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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 01 2026
Journal Name
Materials Today Communications
Tuning radiation attenuation performance of W-substituted nano-BiNb₁₋ₓWₓO₄ ceramics: A Monte Carlo simulation approach
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 30 2025
Journal Name
Mustansiriyah Journal Of Pure And Applied Sciences
Secure E-voting authentication system employing biometric technology, Crypto-Watermarking Approach and blockchain technology: A Review
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Moderately, advanced national election technologies have improved political systems. As electronic voting (e-voting) systems advance, security threats like impersonation, ballot tampering, and result manipulation increase. These challenges are addressed through a review covering biometric authentication, watermarking, and blockchain technologies, each of which plays a crucial role in improving the security of e-voting systems. More precisely, the biometric authentication is being examined due to its ability in identify the voters and reducing the risks of impersonation. The study also explores the blockchain technology to decentralize the elections, enhance the transparency and ensure the prevention of any unauthorized alteration or

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Ieee Transactions On Robotics
Lidar-Level Localization With Radar? The CFEAR Approach to Accurate, Fast, and Robust Large-Scale Radar Odometry in Diverse Environments
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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Business Risk Assessment Using Client Strategy Analysis Approach in order to Increase the Efficiency and Effectiveness of the Audit Process
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Abstract

This study aimed to identify the business risks using the approach of the client strategy analysis in order to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process. A study of business risks and their impact on the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process has been performed to establish a cognitive framework of the main objective of this study, in which the descriptive analytical method has been adopted. A survey questionnaire has been developed and distributed to the targeted group of audit firms which have profession license from the Auditors Association in the Gaza Strip (63 offices). A hundred questionnaires have been distributed to the study sample of which, a total of 84 where answered and

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Investigating English Composition Writing Problems Encountered by Preparatory School Students and Finding Solutions to These Problems through Schema- Based Approach
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Writing in English is one of the essential factors for successful                      EFL learning .Iraqi students at the preparatory schools encounter problems when using their background knowledge in handling subskills                                  of writing(Burhan,2013:164).Therefore, this study aims to investigate the 4thyear preparatory school students’ problems in English composition writing, and find solutions to these pro

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 08 2017
Journal Name
Neural Computing And Applications
A new algorithm of modified binary particle swarm optimization based on the Gustafson-Kessel for credit risk assessment
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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Proposed Hybrid Cryptosystems Based on Modifications of Playfair Cipher and RSA Cryptosystem
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Cipher security is becoming an important step when transmitting important information through networks. The algorithms of cryptography play major roles in providing security and avoiding hacker attacks. In this work two hybrid cryptosystems have been proposed, that combine a modification of the symmetric cryptosystem Playfair cipher called the modified Playfair cipher and two modifications of the asymmetric cryptosystem RSA called the square of RSA technique and the square RSA with Chinese remainder theorem technique. The proposed hybrid cryptosystems have two layers of encryption and decryption. In the first layer the plaintext is encrypted using modified Playfair to get the cipher text, this cipher text will be encrypted using squared

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Role of the School Garden, and its Importance in the school Building - A field study in the social school service
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This research concerns the fact of the school garden and how can we tackle this issue. The research starts with a question forwarded to those who are interested in the ministry of education matters; the question is that how is the extent of interest in the school garden project? And how it is activated in the Iraqi Educational Institution program? In addition, the analysis reveals the importance of the school garden since we, as teachers and students, suffer from seeing the view of the trashes, the wastes of school furniture, the stinking water and the weeds and how it is accumulated in the back yard of the school. To add fuel to the fire, the increase in number of the students; year after year. This increase leads to adding more classes

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Publication Date
Sat Aug 01 2020
Journal Name
International Journal Of Psychosocial Rehabilitation
Building and legalizing a test for evaluating the tactical learning of the footwork for the foil fencer in the fencing game
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AA wahid, journal mustansiriyah of sports science, 2023

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of applying the CAMEL model to profitability of banks )An applied study on a number of Iraqi banks for the period 2010-2016(
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The evaluation of banks plays an important role in maintaining the interests of customers with the bank as well as providing continuous supervision and control by the Central Bank. The Central Bank of Iraq conducted an assessment of the Iraqi banks through the implementation of the CAMEL model during a certain period. This evaluation did not continue. The research provides continuity to the Central Bank's assessment and as a step to continue the evaluation process for all banks through the use of the CAMEL model. ROA and ROE by using the regression model for four Iraqi banks registered in the Iraqi market for securities during the period 2010-2016. The results showed that the capital and profitability indicators have a significan

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