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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
LA LITTÉRATURE RÉDUCTIBLE Analyse critique de l’exploitation du texte littéraire dans Le « Mauger Bleu »
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RÉSUMÉ                                                    

            LeMauger Bleu est une méthode emblématique de l’enseignement traditionnel, qui présente une littérature française riche et patrimoniale, et dont l’objectif est de faciliter l’accès au texte par le vocabulaire et la grammaire et d’étendre la culture générale et littéraire de l’apprenant. La démarche (traditionnelle) est toujours la même : le texte, le vocabulaire et la grammaire, la traduct

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
الحیوانات والطیور والحشرات والزواحف في كتاب الفندیداد (احد كتب الافستا الزردشتیة)
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The book of Alphendidad is considered as an important part of the holy book of
Avesta in the Zoroastrian religion. It is a religious and urbanization book that consists of a
number of chapters dealing with the creation. The book includes 22 chapters, mostly edited
as a dialogue between Ahuaramzda the god of goodness and his prophet Zoroaster. The
biggest chapter deals with the rules of purification of vices of the devil and dismissing it of
the places around, hence it is the book of law of Zoroastrian about the important animals,
birds , insects, and reptiles and their categorization according to their creation; creatures of
the spirit of goodness and creatures of the spirit of evilness.
Some of these creatures ar

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
المتغیرات الجدیدة في سیاسة روسیا الاتحادیة تجاه منطقتي آسیا الوسطى والقوقاز
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Federal Russia remains the central player in the space of post-Soviet Union,
particularly in the regions of Middle Asia and the Caucasus , which set standard for
the local transformations of the two regions.
The Russian concern continued about the shift of power in the
world, as long as Russia is concerned with limiting the action of the United States
in the area in which Russia sees as vital area to its national interests. Russia's
nationalists play a main role in reviving Russia's influence in Middle Asia as a vital
area and the natural ally of Russia, but without resorting to the old ways of using
the threat of military force.
The idea of the return of Russia as a superpower in the global arena in
Middle

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 13 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Nurses Knowledge and Performance Toward Physical Restraint at Critical Care Units
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      Abstract:

Objective: The study was done to evaluate nurses’ knowledge and practices toward physical restraint at critical care unit

Methodology: Fifty nurses, who were selected by a non-probability (convenient) sampling method, participated in this descriptive study. The instrument of the study was knowledge parts of the questionnaire were initially developed in the U.S.A for nursing homes; in 2006 they were adopted for all hospital units by the original developers. The knowledge section of the questionnaire consisted of 20 items, which were used to measure knowledge of nurses towards the definition, indications and contra

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Study the Effect of Multilayer Single Point Incremental Forming on Residual Stresses for Bottom Plates
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Abstract

 

Knowing the amount of residual stresses and find technological solutions to minimize and control them during the production operation are an important task because great levels of deformation which occurs in single point incremental forming (SPIF), this induce highly non-uniform residual stresses. In this papera propose of a method for multilayer single point incremental forming with change in thickness of the top plate (0.5, 0.7, 0.9) mm and lubrication or material between two plates(polymer, grease, grease with graphite, mos2) to knowing an effect of this method  and parameters on residual stresses for the bottom plates. Also compare these results for the

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
المشكلات التي تعاني منها المرأة العراقية الأرملة في ظل الظروف الراهنة
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This research aims at identifying problems  that the  Iraqi widow woman suffers from. The research is limited to a Sample of terrorism victims widows which is up to (70) widows from Al-Amal center for widows and orphans care in Baghdad.                                                                                <

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 08 2022
Journal Name
مجلة حمورابي
العقيدة العسكرية للمنظمات الارهابية الحرب اللامتماثلة في العراق عام 2014 انموذحا
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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The poetry of the sensory image of Ibn Dannir al-Musli poems (B627 H.)
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تُعبّرُ الصُّورةُ الحسَّيةُ في شعرِ ابن دُنَينير الموصليِّ([i]) في بنيتها عن تجربةِ الشاعرِ الوجدانيةِ والذهنيةِ, وأفكارهِ ومشاعرِهِ؛ فيصوغُ بها مَفهومًا جديدًا للواقعِ الماديِّ والمعنويِّ، الذي يتسمُ بالوضوحِ أولاً، وبالقرْبِ من الذهنِ ثانيًا، للربْطِ بين الحواسِّ الإنسانيةِ والمعاني الذهنيةِ، لِتُقَدِّمَ الصُّورةُ الحسيَّةُ إلى ((المتلقي صُورًا مرئيةً، يُعادُ تشكيلُها سياق

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
آليات حوكمة الشركات التي تؤثر في اتخاذ المدقق الداخلي للقرار الاخلاقي
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اصبح لمجالس الادارة في الشركات دوراً حاسماً في تعزيز الحوكمة الفاعلة، كونها تتحمل المسؤولية النهائية عن نظم الرقابة الداخلية في شركاتها، ويلعب التدقيق الداخلي دوراً اساسياً في مساعدة تلك المجالس على القيام بمهمات الحوكمة. ولهذا يبذل مجمع المدققين الداخليين الامريكي جهداً كبيراً في توجيه اعضاءه ليكونوا متخصصين في اصول حوكمة الشركات وتحسين وتقوية اخلاقيات العمل وسلامة المنظمة.

لذا فإن ا

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 02 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تأثير الإشارات في استرجاع معلومات نص أدبي لدى طلبة كلية الهندسة
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أهمية البحث والحاجة إليه :

      يعد نسيان المثيرات المعلوماتية التي يتعلمها أو يطلع عليها الفرد في حياته من المشكلات التي يعاني منها الأفراد في جميع مناحي الحياة وليس في مجال الدراسة الأكاديمية فحسب. وبالتالي فان هناك حاجة ملحة ومهمة لابتداع طرائق ووسائل وإمكانيات يمكن عن طريقها التقليل من نسيان المثيرات المعلوماتية المختلفة التي يتعلمها الفرد في حياته اليومية.

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