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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
دوگانه ای متضاد ( خیر ضد شر ) در شعر فارسی ( بر رسی انتقادی وتحلیلی )
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The conflicting duality of goodness and evil has a psychological effect on the life of humans, the nature of human beings is originally goodness whereas the tendency of evil flows from the society, therefore the first who found a meaning of evil on earth is kabeel when he quarreled fiercly with his brother who carried in himself all the meanings of goodness and toierance.

 

    In this paper of mine we find that Robaayat Al khayam carries a poetic content of a special meaning in that every expression reflects semantic relationship (the good played a part in the formation lies with and the evil) of which its foundation lies with the human personality (soul), and he (the poet) a scribes it to matters of

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 06 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
استخدام استخدام نظم المعلومات الجغرافية في الدراسات الاثارية ( تنقيبات جامعة الموصل).
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GIS is characterized by great potentialeties to deal with huge geographical data and conclude what is necessary for it. It was very useful to get use of the potentialities of this system of GIS in the field of archaeology and to harvest very accurate results in a relatively short time, compared to the old archaeological methods.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Hicri Dede (1877-1952)
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Asil adi Mahmeut olup mashlasi “ Hicrî “ dir . Ihvânî “ zümresine intisabi dolayısiyle “ Dede “ Lakabiyle anılır . Takriben  H. 1297 yılında Kerkük ‘ te doğmuş . Babası  H. 1305 Senesinde vefat eden Molla Ali Efendi ‘ dir .

       Dedesi Nazîrî dede ise zamanmin ileri gelen şâirlerinden olup kayser adli bir oğludur .  (1)

        Diğer bir kaynağa gore “ Hicrî  Dede H. 1295 yılında Kerkük ‘te doğamuştur . Tanınmış şâir Nazîrî Dede ‘ nin torunudur . Babası Molla Ali Efendidir” . (2)

      

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 04 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Social Factors for Delaying the Age of Marriage among Working-Women at the University of Baghdad
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The phenomenon of delayed marriage triggered the intention of most researchers and specialists to reveal the social factors associated with the spread of this phenomenon in order to identify the characteristics of that phenomenon and the social factors resulting from it. Thus, the current research aims to identify the social factors most related to the delay in marriage age among working-women at the University of Baghdad, represented by family factors, economic factors-professional, psychological factors – subjective, and environmental factors. The researcher also aims to identify the differences in social factors associated with late marriage age for working women at the University of Baghdad in terms of the type of profession (teach

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
السلوك القیادي لدى الاطفال الایتام واقرانھم غیر الایتام في المرحلة الابتدائیة
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The family is considered one of the most important social institutions which has a
strong and clear effect on the child in forming his personality through the process
of social upbringing which works on transforming the child from a merely
biological being into an individual who has customs and traditions and the behavior
of the group to which he belongs, and till now there is no social organization or
institution that can do this process not even in partial way like the family
.Therefore depriving the child of his parents leads to depriving him of the normal
chances of growth which relate to his age stage and thus this shortcoming is hard to
treat and based on the preceding the current research aimed at the follo

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 06 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
الصناعة وأثرها في بلاد المشرق الإسلامي خلال العصر العباسي 132- 656هـ
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The process of doing many kinds of industries , crafts , professions around Islamic Arabian State , they enable us to say that Arab Muslims over their homelands had been occupied various types of crafts and manufacturing before emergence Islam . Moreover Islam encouraged to work within manufacture field . And These matters were clarified through verses of the Holy Qur’an and honored prophetic guidance ( Sunna  )  . Whereas Arab Muslims applied principle “ Free of Business “  . They admitted to different social groups such as pact – fellows people  to profession or craft which they desire to work . We have to not forget that Arab Muslims had broken all restraints and shackles which had restricted the worker bef

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 15 2023
Journal Name
مجلة الدراسات المستدامة
الأمثلة النحوية المصنوعة عند عبد العليم ابراهيم في كتابه النحو الوظيفي
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كانت االمثمة ومازالت الػسيمة الػحيجة واالىع في ايزاح القػاعج الشحػية قجيسا وحجيثا ، فالسثال ىػ الصخيقة التي بػاسصتيا يفيع الستعمع ما يخيج ان يػصمو السعمع ، فالذخح الكثيخ والدخد ال يػصل الى بيان القاعجة مالع يعدز باالمثمة . وليحا فان اختيار السثال السشاسب في السكان السشاسب ال يتع بصخيقة عذػائية اذا يشبغي ان يكػن السثال ذا معاييخ ومػاصفات تشاسب السقام الحي قيمت فيو . مغ ىشا جاء ىحا البحث ليبيغ ما السػاصفات الت

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 15 2019
Journal Name
مجلة الحقيقة
الحماية القانونية للأراضي الرطبة في ضوء اتفاقية رامسار) الأهوار العراقية نموذجاً (
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
المجلة القانونية العلمية المحكمة
الدور القانوني للحوافز الضريبية في تحقيق التراكم الراسمالي(العراق ومصر انموذجا)
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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Educational and psychological adjustment among hostel's students at Omer al-mokhtar University
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Educational and psychological adjustment considered to be one of the effective and serious matters at people dealings and behaviors. Generally, psychological adjustment reflects positively on an individual mental health and their capability to be creative at their field. In contrast to those people who lack this feature. As for educational adjustment, it refers to the compatibility and harmony between an individuals and people around. Thus, these features should be available among students particularly those who stay in students' hostel since they live far from their families. The findings of study revealed that there is Educational and psychological adjustment between male and female. Besides, significant differences were showed

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