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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 03 2003
Journal Name
Al-academy
الرؤية السايكلوجية وتطبيقاتها في مسرحية الشيخ والغانية
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الرؤية السايكلوجية وتطبيقاتها في مسرحية الشيخ والغانية

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2005
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
العوامل المؤثرة في نشأة النظام السياسي الامريكي
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العوامل المؤثرة في نشأة النظام السياسي الامريكي

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2024
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
تجربة الاختيار في الشعر الجاهلي وصدر الاسلام
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يقف البحث الموسوم (تجربة الاختيار في الشعر الجاهلي وصدر الاسلام)، على العديد من النماذج الشعرية، التي عاش فيها الشاعر العربي تجربة الاختيار في العصر الجاهلي وصدر الاسلام، واتجه البحث الى تحليل العديد من النماذج المختارة من التراث العربي الشعري، وقد وقف البحث على بعض التجارب التي يقع فيها الشاعر في موقف الاختيار. و لذلك كان من المنطق ان يقسم البحث الى مبحثين: فكان الاول منها يقف على (تجربة الاختيار في الشعر

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Publication Date
Wed May 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الزخارف الاجرية في ضريح محمد باشا الداغستاني
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This paper deals with studying of one of the shrine that buried in Khizran
that had considered one of the ancient cemetery in Baghdad ,it is
Mohammad Basha

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 26 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
دراسات دراسات في أرض الخِراج وأرض العُشر
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the source of Fiqh do not give areal picture for the efforts which have been done for economic system of the taxes But it gives a special ideas about what must be done.

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 20 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المعالم الفكرية في بغداد )شارع المتنبي( أنموذج
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The city of Baghdad has witnessed multiple stages in its
growth and development, and this is reflected in its intellectual
space, which responds to urban, economic, social and political
changes, which was reflected in its fabric and land uses. Baghdad
was characterized by the spontaneous weaving and hierarchy of
streets and alleys, s

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
سةرهةلَداني رِؤذنامةنووسيي كوردي و رِؤلَي لة ثةرةسةندني زمان و ئةدةبدا
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Appearance of the Kurdish press in the Kurdish literature was affected by as set of both external and internal factors. The former was realized in the spreading of press and publications especially at the neighboring countries in the second half of the 19th century. The latter factors, external ones ,were concerned the political situations undergone by the Kurdish people who severely suffered injustice practiced by the Othman authority .All these reasons had driven the educated to migrate to search for more safe places to practice their cultural actions with absolute freedom. Consequently, the first newspaper was issued on 22/4/1898 in Cairo which pointed the birth of the Kurdish press inside and outside Kurdistan region which

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 04 2004
Journal Name
Al-academy
استخدام العينات في بحوث وسائل الاتصال الجماهيري
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استخدام العينات في بحوث وسائل الاتصال الجماهيري

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 31 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاعلام الاعلام العسكري ودوره في ترسيخ السلام
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ان علاقة وسائل الإعلام بحل الصراعات وبناء السلام المجتمعي كأحد الموضوعات المهمة التي تربط بين مجالي العلاقات الدولية والدراسات الإعلامية. ويعود مصطلح صحافة السلام إلى السبعينيات من القرن العشرين حيث يقدم هذه المفهوم مدخلا جديدا للإعلاميين يمُكنهم من البحث في الأسباب البنائية والثقافية للصراع ومدى تأثيره على حياة المواطنين وتقديم المضمون الذي يعكس القواسم المشتركة بين كافة أطراف الصراع في مجتمع معين وطر

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
US-Iranian relations under President Obama
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تنتاب العلاقةَ الأمريكية الإيرانية تجاذباتٌ ومشاحنات أدخلت العالم في حالة من الغموض السياسي، وجعلت بعض المراقبين والمحللين السياسيين لا يستبعدون توجيه الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية أو إسرائيل ضربة عسكرية لإيران، إذ يرى المدقق في واقع تلك العلاقة المضطربة: أن الأمور كلما بلغت حافة الهاوية عادت من جديد إلى ساحة الحوار والمفاوضات، ويبدو: أن الإستراتيجية الأمريكية التي يتبعها الرئيس (باراك أو

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