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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Jul 11 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Perceptions of Iraqi EFL Pre-service Teachers of Sustainable Development
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Sustainable development (SD) is an improvement that meets present needs but jeopardizes the ability of new populations to do the same. It is vital to acquaint EFL students with the terminology and idiomatic expressions of this discipline. Nowadays, sustainable development and the environment have been prioritized in every aspect of life. Since culture and the teaching of Foreign language English cannot be separated, the English language becomes the mean of communication in health, economics, education, and politics. Thus, integrating sustainable development goals within language learning and teaching is very important. This descriptive quantitative study aims to investigate the perception of EFL pre-service teachers of sustainable develo

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
« L'agressivité de la parole et de l'acte » dans Haute Surveillance et Les Bonnes de Jean Genet
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                      La question de la violence et de l'agressivité  porte une importance remarquable dans l’esprit de Jean Genet qui estime le crime   en le considérant comme beau. Il lui donne une valeur suprême. Il le glorifie avec ses personnages criminels.   Le langage théâtral genétien est violent qui conduit à la fin à l’acte agressif, le crime et la mort. Ce théâtre qui aborde la condition humaine retrace sur la scène le chemin tragique de l’homme moderne.               

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
السل االدكتور محمد حسن سلمان الحمامي ودورهُ في مكافحة مرض التدرن الرئوي (السل
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Mohammed Hassan Salman is one of the Iraqi national figures who put a clear mark to promote the health institution and to improve the Iraqi people, even it was written about him as "The man who struggled to fight the tuberculosis", He began to struggle against this social courage that has been killing hundreds of Iraqis since his joining of Association for combating tuberculosis in 1999 and his big role in the application of (B-C-G) for the first in Iraq.

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
شواهد شواهد الضرورة الشعرية في كتاب شرح ابن عقيل على ألفية ابن مالك
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The poetic necessity in evidence to explain Ibn Aqeel were not alike, came a statement from him as a necessity in some verses and the other came as abnormal, differentiating it from the language, but he never mentioned in some verses in which the need as a necessity,

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Effect of Pre-Tension and Orientation on the Springback Behavior of the Sheet Brass 65-35
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One of the most important phenomenon that occurs in sheet metal forming processes is the spring-back, which causes several geometrical alterations in the parts. The accurate prediction of springback after bending unloading is the key to the tool design, operation control, and precision estimate concerning the part geometry. This study investigated experimentally the effect of pretension in three rolling direction (0, 90, 45 degree) on the springback behavior of the yellow brass, sheet under V shape bending die. The pre-tension ranges from five different levels starting of 11% to 55% from the total strain in each rolling direction by regular increase of 11 %, then bent on a V-die 90 degree for the springback estimate. From experiment the

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 15 2025
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات وبحوث التربية الرياضية
تأثير تمرينات تعليمية بأسلوب التمرين المتغير في الاداء الفني لفعالية الوثب العالي للطالبات
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هدف البحث الى إعداد تمرينات تعليمية  بأسلوب التمرين المتغير واثره في تعلم مراحل فعالية الوثب العالي, واستخدمت الباحثون المنهج التجريبي على عينة من (20) طالبة في المرحلة الرابعة جامعة بغداد كلية التربية البدنية وعلوم الرياضة للبنات شعبة ( ب), مقسمين الى مجموعتين تجريبية وضابطة , واستخدم الباحثون منهج تعليمي بأسلوب التمرين المتغير للمجموعة التجريبية لمدة (6 أسابيع) بواقع وحدتين تعليمية في الأسبوع , واستنتجت

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المجتمع المجتمع الاسكندري: عاداته وتقاليده الاجتماعية في العصر المملوكي (648-923هـ/1250-1517م)
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ان دراسة الاحوال الاجتماعية في الاسكندرية خلال العصر المملوكي امر مهم لاسيما ان الحياة الاجتماعية في مصر عامة والاسكندرية خاصة اتصفت بكونها بطيئة التغيير خلاف جوانب الحياة الاخرى التي اتصفت بسرعة تغير مجراها كما وان تاريخ الاسكندرية الاجتماعي كان زاخرا بالكثير من نواحي النشاط الانساني من ميادين العمل والتسلية والترفيه والاعياد والافراح فضلا عن تنوع عناصره السكانية وهذا ما سنتناوله ضمن محاور هذا البحث.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 27 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الموارد الموارد المالية في الدولة الموحدية بين ما هو مشرع وما هو مستحدث
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  تعد الدولة الموحدية من اغلب دول العالم الاسلامي تميزا من حيث المذهب والايدلوجيا والنظام السياسي 

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 15 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Studying the effect of Different wt % AL2O3 Nanoparticles of 2024Al Alloy / AL2O3 Composites on Mechanical Properties
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The nanocompsite of alumina (Al2O3) produced a number of beneficial effects in alloys. There is increasing in resistance of materials to surface related failures , such as the mechanical properties , fatigue and stress corrosion cracking .The experimental results observed that the adding of reinforced  nanomaterials  type Al2O3  enhanced the   HB hardness, UTS, 0.2 YS and ductility of 2014 Al/Al2O3 nano composites . the analysis of experiments, indicated that The maximum enhancement was observed at 0.4 wt.% Al2O3. The ultimate improvement percentage were 15.78% HB hardness, 18.1% (UTS), 12.86% (

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Publication Date
Thu May 21 2020
Journal Name
کلیة الآداب جامعة بغداد
أثر الرمز في تشكيل اللوحة الشعرية (شعر ديك الجن" 161 636 ه" انموذجا)
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يرسم الشاعر صورة بالكلمات، ومتى ما تتابعت الصور صارت تمثل لوحة شعرية على قدر كبير من الفنية والابداع, وقد أكثر ديك الجن في شعره من هذه اللوحات ويلاحظ القارئ أن الرمز يعمل عملا مهما في تشكيل اللوحة، وظهرت أنواع متعددة من اللوحات منها اللوحة الرثائية, والغزلية, ومن الرموز التي وظفها ديك الجن رمز الظبي, رمز الديك, واستعمل رمز القبر وظهرت لوحات متنوعة في شعره، ومنها اللوحة الخمرية التي تجعل للخمرة احساسا ومشاعر وا

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