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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تقويم وقياس العائد على الاستثمار في تدريب الموارد البشرية: بحث ميداني لعينة مختارة من الشركات العراقية الخاصة
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The great challenge that will face the management in the developed and developing countries at the same time as core issue is represented in the question of the labor productivity in the field of in the Training Of human which is believed that it will prevail upon the jobs of their organization for many coming decades in in next years. Farther more, it will limit the construction of the communities and the quality of this life. Therefore, the priority of the economics of those countries will be headed toward increasing this productivity and giving it tried finally to control economically and managerially. In the light of information era, every organization should become knowledgeable enterprise. And for this reason, the achievement of su

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر برنامج إرشادي في تنمية بعض المفاهيم التربوية المستنبطة من بعض المواقف اليومية التي يعيشها طفل الروضة
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It has became necessary helping the children to developing same of educational values which can be drawn from daily situations which the live. Especially the childhood stage is the basic building of value individual content since its establishment the societies take care of learning children and take care of them. Through their institutes which depended on, in this function. Therefore the importance of this, research is coming from the importance of this age stage and from importance and necessity of children aguirement the educational values and its development to them, and  the importance this research  coming from depending on guidance program with  new content and it is (al bum of pictures) fro

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Disclosure of insurance services and its impact: On the performance of companies
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The objective of the research is to identify the nature of voluntary disclosure of insurance services and its impact on the financial performance of Iraqi insurance companies by knowing the relationship between increasing disclosure of financial services and financial performance indicators of insurance companies.In order to achieve this objective, the research was applied to a sample of the Iraqi insurance companies listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange (Al Amin Insurance Company, Al Ahlia Insurance, Dar Al Salam Insurance, Gulf Insurance, Al Hamra Insurance) and based on their published financial statements (2014-2015) ) And by analyzing the sample lists were connected to the research objectives.The main conclusion of the study is that in

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2008
Journal Name
Alustath Journal For Human And Social Science
أثر شكل سبعة المعرفي في اكتساب المفاهيم الفيزيائية و فهم طبيعة العلم لدى طالبات الصف الرابع العام
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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Psychological Capital: Behavioral Insight for Study of Spirituality at the Workplace
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Abstract

      This research aims to identify the role of Psychological Capital (PsyCap) in the Spirituality at the Workplace (SAW) for a sample of the teaching staff of the four Colleges of the University of Kufa reached (200) out of (470) teaching, and to achieve the objective of this research and through access to research and studies of foreign adopted researchers standards scales of research variables, since it relied on the model (Luthans, Youssef, et al., 2007) to represent the components of Psychological Capital (self-efficacy, and hope, and optimism, and resilience), and given the attention organizations in the human element because of it

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
رسالة رسالة في طبقات القراء لتاج الدين أحمد عبد القادر بن مكتوم القيسي (ت 749هـ) دراسة وتحقيق
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 The writer of this messagewas Tajaddin Ahmad Abdulqader bin Maktoom Al-Qaisy Al-masry.

This message dealt with the biographies of twenty scientists of readers about Quran readings in Cairo . He comprehended these biographies and make it an appendage

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Academic Accreditation From The point Of view The Teaching Staff Of Iraqi Expatriates And Its Impact On Strategic Performance Of Institutions Of Higher Education - Field Research
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Abstract

       The Research Includes Two Variables : First , Academic Accreditation with his dimensions ( Educational Context , Educational Inputs , Educational Process , Educational Outputs , Feedback ) , And The Second : Strategic Performance With His dimensions ( Financing , Satisfaction Stakeholders , Internal Processes , Learning And Growth ) , The Research Highlights On The Academic Accreditation System Which Is Considered A Major And Important Systems Can Through Which Administration Of Activities And Programs Institutions Of Higher Education , As This research aims to determine his relationship And The Extent Of Its Effect In The Strategic Performance , And It Includes The Research C

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 04 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المدراس الثانوية في الاعظمية ( ثانوية كلية بغداد- ثانوية الأعظمية للبنين – ثانوية الأعظمية للبنات - ثانوية الحريري للبنات) أنموذجاً
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Education received the attention of the monarchy in Iraq, especially after the developments that the country witnessed after Iraq gained independence and joined the League of Nations in 1932 AD in all political, economic and cultural aspects.  In this regard, due to its distinguished geographical location, where the atmosphere, the natural environment and the religious and political standing were available, which made it a center of attraction for most Iraqi families and political figures.  Learning and pioneering the path of knowledge, so it witnessed a great prosperity in secondary education, so several important schools appeared that contributed to advancing the wheel of learning forward, including Baghdad College High Schoo

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
المجلة القانونيه العلميه المحكمه -الصادره عن جامعة القاهره
وفاة المكلف الضريبي وعلاقتها المعيارية في استيفاء الدين الضريبي وفقا لاحكام القانون العراقي و المصري - دراسه مقارنه
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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2009
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الاداب جامعة بغداد
العلاقات العامة وادارة الازمات في المؤسسات الصحية دراسة مسحية لبرامج وزارة الصحة الخاصة بمرض الكوليرا لسنة 2008
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تواجه المؤسسات المختلفة تحديات كثيره تختلف نوعيتها باختلاف توجهات المؤسسه سياسيه او اقتصادية او اجتماعيه ... مما يشكل تهديدا لوجود المؤسسة وسمعتها وبخاصه عند تحول تلك التحديات الى ازمات يجب على المؤسسه التعامل معها والسيطره عليها واحتوائها وهنا ياتي دور ادارة العلاقات العامه في المؤسسه المعنيه للعمل والقيام باعداد برامج خاصه بالتعامل مع الازمات وهو مايعرف ببرامج اداره الازمات . وبطبيعة الحال تختلف عملية

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