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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analytical study on the implications of the GATS Agreement and its implications on the Egyptian banking sector
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International trade in services is becoming increasingly important as it is an economic activity that deals with invisible trade, which has become increasingly important in the balance of international trade. The establishment of the WTO is a starting point in international trade relations. It is responsible for all aspects of international trade, , And in view of the continued increase in international trade in services, the need for more internationally recognized rules has become more urgent, especially as it has been increasingly proven that the traditional framework of public services is inadequate to operate some of the most dynamic and innovative sectors of the economy. (GATS) to be the regulatory framework for this sector

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
التحليل الاحصائي لتجارب القياسات المكررة للبيانات المصنفة في حالة معالجتين وثلاث معالجات
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من اهداف بعض التجارب هي معرفة تاثير التسلسلات المختلفة لبعض الادوية او التغذية او تجارب التعلم. وفي بعض الاحيان قد تكون الوحدات التجريبية نادرة لهذا نقوم باستخدام الوحدات التجريبية على نحو متكرر. او بسبب الميزانية المحدودة فان صاحب التجربة يخضع كل وحدة تجريبية لاختبارات عديدة ويطلق على هذا النوع من التجارب التي يتم فيها استخدام الوحدات التجريبية (الاشخاص) Subject على نحو متكرر

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 03 2003
Journal Name
Al-academy
التسليات في البلدان الاسلامية مشاهد حياة الطرب والالات الموسيقية كما يعكسها الفن
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التسليات في البلدان الاسلامية مشاهد حياة الطرب والالات الموسيقية كما يعكسها الفن

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Interactive Effects of Status Judgments and Individualism -Collectivism Orientation on Organizational Identification
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يهدف البحث الحالي الى استكشاف علاقات التفاعل والتاثير بين الاحتكام للمكانة والتوجه للفردية– الجماعية والدمج التنظيمي مستنداً على مزج اختلاف القيم الشخصية مع افكار نظرية الهوية الاجتماعية لبلورة نموذج البحث. وفي ضوء هذا تم صياغة عدد من الفرضيات التي توضح علاقات التفاعل ما بين ابعاد الاحتكام للمكانة والتوجه للفردية– الجماعية للتنبؤ بوجود الدمج التنظيمي. جمعت البيانات باستخدام استمارة الاستبيان ووزع

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 21 1930
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Quelques raisons du total et son impact sur l'interprétation du Coran: Study of explanatory models
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The reasons for the totality are varied and multiple, some of which are attributed to the methods of the Arabic language as the participant
Verbal and omnipotent differences in the oud of conscience, which are comprehensive reasons for language in all
And some of these reasons are due to the sciences of the Qur'an, such as cessation and initiation
The explanation of the explanation for the multiplicity of words and differences in them, which necessarily led to a dispute jurisprudence
Linked to the origin of disagreement in the interpretation of the totality and its orientation and understanding and to summarize this subject and diverge
Parts and vocabulary did not receive the necessary care and did not absorb the lesson an

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Features of the Quranic significance when Abdul Salam Yassin   at Light of the prophetic curriculum theory
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The study of the language through the prophetic curriculum in general and the semantics in particular through the books of Professor Abdul Salam Yassin, may God have mercy on him and the most distinctive linguistic phenomena, and then study semantics and the most prominent methods that reveal the emotions dominated by this study to indicate the semantics of religious terms In this research we try to dive into the sea of ​​significance to know the relationship between the words and their connotations, and to monitor aspects of semantic development, although we have left non-essential words in order to avoid lengthening. N or three and sometimes Aguetsarna on one example we thought it was enough to clarify the meaning.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 06 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الممارسات التدريسية لتدريسي أقسام كليات التربية جامعة بغداد في ضوء دوافع التعلم
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Find aimed to reveal the teaching practices of the teaching faculties of education departments of the University of Baghdad in the light of the motives of learning from the perspective of students . Researcher selected the research community in a deliberate humanitarian sections of students and faculties of education for girls and IbnRushd . Ed reached basic research sample ( 400 ) students were numbers search tool questionnaire , and included (30) paragraph . In processors statistical data , use the weighted average and the weight percentile , results have shown that it is more paragraphs which received wide acceptance from the viewpoint of students ( do not make fun of the students' answers wrong but corrects and discussed with them )

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 07 2009
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
مجتمع مدني ام مجتمع اهلي ؟ دراسة لواقع المجتمع المدني في البلدان العربية
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مجتمع مدني ام مجتمع اهلي ؟ دراسة لواقع المجتمع المدني في البلدان العربية

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 31 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The relationship between the rule of mental improvement and ugliness and the objectives of Sharia And its impact on rulings
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The research addresses a fundamental Islamic jurisprudential Purposeful issue, which is (Sharia), and to indicate the impact of this on Islamic jurisprudence, deriving rulings and extracting purposes, and to repel the illusion that this issue is only doctrinal, and clarifying the aspects of similarities and links between them by explaining the origin of deriving the purposes of Islamic Law (Sharia) through the meanings and wisdom learned from the texts and the explanation of the rulings. The rulings of Islamic Law (Sharia) have urged bringing benefits and repelling harms, and that the path to do so is reason and its production. I began the research by defining the purposes of Islamic Law (Sharia), then defining the rule of rational right

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
כאבי הילדות ברומן האוטוביוגרפי (סיפור על אהבה וחושך )של עמוס עוז
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תקציר

הילדות נחשבה השלב חשוב בתולדות האדם, וגם המשפיע ביותר בהיווצרות של אישיותו, משום שבו תתהווה את הליבה של ציוני דרך אישיותו של האדם, ויתגבש בו את ציוני דרכו ותכונותו שלו, וגם תשרטט את הבסיס העיקרי של מה יהיה האדם בעתיד. היות והילדות נשארה היא והשלכותיה בקרבו של האדם, עם זכרונותיה היפות והעצובים כאחד, במחקר זה עסקנו בילדותו של הסופר עמוס עוז כסיסמה לפענוח לדמותו, ולספרותו, כמו כן לכאבים שהעברו

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