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The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
إعادة تأهيل جامع الرابعية في مدينة الموصل
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Publication Date
Tue Nov 13 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنافع المنافع الحيوانية الواردة في القرآن الكريم
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Quran is a basic reference of production it is as a source to all sciences, Ayat of Quran would mention the importance of benefits of animals.  Quran contain full surrat named in animal names as Al-Baqara that is to clarify its benefits and importance in human’s life.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اسواق بغداد في العصر العباسي (دراسة اجتماعية)
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Markets had organized in Islamic cities since the time of the Prophet Muhammad(pbuh),

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
التنمية البشرية والتطورات الديمغرافية في بلدان الاسكوا
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احتل موضوع التنمية البشرية منذ مطلع عقد التسعينات من القرن الماضي مكانة مهمة في تقييم تجربة التنمية في دول العالم الثالث بشكل عام، نظراً لتأكيده على عنصر رأس المال البشري ومدى استفادة الانسان من عملية التنمية الاقتصادية.

ونظراً لما تتركه عملية التطورات الديمغرافية من آثار على عملية التنمية الاقتصادية، لذا جاء البحث ليحاول ان يربط بين مفهوم التنمية البشرية واهم المتغيرات المؤثرة فيها الا

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
سبع مسائل في احسن الوسائل للسياسة العراقية
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سبع مسائل في احسن الوسائل للسياسة العراقية

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
( دور التخطيط في تنمية وتطوير المؤسسات التعليمية)
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الأهمية :

التخطيط بالمعنى العام مارسته بعض الجماعات ، وكثير من الأفراد عبر العصور فهم حاولوا أو يحاولون التحكم في مستقبل حياتهم أو حياة أبنائهم ، وقد حدثنا التأريخ عن بعض التجارب لمواجهة الأزمات والكوارث التي هددت بعض الشعوب ، ولعل قضية سيدنا يوسف عليه السلام وهي تشير الى خطته لمواجهة المجاعة المنتظرة ، ومقوماتها حسن التخزين وضبط الأستهلاك وفترتها الزمنية ، فضلاً عن أمثلة تاريخية لموا

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2007
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
وظائف الدولة (في الفكر السياسي العربي الاسلامي)
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وظائف الدولة (في الفكر السياسي العربي الاسلامي)

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
النظام القانوني للمعاهدات الدولية في القانون العراقي
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النظام القانوني للمعاهدات الدولية في القانون العراقي

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مظاهر الترف في الوظائف ابان العصر الفاطمي
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The Fatimids were arguing with the Abbasids in everything, even in the causes of civilization, and the Islamic moderization had matured,

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المفاضلة المفاضلة بين الرجل والمرأة في الإسلام
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            Humans have considerations of gender male and female, and many of them have preferential male versus female, and became such considerations solid in the minds of some of the intellectuals, public and most of the people; as a fact for granted, and that's what get them to prefer of boys over females.

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