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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The effect of (SWOM) strategy on acquiring the psychological concepts of educational psychology course and its retention among education college students
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The current study aims to investigate the effect of (SWOM) strategy on acquiring the psychological concepts of educational psychology course and its retention among education college students. To do this, a sample of (57) male and female student were intentionally selected from first grade, Kurdish department / college of education / Ibin Rushd of human sciences. The sample distributed on two classes, whereby the experimental group consisted of (28) student were taught according to the (SWOM) strategy while the control group made up of (29) student were taught based on the tradition method. The two researchers designed a scale included (50) item to measure students' achievement. The experiment lasted for ten weeks, SPSS was used

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Microbial Quality of Paddy fields at Alfurat Alawsat Area, Iraq and the Effect of Milling Process on the Rice Contamination Level
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Fifty-Four paddy samples, 45 soil samples, and nine irrigation water samples of some paddy fields at Alfurat Alawsat Area, Iraq were collected to investigate the microbial quality including total count bacteria (TCB), molds and yeast, total coliform (TC), and E. coli bacteria. Paddy samples were processed at the laboratory level to produce rice at 32 and 36 whiteness, and the microbial quality of the produced rice was conducted too. The results showed that all irrigation water samples were overpassed the FDA limit for E. coli. All paddy samples were exceeded the good limit of TCB, but no sample exceeded the acceptable limit. Most paddy samples were exceeded the FDA limit for molds and yeast, and few paddy samples exc

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
أثر سياسة السجلات المحاسبية المفتوحة كأحد آليات إدارة التكلفة في تحقيق الميزة التنافسية للشركات الصناعية المساهمة العامة الأردنية
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The aim of this research is to study and test the impact of the policy of open-book accounting as one of the cost management mechanisms in achieving the competitive advantage in Jordanian industrial public companies, to achieve the objectives of the study, a field study was conducted by surveying the views of a sample of the accountants of the Jordanian industrial public companies. Hence the arithmetical Means, the Standard Deviations, the Significant Value and the Simple Linear Regression are used to test the research hypotheses and to achieve the research goals. The results of the study showed that there is a statistically significant effect of the policy of open-book accounting as one of the cost management mechanisms in achieving the

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الفارابي للعلوم النسانية
اثر استراتيجية نجمتين وامنية في تحصيل مادة الكيمياء عند طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط م . د . انور عباس محمد
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يهدف البحث الى التعرف على اثر استراتيجية نجمتين وامنية في تحصيل مادة الكيمياء عند طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسطولتحقيق هدف البحث تم اتباع المنهج التجريبي ذو الضبط الجزئي وتم تحديد مجتمع البحث بطلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط لجميع المدارس الثانموية والمتوسط التابعة لمديرية تربية الكرخ الثانية وتم اخنيار احد هذه المداس بصورة قصدية لتطبيق تجربة ابلبحث الحالي

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 05 2004
Journal Name
Jordan Journal Of Physical Education And Sport Sciences
التنظيم الادراكي وعلاقته بالاسلوب المعرفي التاملي الاندفاعي لدى بعض طالبات المرحلة الثانية في كلية التربية وعلوم الرياضة للبنات
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هدف ال الأسلوب المعرفيّ 􀇼 م الإد ا ركيّ 􀥽 اضة للبنات، والتعرّف على علاقة التنظ 􀈄 ة وعلوم الر 􀥽 ة البدنّ 􀥽􀈃 ة التر 􀥽 لّ 􀘗 ة في 􀥽 ات المرحلة الثانّ 􀥼 طال إنّه 􀇼 احثتان 􀥼 اضة للبنات، وأفترضت ال 􀈄 ة وعلوم الر 􀥽 ة البدنّ 􀥽􀈃 ة التر 􀥽 ل􀘗 ة في 􀥽 ات المرحلة الثان 􀥼 عض طال 􀇼 التأمّليّ الاندفاعيّ لدى اس الأسلوب المعرفيّ التأمّليّ الاندفاعيّ لدى عیّنة 􀥽 م الإد ا ركيّ ونتائج مق 􀥽 اس التنظ 􀥽 ة بین نتائج مق

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 28 2023
Journal Name
مجلة علوم التربية الرياضية - جامعة بابل
تأثير تمرينات منطقة الشدة الثالثة للقوة المميزة بالسرعة للرجلين في السرعة الانتقالية وسرعة التهديف للاعبين الشباب بكرة القدم
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هدف البحث إلى إعداد تمرينات منطقة الشدة الثالثة للقوة المميزة بالسرعة للرجلين للاعبين الشباب بكرة القدم، والتعرف على تأثير تمرينات منطقة الشدة الثالثة للقوة المميزة بالسرعة للرجلين في السرعة الانتقالية وفي سرعة التهديف للاعبين الشباب بكرة القدم، وأفترض الباحث بأنه توجد فروق ذات دلالة إحصائية بين نتائج الاختبارات القبلية والبعدية لمجموعتي البحث التجريبية والضابطة لكل من السرعة الانتقالية وسرعة التهديف ب

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Internet banking services and their impact on customer's: Applied Research on Sample of Iraqi Commercial Banks
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This research examines the issue of Internet banking services and their impact on customer's perceived value to know the potential of Iraqi commercial Banks to provide Internet banking services as well as determine the customer's level of perception of the value of such services. The research aims to demonstrate the effect that Internet banking services have on the customer's perceived value and to find how online banking services can be used to add value that the customer perceive. The main findings were that research sample banks don't have a sophisticated network of electronic Windows through which banking services are provided to allow customers to manage their accounts, and perform various operational operations through the

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
تطبيقات منحنى لورنز ودليل التركيز في كشف تغايرات مساحات وتكرارات وحدات الخارطة لمشاريع من وسط السهل الرسوبي العراقي
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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Investment portfolio risks of the insurance company and their impacts on profitability ratios: An applied research at the national insurance co. for the period 2004-2014
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The research is trying to identify the investment portfolio risks of the insurance company and their impact, on the Profitability ratios of the company, and whether the company's scientific methods followed in the measurement of these risks, and conducted research in the National Insurance Company. by relying on its annual budget as well as the annual reports, The search dealing with these data in theoretical and practical major premise to statistically significant between to investment portfolio risk and financial performance correlation and reach a set of conclusions and recommendations which are the following.                

investments include many ri

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 30 2025
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal For Administrative Sciences
قياس الكفاءة التقنية لوحدات اتخاذ القرار باسلوب التحليل التطويقي للبيانات ( DEA) بحث ميداني في الشركة العامة للنقل البري
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this research aims it measure the technical efficiency of the branches of the General Company for Land Transport, That scattered geographically at country level, by Data Envelopment analysis (DEA) technique, as this technique relies on measuring the efficiency of a set of asymmetric Decision making units, which is one of the nonparametric mathematical methods for and application related to Linear Programming, and this is what helps the General Company for Land Transport to diagnose its branches performance by benchmarking with each other and determine the performance gap. The research found that there is variation in the level of efficiency in the company's branches

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