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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 15 2025
Journal Name
مجلة الانبار للقانون والعلوم السياسية
الصراعات الدولية وانعكاساتها على الامن الانساني في منطقة الشرق الاوسط بعد عام 2003
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تعد ظاهرة الصراعات ظاهرة قديمة كقدم الوجود البشري وهذا يطبق على المستوى الدولي مما يجعل الدول الصغرى هي ساحة تصفيات كما هو الحال في سوريا مما يجعل الامن الانساني فيها معدوم

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 31 2022
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الإدارة و الاقتصاد للدراسات الاقتصادية و الإدارية و المالية
دور مؤشر السيولة المصرفية في الرقابة الإشرافية للبنك المركزي العراقي على المصارف المتخصصة
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عد الرقابة الإشرافية احد اهم الأدوات التي تستخدمها البنوك المركزية في تقييم التزام المصارف بالمتطلبات التنظيمية والقوانين الصادرة منها وتستخدم البنوك المركزية عدة مؤشرات مالية منها مؤشر السيولة المصرفية لتقييم أداء المصارف تجاه حماية أموال المودعين وحماية المصارف من خطر نقص السيولة ومن ثم التعرض للإفلاس، لذا اقتضت الضرورة إلى دراسة مؤشر السيولة المصرفية الذي يستخدم كأحد أدوات الرقابة الإشرافية من قبل ال

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The tax planning and its effect on the investment: On sample of Iraqi Contribution Company
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The importance of the current study  lies in the  importance of the  Tax policy that  being considered one of the most important tools working on fulfilling  the  social,  financial  and economic  goals  and improving  the investment environment  in the country  to become  having the ability to  activate the  national economy. The current study  has  referred  that  (  Has  the  tax planning  practiced by  the Iraqi  contribution  companies  led to increase  the  far-term tax  outcome through  getting  benefit of   the monetary  funds  and expansion in&nbs

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الكوت الجامعة للعلوم الإنسانية
Student - Teacher Environmental Sustainability Values College of Education for Pure Sciences
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Research objective to identify the degree of environmental sustainability values of the student-teacher in the College of Education for Pure Sciences. In this research the methodology of relational descriptive research was adopted, and the research sample consisted of (116) students from the College of Education for Pure Sciences / Ibn Al-Haytham / University of Baghdad From the Department of Chemistry (fourth stage), that is, 54% of the research community were randomly selected. The research tool was prepared, represented by a measure of environmental sustainability values of (20) items, the results of the research showed: The poor degree of environmental sustainability values. The Statistical Portfolio of Social Sciences (SPSS) was adopte

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
نظام الكوتا النسوية بوصفه مدخلاً لبناء المجتمع العادل : دراسة في تمكين المرأة الكوردستانية
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It could be said that the essence of the “quota” is the state’s intervene as external power in bringing positive change for the benefit of the disadvantaged women and cultural minorities, and from the perspective that compensatory justice requires dealing differently with the different parties culturally and economically for the benefit of those deprived of them. Practicing of quotas merely, does not mean the full achievement of equality between cultural and sexual components in general, but it’s a big leap towards achieving this crucial goal, since the latter necessarily requires a range of legal and non-legal mechanisms aimed at empowering women and expanding their capabilities as a whole. On the other hand, in the absence of a

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 26 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
آيات الصلاة والزكاة عند المفسر محمد دروزة في كتابه التفسير الحديث دراسة تربوية
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The basic goal of human creation is worship, the Almighty stated: { I created the jinn and mankind only to worship Me} Al-Dhariyat 56.  The basic worships by which we approach Allah Almighty are the praying and zakat, that they are significant because the praying  and zakat mostly come together in numerous Qur’anic verses. Being the praying is a Physical worship while zakat is a financial devotion, they have many educational effects explained by the writer Muhammad Darwaza in his interpretations of these two pillars of Islam that he has chosen them to be the subject of this research

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Joint audit and its impact on the market value of firms listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange
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The research aims to investigate the possibility of joint auditing in improving the market value of Iraqi companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. The sample was represented by 10 Iraqi companies listed in the Iraq market for the period from 2014-2017 (2 years before implementation and 2 years after implementation) and the research was based on the idea that joint auditing enhances investor confidence and raises their level of security as a result of providing quality and reliable reports, and thus This indicates good news in the market that reflects on the performance of stocks and the market value of companies that adopt joint auditing. The results of the analysis indicate an improvement in the market value, but this improv

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 06 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
رؤية وانموذج- مقترح للارشاد النفسي والتوجيه التربوي في ظل نظام ادارة الجودة الشاملة
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The global challenges of contemporary facing societies urge to seek and move to adopt the style conscious in the face of these challenges and work on the investment of human resources and energies humanitarian efficient and effective for the development of the institutional and Management and make it more efficient and effective and meets the requirements and keep pace with global developments , and more aspects of managerial aim is Total Quality Management , as it has become thanks to the sheer amount and large accelerated technical developments and information and communication technologies , which feature of this era , and in the field of education , the charge of it are seeking through the application of total quality management to b

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 13 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
وسائل وسائل الاتصالات السريعة في حروب العرب المسلمين حتى منتصف القرن الرابع الهجري
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          This Study is concerned with The Fast communications in the wars of arab moslims until the middle of fourth century . it pointed to many communications for that , Like using the fast horses , and carrier pigeon , Almanader (Almanawin) wich used to tell for long distances , and drums , trumpets…

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 06 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
مراكز التعليم ودورها التربوي في حركة التدريسينفي العصر العباسي الأخير (447-656 ﻫ)
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لم يكن من السهولة على الباحث في مجال التربية والتعليم تحديد مراحل التعليم في العصر العباسي الأخير او وضع فواصل محددة بين تلك المراحل المختلفة من ذلك العصر، لان التعليم آنذاك كان يتميز بالمرونة التي تتيح للتعليم الحرية المطلقة في اختيار نوع الدراسة والمادة الدراسية التي يريد دراستها.

فكانت المساجد والكتاتيب والمجالس العامة والخاصة هي المؤسسات العلمية الاولى للتعليم عند المسلمين في عهد ال

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