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The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 31 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاعلام الاعلام العسكري ودوره في ترسيخ السلام
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ان علاقة وسائل الإعلام بحل الصراعات وبناء السلام المجتمعي كأحد الموضوعات المهمة التي تربط بين مجالي العلاقات الدولية والدراسات الإعلامية. ويعود مصطلح صحافة السلام إلى السبعينيات من القرن العشرين حيث يقدم هذه المفهوم مدخلا جديدا للإعلاميين يمُكنهم من البحث في الأسباب البنائية والثقافية للصراع ومدى تأثيره على حياة المواطنين وتقديم المضمون الذي يعكس القواسم المشتركة بين كافة أطراف الصراع في مجتمع معين وطر

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
US-Iranian relations under President Obama
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تنتاب العلاقةَ الأمريكية الإيرانية تجاذباتٌ ومشاحنات أدخلت العالم في حالة من الغموض السياسي، وجعلت بعض المراقبين والمحللين السياسيين لا يستبعدون توجيه الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية أو إسرائيل ضربة عسكرية لإيران، إذ يرى المدقق في واقع تلك العلاقة المضطربة: أن الأمور كلما بلغت حافة الهاوية عادت من جديد إلى ساحة الحوار والمفاوضات، ويبدو: أن الإستراتيجية الأمريكية التي يتبعها الرئيس (باراك أو

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 18 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
علمــــاء العــرب والتـــأليف في فقه اللغة العربية
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Philology is a science concerned with issues raised about language. It is a research into the mental aspects of its origin in its various sciences. The term (philology) appeared in the writings of Arab scholars in the fourth century AH. One of the most prominent topics of philology is research on the origin and development of language; Because it is one of the topics that preoccupied thinkers and many scholars, philosophers, and theologians, as well as linguists, have tackled research in it.                

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 15 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المعالم المعالم العمرانية القديمة في قلعة كركوك
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This study examines the remaining architectural features in Kirkuk Castle,which does not include the heritage buildings outside it. The castle's fortifications are limited about military samples of the city during the Ottoman era ,concentrating on the importance remains of the walls that held on the edge of the hill leads to the interior, As well as some religious buildings such as mosques, shrines and churches, and the service buildings with most important caesarean dating back to the Seljuk era and a range of housing    The importance of the subject lies in the study of these buildings , documentation, and knowledge of the designs and models of building to make it a link in the series of the late Islamic architecture

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مرويات مرويات الفكر الغيبي في مصر المملوكية
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   This research has been devoted to the study narratines of the metaphysical concepts in Egypt during the Mamluk era ( 648-923 AD/1250-1517 AH). The study consists of three sections and an  introductionwhich highlights the study at that time for its great impaction public life in Egypt.

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
جمالية جمالية المكان في الرسم العربي الإسلامي
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The God Almighty prefer on the Arab nation, and entrusted to carry his message to the secular world as a whole, , gave her all necessities of life in terms of location, who are the heart in the earth's surface. From this blessed place emerged the greatest civilizations and the world has ever known for it than in human history, a four empires Alsamyat

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اماكن اماكن التعلم واثرها في الحياة الفكرية
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The status of science and scientists in the Arab Islamic state a prominent place was a signal the Koran to this position by encouraging people to seek knowledge as well asgive a prominent place for science and scientists, as confirmed by the Sunnah to this position through the Hadith as well as through height and this is what encourages peopleto take care of these things are important to the progress of the state and society and to

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2005
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Dans La Maison Du Berger Et Le Mont Des Oliviers De Vigny
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Dans le romantisme et ses textes, il est important de mentionner qu'il n'existe qu'un seul thème romantique qui est l'amour, mais assez pour avoir fait du XIXème siècle, une révolution du texte romantique. L'amour consiste à la réduction de l'univers, à un seul être, puis la dilatation de ce seul être, voilà l'amour. cet amour passionnel n'est qu'un arrangement froid et réfléchi excluant d'emblée l'exaltation des sentiments. Néanmoins, cet amour passionnel peut être brutal. quant à la mort, dans le drame romantique, l'amour et la mort sont liés. Beaucoup d'histoires d'amour finissent le plus souvent par un suicide passionnel : le romantique cherche à l'atteindre par l'amour un sentiment sanctifié, et divinisé ; mais c

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
التجربة الاتحادية في دولة الامارات العربية المتحدة
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التجربة الاتحادية في دولة الامارات العربية المتحدة

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 28 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التراث العماري في ناحية بامَرني (دراسة ميدانية)
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  The historical documentation of the architectural archeology has a fundamental and great importance in evaluating the architectural product that has suffered from neglect

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