تناولت الدراسة تحليل التباين المكاني للتركيبين العمري والنوعي للسكان وعلاقتهما بنسب الإعالة في إقليم جنوب العراق (البصرة، ذي قار، ميسان، المثنى، القادسية) خلال المدة الزمنية (2000-2025). واعتمدت الدراسة في معالجتها المنهجية على المنهج الوصفي التحليلي والمنهج المقارن، مستندة إلى بيانات مكانية – سكانية. خلُصت الدراسة إلى أن وحدات الإقليم دخلت مرحلة "الهبة الديموغرافية"، ببلوغ متوسط نسبة السكان في سن العمل (15-64 سنة) ما يتجاوز 58.91%. وكشفت النتائج عن تباين مكاني حاد في نسب الإعالة الكلية، إذ سُجلت أعلى القيم في البيئة الريفية الطاردة لمحافظة ميسان (76 معالاً لكل 100 فرد منتج)، بينما انخفضت في محافظتي القادسية (66)معالاً والبصرة (68) معالاً بدلالة تباين الخصائص الاقتصادية والاجتماعية للمكان. وأظهرت الدراسة تأثر التوزيع الجغرافي للتركيب النوعي بحركة الهجرة الداخلية ذات الدوافع البيئية والاقتصادية، حيث ارتفع معامل النوع في مركز الجذب الحضري (البصرة) إلى 103 ذكور لكل 100 أنثى، في مقابل اختلاله في المناطق الطاردة. كما أثبت القياس الإحصائي وجود علاقة ارتباط طردية تامة بين حجم فئة صغار السن ونسبة الإعالة الكلية، في مقابل استقرار مكاني منخفض لنسبة إعالة كبار السن وتراوحها بين 5 و6. وعلى ضوء النتائج، أوصت الدراسة بضرورة تبني سياسة تخطيط مكاني لا مركزية، وتوظيف الفائض البشري الشاب في قطاعات صناعية وزراعية مكانية بديلة عن القطاع النفطي، مع التدخل العاجل بيئياً في المحافظات الطاردة للسكان لكبح أنماط الهجرة البيئية غير المنتظمة.
Abstract
This research’s goal is to restore and to revive the jurisprudence of Mother of Believers (Um alMuaamineen) “Um Salmah” "may God bless her", and to highlight her outstanding assimilation and understanding of religion and her conscious thought. The current research is a comparative scientific theoretical study represented in the comparison of jurisprudence of “Um Salamah” with Hadiths of fasting and pilgrimage rules as well as the duration mentioned in jurisprudence of for doctrines( 4 schools of thought )to identify these hadiths with the inclusion and discussion of their evidence.
The current research included two topics: the first one is to identify and introduce
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In This Paper, some semi- parametric spatial models were estimated, these models are, the semi – parametric spatial error model (SPSEM), which suffer from the problem of spatial errors dependence, and the semi – parametric spatial auto regressive model (SPSAR). Where the method of maximum likelihood was used in estimating the parameter of spatial error ( λ ) in the model (SPSEM), estimated the parameter of spatial dependence ( ρ ) in the model ( SPSAR ), and using the non-parametric method in estimating the smoothing function m(x) for these two models, these non-parametric methods are; the local linear estimator (LLE) which require finding the smoo
... Show MoreThis paper aims at providing the teaching staff members with the necessary skills so as to become capable of tackling various situations, and treating daily problems that face students learning Spanish as a Second Language. This is made as an attempt to make teachers of foreign languages in general acquainted with modern trends of teaching with less complicated methods, specifically in teaching e earlier stages of foreign languages.
Abstracto:
En el presente trabajo pretendemos dotar al docente no nativo de Lenguas extranjeras, con algunos de los métodos necesari
... Show MoreWill address this research interaction and coordination between fiscal and monetary policies and the impact of this interaction and coordination on economic stability and growth، and how the financial implications of monetary policy may stimulate action monetary policy and treatment side effects and the nature of responsiveness and bounce between procedures both two policies and their impact on the balance of overall economic and explained in the folds of searchjustifications coordination and the extent necessary in order to address the imbalances in economic activity through twinning actions of monetary and fiscal، has embodied this coordination and interaction between policies and their impact m
... Show MoreIt is noted in the title that the paper studies the viewpoint in the novel The Dog and the Long Night by the Iranian novelist Shahranoush Parsi Pour and in the novel Alibaba's Sad Night by the Iraqi novelist Abdulkhaliq Ar-Rikabi. Both are well known novelists, and about whose stories and novels many critical books, MA theses, and Ph.D. dissertations have been written. Also, some of their literary works have won prizes. Here, the researcher shed light on the concept of viewpoint, its types, and its importance in novels in general. This was done along with tackling the two viewpoints in both novels, where similarities and differences were identified. For this end, the researcher has adopted the analytic-descriptive appro
... Show MoreThe science of jurisprudence is one of the legal sciences that scholars have been interested in since the first centuries of Islam, and they wrote many books about it, and the science of manuscripts is considered one of the scientific achievements in which many scholars emerged, including Imam Al-Samaani, so I chose this manuscript related to Istism to clarify its concept and meaning for all people, The student (Ali Ahmed Abdel-Aziz Sheikh Hamad) preceded me in the investigation of part of the book, and it was facilitated for me, by the grace of God Almighty, to investigate the issue (if one of the Muslim spouses apostatized and one of the infidel spouses converted to Islam until the end of the issue of if the two spouses were taken capt
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The changes that happened in the environment of business have great effects upon organizations with different activities specially the banks which requires the existence of an able opinion resources can adapt with the changes . Accordingly importance put upon intellectual capital which become one of the basic resources for organizations and one of success and growth elements with the availability of expertise , skills and capability of making essential changes in different process due to the presentation of innovations and creations of the to support banks activities .Therefore the intellectual capital represents the more r
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Bivariate time series modeling and forecasting have become a promising field of applied studies in recent times. For this purpose, the Linear Autoregressive Moving Average with exogenous variable ARMAX model is the most widely used technique over the past few years in modeling and forecasting this type of data. The most important assumptions of this model are linearity and homogenous for random error variance of the appropriate model. In practice, these two assumptions are often violated, so the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and (GARCH) with exogenous varia
... Show MoreThe study aims to show the correlation between inflation rates and the volume of private sector deposits in Jordan on one hand, and Amman Stock Exchange index for the period of 1999-2017. The study used the “Vector Auto Regression” model. Different types of tests are used such as: The “Johansen Co integration” test of joint integration, “Granger causality” test, the “Analysis of Variance Decomposition”, and “Impulse response Function” test.
The results showed there is a positive-one-way causal effect from Amman Stock Exchange index to inflation. Also, a one-way causal effect that comes from Amman Stock Exchange index to the size of private sec
... Show MoreThe investor needs to a clear strategy for the purpose of access to the financial market, that is, has a plan to increase The share of the profits thinking entrepreneur and new, and highlights the importance of this in that it sets for the investor when it goes to the market, and when it comes out of it, and at what price to buy or sell the stock, and what is the the amount of money it starts. Fortunately, he does not need to invent his own investment strategy, because over the years the development of effective methods of buying and selling, and once you understand how to work these methods investor can choose the most appropriate methods and adapted image that fit his style investment .
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