تناول البحث نموذج الانحدار الذاتي الحيزي ونموذج الخطأ الحيزي في محاولة لتقديم دليل عملي يوضح اهمية التحليل الحيزي، مع التركيز بصفة خاصة على أهمية استعمال نماذج الانحدار الحيزي والتي تضم كل منها الاعتمادية الحيزية التي يتم أختبار وجودها من عدمه بأختبار موران، وان تجاهل هذه الاعتمادية قد يؤدي إلى ضياع معلومات مهمة عن تلك الظاهرة تنعكس في نهاية المطاف على قوة تقدير المؤشر الإحصائي المستخرج، تعدّ هذه النماذج حلقة الوصل بين نماذج الأنحدار المعتادة مع نماذج السلاسل الزمنية. وتم تطبيق التحليل الحيزي على بيانات المـسح الأجـتماعي والأقـتصادي لـلأسرة فـي العراق 2012. ولقياس افضلية النماذج المستعملة في البحث تم استعمال معايير مقارنة مثل: الجذر التربيعي لمتوسط مربعات الخطأ ومتوسط الخطأ النسبي المطلق ومعامل التحديد المعدل، وبمصفوفات وزن مختلفة (ثنائية و معدلّة) تأخذ بعين الأعتبار تأثير الجوارات بين الأقضية.
The study hypothesize that the majority of Arab countries show a poor agricultural economic efficiency which resulted in a weak productive capacity of wheat in the face of the demand, which in turn led to the fluctuation of the rate of self-sufficiency and thus increase the size of the food gap. The study aims at estimating and analyzing the food security indicators for their importance in shaping the Arabic agricultural policy, which aims to achieve food security through domestic production and reduce the import of food to less possible extent. Some of the most important results reached by the study were that the increase in the amount of consumption of wheat in the countries of t
... Show MoreThis study was conducted on a sample of commercial banks in Iraq, chosen according number of considerations for twenty banks, contained two public banks and eighteen private banks. &
... Show MoreThe purpose of the research is to identify the role of Islamic banks in facing the financial crisis in Iraq for the period 2012-2014, and highlight the various factors that contributed to the emergence of the financial crisis, as well as to identify the problems and challenges facing the Islamic banking business in Iraq and identify the reasons and find appropriate solutions, And the development of treatments to avoid the occurrence of such problems and overcome them. The main findings of the research are as follows,Islamic banks (the sample of the study) were affected by the global financial crisis indirectly, as the financial crisis turned into an economic crisis affecting the real economy, because the activity of Islamic banks is more
... Show MoreThe research took the spatial autoregressive model: SAR and spatial error model: SEM in an attempt to provide practical evidence that proves the importance of spatial analysis, with a particular focus on the importance of using regression models spatial and that includes all of the spatial dependence, which we can test its presence or not by using Moran test. While ignoring this dependency may lead to the loss of important information about the phenomenon under research is reflected in the end on the strength of the statistical estimation power, as these models are the link between the usual regression models with time-series models. The spatial analysis had been applied to Iraq Household Socio-Economic Survey: IHS
... Show MoreThis research aims to introduce the general tax on sales in gordan and the most important concepts related to this type of taxes and identify the most on characteristics and stand on its role in supplying the general budget of the necessary fundig to cover the over head of the state and the factorsinfluencing it and whether such a tax has been able to chieve the desired goals.including in contribute to an important and growing role in puplic revenues or not to be able to achieve these goals through the use of descriptive and analytical technique based on the data and information relevant.wasreached some conclusion and recommendations was most important is that the general sales tax comes in
... Show MoreThe study of sex Structure and age characteristics of an important element of the
follow-up changes between different population groups, which are connected to a large degree
the demographic, social and economic characteristics, particularly since each population
group varying characteristics in terms of age, sex entail social, demographic, cultural and
economic implications, and from that the researcher has taken from Structure of sex and age
for population in the district of Tuz Khurmatu for (1997-2012 ) the subject of consideration
and maintain compared to see the contrast between them. Qualitative Research for installation
and the age of the urban and rural areas has touched the judiciary, as well as its respects
The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to conf
... Show MoreAbstract
Agricultural Bank is an important source of funding Specialist His role in lending to farmers, it imposes a great job in providing the necessary head for any developmental process in the agricultural sector money. The ACB of ancient Iraqi banks, and that because of its importance to the advancement of the national economy and contribute to the development and regulation of the economic sector through the support and the assignment of the Iraqi agricultural sector in various agricultural activities because it is responsible
for the process of granting agricultural loans to farmers bank.
The aim of the internal control in the agricultural banks to
... Show Moreمن اجل قياس ايجابيات وسلبيات حراس المرمى للمهارات المختلفة وذلك لتحديد مدى الفائدة المرجوة من اشتراكهم في المباريات، لاحظ الباحث أن هنالك تباين واختلاف في اداء حراس مرمى للمهارات المختلفة مما يؤثر على مستوى اداء الفريق وهنا تكمن مشكلة البحث بالتحديد اذا لاحظ عدم وجود تقويم علمي يقيس ما يبذله حارس المرمى من نشاط وجهد طيلة مده اشتراكه باللعب لذا ارتأى دراسة هذه المشكلة من اجل مساعدة المدربين في الوصول
... Show Moreلا زال انضمام العراق الى WTO مثار جدل لما يترتب على هذا الانضمام من اثار كبيرة وخطيرة على الاقتصاد العراقي الذي لا يزال يعيش ظروف صعبة ناتجة عن تدمير قدراته وبناه التحتية اثر الحروب والحصار والتي امتدت لحوالي ثلاثة عقود .
العراق يحتاج الى فرصة اعادة تنظيم قدراته وامكاناته سواء في القطاع الصناعي او القطاع الزراعي وان الاخير يمثل حالة تتطلب منها منح العراق افضليات تدع
... Show More