The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
يهدف هذا البحث الى تقدير الانموذج الخطي الجزئي (Partial Linear Regression Model) بإستعمال طريقتين من طرائق التمهيد وهما طريقتي التمهيد المويجي (Wavelet Smoother) والتمهيد اللبي (Kernel Smoother). تم استعمال تجارب المحاكات لبيان افضل تلك الطرائق في تقدير هذا النوع من النماذج بإختلاف الحالات والدوال وحجوم العينات والتباينات المستعملة. تم الاعتماد على معيار معدل متوسط مربعات الخطأ (Mean Average Squares Error) كأحد معايير المقارنة بين الطرائق. واثب
... Show MoreIn recent years, the attention of researchers has increased of semi-parametric regression models, because it is possible to integrate the parametric and non-parametric regression models in one and then form a regression model has the potential to deal with the cruse of dimensionality in non-parametric models that occurs through the increasing of explanatory variables. Involved in the analysis and then decreasing the accuracy of the estimation. As well as the privilege of this type of model with flexibility in the application field compared to the parametric models which comply with certain conditions such as knowledge of the distribution of errors or the parametric models may
... Show MoreThe research aims to
1 – The discloser of the level of moral values in the children of kindergarten.
2 - Building an educational program designed to develop moral values on the children of kindergarten.
3 - Knowing the impact of the program in the development of moral values in children
Purposive sample was selected consisted of 40 children and a child aged 5-6 years and to achieve objectives of the research promising measure of the moral values kindergarten has been applied to the children of the two groups was based on pre and post test
The aim of this study tousethree remedial method to the learning for mastering which :(learning for mastery incooperative small groups)and style (Re teaching using presentations by PowerPoint ), and style (homeworklearning by Microsoft word ) to in learning Movement Concatenation On Horizontal Bar in artistic gymnastics for men, as the aim of the research to identify any better methods to learn the movement in question , use the the experimental method to design with pretest and posttest equal totals , the subject of the study included on students second class in physical education and sport sciences , Baghdad University (2014-2015) ,The species used the specific manner by lot for selection , the subject divided into three empirical groups
... Show Moreتتطلب عملية التنمية الاقتصـادية في الدول النامية مبالغ كبيرة من رؤوس الأمـوال اللازمة لتنفيذ البرامج والخطط الاقتصادية، ولما كانت الاسـتثمارات التي تنفذها هذه الدول خلال حقبة معينة، تزيد على ما تم تحقيقه من موارد مالية محلية، فلابد أنْ يمول الفرق من خلال انسياب صافٍ لرأس المال الأجنبي (قروض ومساعدات) إلى الداخل خلال المدة نفسها، لغـرض سَدّ الفجوة في المـوارد المحلية المعدة للاسـتثمار، وعانت بعض د
... Show MoreThe search is contain compared among some order selection criteria (FPE,AIC,SBC,H-Q) for the Model first order Autoregressive when the White Noise is follow Normal distribution and some of non Gaussian distributions (Log normal, Exponential and Poisson distribution ) by using Simulation
The organizations recognize what the effective role of time management in achieving competitive advantage and success. But the effectiveness depends on integrating some organization actions which perspective are relating with it by significance relations and high affect. From this the research problem is arising، which descripe the recognizing of libraries managers for the role of some organizational actions. The samples from (40) libraries managers are chosen.
The major results: these organizational actions are related and affected on the time management if integrated with one anothers more than if related in separate. &nbs
... Show MoreThe research aims to identify the level of awareness of student teachers in the behavioral disorders and autism specialization about the diagnosing Autism Spectrum Disorder and Social (Pragmatic) Communication Disorder according to some variables. The study was conducted on a sample of (113) student teachers. The researcher employed the awareness scale of a teacher-screening questionnaire for autism spectrum disorder and social pragmatic communication disorder. The results showed that the average of teachers in the total degree of awareness of autism spectrum disorder and social communication have recorded a moderate degree. As for the awareness of autism spectrum disorder was high. Then, the awareness of social communication disorder wa
... Show MoreThe intensification of competition among all companies and at different levels has become necessary for every company need to continue to improve its performance in order to be able to face the competition and stay in the market. To achieve this, we must rely on the company's accounting information more accurate and appropriate and provided in a timely manner, for the purpose of use in planning and decision making.
So there must be information systems that help the administration to continuous development and improvement of the performance of companies in general, and this is what you need Jordanian companies, especially after the accession of Jordan to the field
... Show Moreكتاب المنهجية الحديثة في التخطيط والتدريب بكرة القدم أ.د. موفق مجيد المولى أ.د. جبار رحيمة أ.د. فاطمة عبد مالح كتاب (( المنهجية الحديثة في التخطيط والتدريب بكرة القدم )) تأليف د. موفق مجيد المولى ود. جبار رحيمة الكعبي ود. فاطمة عبد البصري تناول فيه العديد من الموضوعات العلمية الحديثة بكرة القدم