Abstract

  Bivariate time series modeling and forecasting have become a promising field of applied studies in recent times. For this purpose, the Linear Autoregressive Moving Average with exogenous variable ARMAX model is the most widely used technique over the past few years in modeling and forecasting this type of data. The most important assumptions of this model are linearity and homogenous for random error variance of the appropriate model. In practice, these two assumptions are often violated, so the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and (GARCH) with exogenous varia

This research was carried out to study the effect of plants on the wetted area for two soil types in Iraq and predict an equation to determine the wetted radius and depth for two different soil types cultivated with different types of plants, the wetting patterns for the soils were predicted at every thirty minute for a total irrigation time equal to 3 hr. Five defferent discharges of emitter and five initial volumetric soil moisture contents were used ranged between field capacity and wilting point were utilized to simulate the wetting patterns. The simulation of the water flow from a single point emitter was completed by utilized HYDRUS-2D/3D software, version 2.05. Two methods were used in developing equations to predict the domains o

من نحن ؟ التحديات التي تواجه الهوية الامريكية 

This study includes the rebuilding of cities that war destroyed, which include some of the special policies that should be followed in order to build cities that war destroyed and which have importance in the national and humanitarian level, as well as some international experiences discussed including Warsaw, and the regional experiences, including Lebanon and concentrates on the foundation stone and evaluate it with global and regional experiences so that we can concluded with an integrated strategy that will achieve the best results in doing the reality that we live in these cities which are suffering from such disasters . In order to achieve the best goals we should review the best concepts and theories related to reconstruction afte

The study of the future of the international system currently appears, according to scientific data and existing facts in light of the emergence of international actors from non-states and international informal institutions, to be heading towards a non-polarity system and this trend is fueled by many variables to reduce polarity, and it is expected in the future that the international system will turn into a non-polarity.

Human witnessed over the centuries many of the important issues faced by the international community was centered on human rights in general and the persecution of refugees, especially according to many forms may be directly or indirectly leaves behind economic crises, social and humanitarian push world countries to rethink the mechanisms and the feasibility of developing agreements and laws and the role of international and regional organizations to protect peoplerefugeestatus.

The roots of international relations: peace or war: A critical review A great debate has taken place about international relations between scholars concerning peace and War .The concept of root is matched with that of exception. And the importance of the research lies in the ensuing results in the report about the legitimacy of war and the space it holds, so if the origin of international relation is war .the obstacles against it are going to decrease .and if the origin lies in peace then the dimension of its legitimacy will narrow. key words: international relation –peace-war. Résumé : L’Origine des relations internationales : guerre ou paix : révisions critiques L’origine des relations internationales entre guerre et paix, a s

قام هذا البحث بتسليط الضوء على التمييز الإيجابي للمرأة بين الاتفاقيات الدولية والتشريعات العراقية، وهو مجموعة من الإجراءات والتدابير التي تتبناها الدول لتعويض الفئات التي تعرضت للتمييز لفترات طويلة، مما ألحق بها الضرر. وقد مُورس التمييز ضد المرأة في العديد من جوانب حياتها، مما دفع المجتمع الدولي إلى تبني وسائل مختلفة لتخفيف معاناتها. ومن بين هذه الوسائل، جاءت “تقنية التمييز الإيجابي” لتحقيق مبدأ تكافؤ ال

يعد تعزيز التجارة الدولية في مقدمة اهتمامات اي دولة ، فكل دولة تسعى الى تقديم خدمة مشروعات لتنمية الخدمات والبنى التحتية بوسائل عدة ، ومن اهمها قيامها بتمويل تجارتها الداخلية والخارجية مما يؤدي الى ازدهار وتحقيق التنمية والنمو المستدامين في تلك الدولة . ولكي تؤدي التجارة الدولية دوراً بارزاً في تحقيق النمو والتنمية المستدامين، لابد من توافر بيئة تجارية دولية مناسبة و نظام تجاري دولي مساند لعملية التنمية فا