تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
This study examined the effect of transformational leadership four main dimensions (ideal influence, inspirational motivation, intellectual stimulation, individual considerations) as the independent variable on the dimensions of empowerment (knowledge and skill, communication, trust, incentives).
The study sought to achieve a set of goals and most important: the study of the reality of the organization surveyed to identify strategies or policies with employees by transformational leadership, moreover see how much support such a leadership strategy for empowerment and describe the dimensions of empowerment of (knowledge and skill, communication, and trust , and incentives) and the extent of its contributio
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Abstract
The main goal of this study is to showcase the aesthetic values contained in Nahj Al-Balagha by exploring its wide horizons and enriching the subject of rhetoric with new forms and images that did not exist in other books, as they characterized no other book but Nahj Al-Balagha. Imam Ali mastered the use of rhetorical forms in his speech to the fullest extent that such forms raced to his thought one after the other to book their place amongst the topics of religious and earthly life. One of those rhetoric forms is synecdoche, in its various parts. Due to this form great importance and high status, it was used by the Imam at many
... Show Moreالقنوات الخلفية في السياسة الخارجية الامريكية
The codification of the social history of the city of Baghdad will be filled with an inherited folklore that has been descended to it from the previous generations with all its tales of folk tales, metaphors, parables, crafts and industries. Immortal
Abstract :
The study seeks to highlight the importance of moderate religious discourse and dialogue and the rejection of extremist discourse that renews the crises and wounds of history. And that is through the means and efforts exerted, which is changing the extremist religious discourse to a moderate religious discourse, as well as calling on religious figures, whether they are followers of Judaism, Christianity or Islam, to search for a common ground for understanding and coexistence, because extremism in the name of God is the enemy for all and not for countries or religions in particular.
Also, through the necessity of confronting terrorist threats by making more efforts
... Show MoreConvert is one of the Islamic manuscript that contains an important data as the finishing date of copy , the place of copy ,the name of the copy in addition to mention converting of many data about schools,and holy places. Many copiers tried to record historical data that can not be found in other places.
Praise be to Allah the Merciful, Praise be to him what has guided us and blessed, with thanks for what Olanna, Akram, and prayed God to Muhammad, the Seal of the Prophets and The God of the good and virtuous, and to his family Almentajabin.
The importance of this topic highlights through a multitude of research studies that addressed which attempted to determine the concepts and various dimensions and aspects which essentially associated with the intellectual background and the extraordinary specialization of the researcher or student or the angle of view that adopted to deal with this
In this study, NaOH dissolution method was applied to dissolve cellulose fibers which extracted from date palm fronds (type Al-Zahdi) taken from Iraqi gardens. In this process, (NaOH)-solution is brought into contact with the cellulose fibers at low temperature. Experiments were conducted with different concentrations of NaOH (4%, 6%, 8% and12%) weight percent at two cooling bath temperatures (-15 oC) and (-20oC). Maximum cellulose dissolution was 23 wt% which obtained at 8 wt% concentration of NaOH and at cooling bath temperature of -20oC. In order to enhance the cellulose fibers dissolution, the sample was pretreated with Fenton's reagent which consists of
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