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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2005
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
الليبرالية : نظرة في منطلقاتها الفكرية وآفاقها المستقبلية
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الفيدرالية : نظرة في منطلقاتها الفكرية وآفاقها المستقبلية

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تاريخ تار يخ الزلازل في بلاد الشام
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Affected by agricultural products in the Levant to a lot of factors that led to the rise in prices which as a result of natural factors, the most important and most notably the earthquakes that occurred in the dates of sporadic in the Levant,

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2010
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
العلوم الاجتماعية في جامعة بغداد .. التاريخ والتطورات
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العلوم الاجتماعية في جامعة بغداد .. التاريخ والتطورات

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 04 2004
Journal Name
Al-academy
المنظومة الصورية والتعبير اللغوي في العرض المسرحي
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المنظومة الصورية والتعبير اللغوي في العرض المسرحي

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الادارة والاقتصاد للدراسات الاقتصادية
دور الاجراءات والتشريعات الضريبية في التهرب الضريبي
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تعد الضريبة مصدراً مهماً لتحقيق الاهداف الاقتصادية والاجتماعية والسياسية للدولة ولذلك فان مشكلة التهرب الضريبي تعد اهم المشاكل التي ينبغي معالجتها من خلال معرفة اسبابها . ان وجود مشكلة التهرب الضريبي في العراق يرتبط بمجموعة من الاسباب والدوافع الكامنة وراء ظهور هذه المشكلة والتي لا نستطيع ان نلقي بتباعها على تخلف النظام الضريبي من حيث تشخيص الاختلالات في الادارة الضريبية تارة بل يجب ابراز عيوب التشريع الض

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 07 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تشخيص المادة الفعالة في عشب نبات القريص
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      تناولت هذه الدراسة نبات القريص واسمه العلمي Urtica dioica  والمجهز من صيدلية الحضر ومن المعشب للتعرف على مكوناته الكيميائية واهم المجاميع الفعالة فيه . بينت هذه الدراسة احتواء النبات على القلويـدات ( alkaloids ) والتانينـات (Tannins ) والصابونيات                  ( Saponins  ) وكانت الدالة الحامضية للمستخلص المائي للنبات المجهز من صيدلية الحضر متعادل بينما

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
دلالة المكان في شعر السري الرفاء الموصلي
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هو ابو الحسن السري بن احمد السري الكندي الرفاء الموصلي ويعرف بالسري الرفاء وهو الاسم الذي غلب عليه، ولقب بالرفاء لانه كان يعمل في رفو الثياب وتطريزها وقد ذكره الثعالبي في اليتيمة فقال (فمنهم السري بن احمد الكندي المعروف بالرفاء)(1)ولد الرفاء في مدينة الموصل ولا تعرف سنة ولادته ولكنه من شعراء القرن الرابع الهجري الذين ذكرهم الثعالبي في يتيمته، وقد عاش صباه رفاء في سوق الرفائين في الموصل حيث سلمه والداه الى احد

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 26 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
النبوة في منظور الدين اليهودي )دراسة موضوعية(
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 Prophecy, the Jews had another concept, does not limit to choosen from God, but expands to include all of the claims to prophethood of priests and magicians and liars, The word prophet in the eyes of the Jews view has abroad meaning, That included the prophets who were chosen by God to his message, in order to repair case Also those, who were of magicians, astrologer & hypocrites

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 28 2022
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
جدلية الحرية والقانون في فكر فردريك هيجل
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Western political philosophy is one of the philosophies that dealt with many ideas and proposals that include concepts born in ancient times, where Greek philosophy represents the basic roots of the development of political thought and the study of political phenomena and a starting point for political thought, and if the matter is completed with the Romans, and schools of thought that represented a model for building the state And up to the modern era, the absolute and the relative were the subject of discussion by most philosophers, the transition of thought was with Descartes, and the intellectual transformation from the absolute to the relative was with Nietzsche, and the basic root of all of that is represented by the German philoso

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
دور المنظمات الدولية في تفسير معاهداتها المنشئة
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دور المنظمات الدولية في تفسير معاهداتها المنشئة

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