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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
مفھوم الامانة في التراث الأدبي للامام علي ( علیھ السلام ) - دراسة تحلیلیة
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the boot of honesty in the dictionary the term linguistic and religious
heritage, literary and Islamic Sufi thought, and concept in the literature of Imam
Ali, peace is upon him. And studied the summary first concerns its presence in the
literature and implications and directions, either the second part, has cared for the
analytical study has found research that safe weight was the counterpart of the
personality of the Imam accompanied the character most prominent in his
character, namely, (courage), it has struggled to deliver a impact of humanity in his
time and after the word and deed, It was based on the imagination in the formation
of images sensual and intellectual, to his persuasion of the evidence and argu

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2024
Journal Name
المجلة العراقية للعلوم السياسية
التغيرات المناخية واثرها على المرأة العراقية: دراسة في الاسباب وضرورات الاستجابة
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تعد التغيرات المناخية قضية بيئية عالمية وشاغلاً مشتركاً للبشرية وهي نتيجة حتمية للتطور الحضاري، لاسيما بعد قيام الثورة الصناعية، فقد كان الاستهلاك غير العقلاني لموارد الطبيعة والتوسع العمراني على حساب المساحات الخضراء آثار خطيرة على المناخ الذي يعد من اهم عناصر البيئة الطبيعية لما له من اثر واضح على كافة مجالات الحياة. على صعيد الحالة العراقية يواجه العراق تحديات عدة يفرضها تغير المناخ كارتفاع درجات الحرا

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
ملامح معاییر نقدیة في مقامة الشعراء (الموفیة) للسرقسطي ت ٥٣٨ ھ
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Stop and stop Alsergsti classed many of the characteristics of great poets and
literary arts and persuasions, in Mqamth cash cash Antzmtha three criteria: the
standard of Islam and the standard time, and Maaartadd purposes of poetry. This
has had its effect on lighting stand many of the goals of the poets and their
attitudes.
The first criterion: Those who study the positions of Alsergsti to poetry and
poets must be discerned his money comes from the spirit of Islam as a religion and
creed and a system, a position that is encouraging him wherever expressed, such as
the Muslim community the new values, away from the vulgarity, which contributed
to the formulation of the standard of religious poetry criticism.

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2006
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
عرض كتاب (وهم التحكم : القوة والسياسة الخارجية في القرن الحادي والعشرين)
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عرض كتاب (وهم التحكم : القوة والسياسة الخارجية في القرن الحادي والعشرين)

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Relations Of Design And The Role Of It Making The Idea For Fashion Design: فرات جمال العتابي
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Any design subject to a set of forces contributing to the establishment of relations working to strengthen the internal elements of the design; any imbalance in these elements can make a fragmented and weak design, thus preventing it from achieving the goal or performance. Poor performance can be attributed to various factors: the extent and function of the elements and principles in the design, realization of the idea, especially in fashion design.
Moreover, there are many aspects of a design that go into achieving the realization of the designer’s idea. The design utilizes a lot of stimulants by drawing attention to its design, which is consistent with the need for psychological and material individuals. In this research, we will

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 31 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
The influence of no-core fibre length on the sensitivity Optical fibre Humidity sensor
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Abstract: Reflection optical fibre Humidity sensor is presented in this work, which is based on no core fibre prepared by splicing a segment of no core fibre (NCF) at different lengths 1-6 cm with fixed diameter 125 µm and a single mode fibre (SMF). The range of humidity inside the chamber is controlled from 30% to 90% RH at temperature ~ 30 °С. The experimental result shows that the resonant wavelength dip shift decreases linearly with an increment of RH% and the sensitivity of the sensor increased linearly with an increasing in the length of NCF. However, a high sensitivity 716.07pm/RH% is obtained at length 5cm with good stability and reputability.  Furthermore, the sensor is shif

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنهج المنهج الأدبي في كتاب "أدب الكتاب" للصولي (ت335هـ) دراسة منهجية
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It is summarized that Abu-Baker Al-Soly is one of Arabic Muslim scientists who had special style in literary writing specifically in sciences and knowledge that had depended on the encyclopedia culture gained from various fields of science , this means that he was an individual who had participated to characterize features of Islamic –Arabic history enhanced the rules of it , this matter would encourage us to know the method and style of writing in the field of intellectual life in which the writer depended on the procedures direction of scientists that he lived in the Abbasid era .

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنهج المنهج القرآني في تربية الأبناء بالحوار ( دراسة تفسيرية ـــ موضوعية )
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Quran orders and commandments and principles, has avenged children, their status and dearest, and saved their lives, which reached ill before Islam, and filled the hearts of the fathers and mothers for their love, but to make them embellish life.

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
جدلية التنظرية في الذاكرة المنظمة بين متاهة النماذج الصناعية وواقعيةالنموذج الهجين
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جدلية التنظرية في الذاكرة المنظمة بين متاهة النماذج الصناعية وواقعيةالنموذج الهجين

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Stress and Its Associated Factors among Students of the College of Nursing University of Baghdad
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Objectives: The current study aims at identifying the level of perceived stress among nursing college students and determining the factors associated with stress they have. Methodology: A cross-sectional descriptive study initiated for the period on November 1st, 2014 to May 1st, 2015. The study has been conducted on the undergraduate nursing college students / University of Baghdad. The sample of the study was consisted of (128) students who were selected purposively. The questionnaire of the study was adopted and modified for the present study which consisted of socio-demographic data and the scale of

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