The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
لا يخفى دور التكنولوجيا في تصميم محطات المطارات الحديثة والمعاصرة منها، فقد شهد النصف الثاني للقرن العشرين عددا
غير قليل من المطارات تمثل فيها التكنولوجيا استعارة مجازية لثقافة العصر تؤثر على آلية التفكير والتصميم والانتاج معا. يهدف
البحث الى تحديد وتمييز هذه التوجهات وطبيعة تطبيقاتها في محطات المطارات المعاصرة .
حيث لم يعد تصميم محطات المطارات_ والتي تعد احدى اهم انواع الابنية المتخصصة_ يعتمد على اف
As the process of estimate for model and variable selection significant is a crucial process in the semi-parametric modeling At the beginning of the modeling process often At there are many explanatory variables to Avoid the loss of any explanatory elements may be important as a result , the selection of significant variables become necessary , so the process of variable selection is not intended to simplifying model complexity explanation , and also predicting. In this research was to use some of the semi-parametric methods (LASSO-MAVE , MAVE and The proposal method (Adaptive LASSO-MAVE) for variable selection and estimate semi-parametric single index model (SSIM) at the same time .
... Show MoreIn this research, some robust non-parametric methods were used to estimate the semi-parametric regression model, and then these methods were compared using the MSE comparison criterion, different sample sizes, levels of variance, pollution rates, and three different models were used. These methods are S-LLS S-Estimation -local smoothing, (M-LLS)M- Estimation -local smoothing, (S-NW) S-Estimation-NadaryaWatson Smoothing, and (M-NW) M-Estimation-Nadarya-Watson Smoothing.
The results in the first model proved that the (S-LLS) method was the best in the case of large sample sizes, and small sample sizes showed that the
... Show More In this paper the research represents an attempt of expansion in using the parametric and non-parametric estimators to estimate the median effective dose ( ED50 ) in the quintal bioassay and comparing between these methods . We have Chosen three estimators for Comparison. The first estimator is
( Spearman-Karber ) and the second estimator is ( Moving Average ) and The Third estimator is ( Extreme Effective Dose ) . We used a minimize Chi-square as a parametric method. We made a Comparison for these estimators by calculating the mean square error of (ED50) for each one of them and comparing it with the optimal the mean square
The technology of reducing dimensions and choosing variables are very important topics in statistical analysis to multivariate. When two or more of the predictor variables are linked in the complete or incomplete regression relationships, a problem of multicollinearity are occurred which consist of the breach of one basic assumptions of the ordinary least squares method with incorrect estimates results.
There are several methods proposed to address this problem, including the partial least squares (PLS), used to reduce dimensional regression analysis. By using linear transformations that convert a set of variables associated with a high link to a set of new independent variables and unr
... Show Moreجدلية التنظرية في الذاكرة المنظمة بين متاهة النماذج الصناعية وواقعيةالنموذج الهجين
The study included examination of three types of different origin and orange juice at the rate of recurring per sample, the results showed that the highest rates of acid (pH) in the A and juice were (4). And salts of calcium is 120 ppm in juice C and 86 ppm of magnesium in the juice B, for heavy metals the highest rate of lead .18 recorded ppm in juice B, 1.32 ppm of copper in juice A, 5 ppm of iron in the juice B, 1.3 ppm of zinc in the juice B, 0.05 ppm of aluminum in each of the sappy B and A, 0.02 ppm of cobalt in the juice B, 0.3 ppm of nickel in the juice B, 170.6 ppm sodium in C juice, but for the acids, organic that the highest rates were 3.2 part Millions of acid in the juice owner a, 260 ppm of the acid in the juice the ascorbi
... Show MoreThe purpose of this paper is applying the robustness in Linear programming(LP) to get rid of uncertainty problem in constraint parameters, and find the robust optimal solution, to maximize the profits of the general productive company of vegetable oils for the year 2019, through the modify on a mathematical model of linear programming when some parameters of the model have uncertain values, and being processed it using robust counterpart of linear programming to get robust results from the random changes that happen in uncertain values of the problem, assuming these values belong to the uncertainty set and selecting the values that cause the worst results and to depend buil
... Show Moreالمستخلص : في هذا البحث تم تقدير انموذج دالة التحويل في السلاسل الزمنية بأستعمال طرائق مختلفة منها معلميه متمثلة بطريقة طريقة دالة الترجيح الشرطية Conditional Likelihood Function فضلاً عن استعمال مقدرات لا معلميه تتمثل بطريقتين الانحدار الخطي الموضعي Local Linear Regression وطريقة الشريحة التمهيدية التكعيبية cubic smoothing spline والهدف من هذا البحث هو مقارنة تلك المقدرات مع انموذج دالة التحويل اللاخطية المعلمية باستعمال اسلوب ال
... Show Moreتم في هذه الدراسة أعادة التخطيط لتوزيع الهيئات الرقابية على االدارات الخاضعة لتدقيقها لدائرة تدقيق نشاط التمويل والتوزيع في ديوان الرقـابة المالية االتحادي ، وتم بناء أنموذج التخصيص العـام اعتمادا"على لسنة أنجاز أعمال الهيئات الرقابية لالدارات الخاضعة (2016 (أوقـات,حيث أنـه تـم بنـاء أنموذج ريـاضي لتدقيقهاللمجموعة االولى لهيئات هـذه الدائرة وذلك للحصول علىالتخصيص األمثل للهيئات الـرقـابية على االدارات وي
... Show More