات وما تتطلبه هذه النوعية من كلف والتي تسمى بكلف النوعية، إذ ان العديد من الشركات العالمية قد قامت بدراسة وتحليل هذه الكلف ووضع برامج خاصة بها بهدف تخفيضها إلى أدنى حدٍ ممكن وبما يكفل تحقيق العديد من المنافع والتوفيرات في هذه الكلف وبما يرشد عملية اتخاذ القرارات

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Comparación entre los dos gigantes de la literatura universal "Miguel de Cervantes y William Shakespeare"
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The literature in general, such as the spanish literature as british literature presence lot of literary figures giant that managed its continuing work that leaves lasting impression and clear in all fields of literary world throughout history, among these writers giants can remind great writer spanish (Miguel de Cervantes) and the great british writer (William Shakespeare), this study is about them.

We can say that there are a lot of studies , works and gossip , whether literary or non- literary show how the close relationship that bound both Cervantes and William Shakespeare, although they did not meet personally never, it was not able to critics that the sweep of the differences and similarities that was between the two, becau

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 05 2010
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
دور المراكز البحثية في الحياة السياسية وصنع القرار السياسي الخارجي الامريكي
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دور المراكز البحثية في الحياة السياسية وصنع القرار السياسي الخارجي الامريكي

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر العصف الذهني في تحصيل طلبة الصف الثاني متوسط بمادة التاريخ
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أولاً : مشكلة البحث :

أن مشكلة البحث تتمثل بوجود حاجة لتحسين الطرائق والأساليب المتبعة في التدريس ولذلك اتجهت البحوث في مجال التربية وعلم النفس إلى تحديد طرائق التدريس المناسبة لتطوير التفكير.         

ومن هذه الأساليب الحديثة  العصف الذهني بوصفها من اكثر الطرق التي قد  تؤدي إلى تحفيز الطلبة وأثاره القدرات الإبداعية لديهم في حقول التربية والتعليم وا

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
International business particularly that centered on foreign direct investment
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:  

While practicing of International business particularly that centered on foreign direct investment, let on one side, to achieving objectives of transnational corporations specially that represented in continuous pursue to improving its cash flows and maximization of stockholders wealth which is considered the most important objective to the transnational corporations, but in the same time its lead, on other side, to increasing the foreign exchange risk exposuring these corporations. So, the transnational corporations (TNCs) struggling to make strategies which are dealing in smart way, with this risk and its management in way that enable to avoiding risk comple

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 13 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
سياسة النبي محمد (ص) الحكيمة في معالجة أحداث غزوة بني المصطلق
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 تعد دراسة التراث العلمي العربي من الدراسات التي تلقي الضوء على التطور التاريخي للعلوم العربية وما أنجزته العقلية العربية في هذا الميدان للمدة التاريخية التي ابتدأت بعصر صدر الإسلام وانتهت بالخلافة ويرى الكثير من العلماء سواء كان

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 02 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The effect of 5555 strategy on reading comprehension among 4th preparatory students
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The effect of 5555 strategy on reading comprehension among 4th preparatory students Assist. Prof. Dr. Hassan Khilbas Hammadi College of Education Ibn Rushd – The University of Baghdad Assistant Lecturer. Waleed Khaled Talib Directorate – General For Education Province Of AL - Anbar The purpose of study is to identify the effect of 5555 strategy on reading comprehension among 4th preparatory students. To do this, null hypothesis was postulated. The author hypothesize that there is no a statistically significant difference at (0.05) level between experimental group's scores who study reading comprehension subject following the 5555 strategy and control group's scores who study the same subject following the traditional method in readin

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
About The Run Length Properties for ( Cumulative Sum(Cusum) and The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA)) control charts for Poisson Distribution
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     In this study, we investigate about the run length properties of cumulative sum (Cusum) and The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts, to detect positive shifts in the mean of the process for the poisson distribution with unknown mean. We used markov chain approach to compute the average and the standard deviation for run length for Cusum and EWMA control charts, when the variable under control follows poisson distribution. Also, we used the Cusum and the EWMA control charts for monitoring a process mean when the observations (products are selected from Al_Mamun Factory ) are identically and independently distributed (iid) from poisson distribution i

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