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استخدام المحاكاة للمفاضلة بين بعض الطرائق الحديثة لنموذج GM(1,1) لايجاد القيم المفقودة و تقدير المعلمات مع تطبيق عملي
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The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values ​​in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2020
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم الاقتصادية والإدارية
تقدير دالة البقاء بأستعمال الخوارزمية الجينية
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ان تحليل البقاء هو عبارة عن تحليل البيانات التي تكون في شكل اوقات من اصل الوقت حتى حدوث حدث النهاية ، وفي البحوث الطبية يكون اصل الوقت هو تاريخ تسجيل المفردة او المريض في دراسة ما مثل التجارب السريرية لمقارنة نوعين من الدواء او اكثر اذا كانت نقطة النهاية هي وفاة المريض او اختفاء المفردة فالبيانات الناتجة من هذه العملية تسمى اوقات البقاء اما اذا كانت النهاية هي ليست الوفاة فالبيانات الناتجة تسمى بيانات الوقت ح

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-adab Journal
التدخل المبكر لنموذج دنفر (Denver) لتنمية المهارات الاجتماعية لدى أطفال التوحد الافتراضي
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هدفت الدراسة إلى بناء برنامج التدخل المبكر نموذج دنفر على وفق أساليب معرفية سلوكية، والتعرف على اثر البرنامج في تنمية المهارات الاجتماعية لدى أطفال التوحد الافتراضي ولتحقق من هذا الهدف وضعت الباحثة الفرضية الآتية لا توجد فروق ذو دلاله إحصائية بين متوسط رتب درجات أفراد المجموعة التجريبية في التطبيقين القبلي والبعدي على المقياس (CARS2-ST). اقتصر البحث الحالي على الأطفال من ذوي اضطراب التوحد الافتراضي المسجل

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مقارنة طرائق تقدير معلمات دالة الشدة لعمليات بواسون غير المتجانسةمقارنة طرائق تقدير معلمات دالة الشدة لعمليات بواسون غير المتجانسةمقارنة طرائق تقدير معلمات دالة الشدة لعمليات بواسون غير المتجانسة
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This research deals with parameters estimation methods for the intensity function of non homogeneous poisson processes , it aims to estimate parameters of this function throughout three methods which are maximum likelihood method , moment method and shurnkage method using simulation method.

In order to achive the best method, several assumed values for parameters of intensity function have been adopted  using sample size of 
(14, 25, 50, 100) .Results of estimation showed that the estimation over the estimation method , of maximum likelihood and moment .

  This estimation gain the least mean of squares error for the above samples .

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 15 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Moral Value in Iraqi Society between Change and Constant
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The problem of constant and change values is one of the important problems that the philosophy thought had faced as the religious and social studies had taken it as it considers as one of the most dangerous which touch the basic . the research deals with the effect of change value of new Iraqi situation to be as an attempt , as participation or an excitement that can be occupied a space through the area of questions on the fix and change of moral values shed light on the economical ,social and political events that the Iraqi society passes through them .it is part of interests that becomes importance to everyone through the light of moral change Which is arbitrary to the life of the individual .It is not possible to rebuild the society o

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 04 2017
Journal Name
Al-qadisiyah Journal For Administrative And Economic Sciences
Survival Function Estimating of Single age Groups for Generalized Gamma Distribution with Simulation.
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The analysis of survival and reliability considered of topics and methods of vital statistics at the present time because of their importance in the various demographical, medical, industrial and engineering fields. This research focused generate random data for samples from the probability distribution Generalized Gamma: GG, known as: "Inverse Transformation" Method: ITM, which includes the distribution cycle integration function incomplete Gamma integration making it more difficult classical estimation so will be the need to illustration to the method of numerical approximation and then appreciation of the function of survival function. It was estimated survival function by simulation the way "Monte Carlo". The Entropy method used for the

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of Some Methods for Estimating the Scheff'e Model of the Mixture
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Because of the experience of the mixture problem of high correlation and the existence of linear MultiCollinearity between the explanatory variables, because of the constraint of the unit and the interactions between them in the model, which increases the existence of links between the explanatory variables and this is illustrated by the variance inflation vector (VIF), L-Pseudo component to reduce the bond between the components of the mixture.

    To estimate the parameters of the mixture model, we used in our research the use of methods that increase bias and reduce variance, such as the Ridge Regression Method and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method a

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
سةرهةلَداني رِؤذنامةنووسيي كوردي و رِؤلَي لة ثةرةسةندني زمان و ئةدةبدا
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Appearance of the Kurdish press in the Kurdish literature was affected by as set of both external and internal factors. The former was realized in the spreading of press and publications especially at the neighboring countries in the second half of the 19th century. The latter factors, external ones ,were concerned the political situations undergone by the Kurdish people who severely suffered injustice practiced by the Othman authority .All these reasons had driven the educated to migrate to search for more safe places to practice their cultural actions with absolute freedom. Consequently, the first newspaper was issued on 22/4/1898 in Cairo which pointed the birth of the Kurdish press inside and outside Kurdistan region which

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 31 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
ESTIMATION OF ELLAGIC ACID ACTIVITY WHEN MIXED WITH SOME TYPES OF CANDY AGAINST Streptococcus mutans ISOLATED FROM ADULT PATIENTS IN BAGHDAD CITY: ESTIMATION OF ELLAGIC ACID ACTIVITY WHEN MIXED WITH SOME TYPES OF CANDY AGAINST Streptococcus mutans ISOLATED FROM ADULT PATIENTS IN BAGHDAD CITY
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Microbial activity of Ellagic acid when mixed with some types of candy toward Streptococcus mutans microorganism was studied. The main purpose of carrying out this study is to produce a new type of candy that contains Ellagic acid in addition to xylitol instead of sucrose to prevent dental caries. The results show that the inhibitory action of Ellagic acid was more effective when mixed with this type of candy for the purpose of reducing Streptococcus mutans microorganisms, while sensory evaluation was applied in this study to 20 volunteers to that candy sample evaluated which contain (5 mg/ml) Ellagic acid with 100g xylitol to determine consumers acceptability of this sample of candy. The results were expressed as mean value, slandered d

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Publication Date
Sun May 31 2026
Journal Name
Iraoi Journal Of Statistical Sciences
حول تقليص تقدير المركبات الرئيسة مع التطبيق
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This research deals with a shrinking method concerned with the principal components similar to that one which used in the multiple regression “Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection: LASS”. The goal here is to make an uncorrelated linear combinations from only a subset of explanatory variables that may have a multicollinearity problem instead taking the whole number say, (K) of them. This shrinkage will force some coefficients to equal zero, after making some restriction on them by some "tuning parameter" say, (t) which balances the bias and variance amount from side, and doesn't exceed the acceptable percent explained variance of these components. This had been shown by MSE criterion in the regression case and the percent explained

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 14 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Comparison between Rush Model Parameters to Completed and Lost Data by Different Methods of Processing Missing Data
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The current study aims to compare between the assessments of the Rush model’s parameters to the missing and completed data in various ways of processing the missing data. To achieve the aim of the present study, the researcher followed the following steps: preparing Philip Carter test for the spatial capacity which consists of (20) items on a group of (250) sixth scientific stage students in the directorates of Baghdad Education at Al–Rusafa (1st, 2nd and 3rd) for the academic year (2018-2019). Then, the researcher relied on a single-parameter model to analyze the data. The researcher used Bilog-mg3 model to check the hypotheses, data and match them with the model. In addition

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