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Auto Risk Analysis in Iraq
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يتنامى يوما بعد يوم استخدام السيارات وتتعاضم اعدادها ، فهذا هو عصر السرعة، وخاصة في مجال النقل والمواصلات، والتي تتحقق باستخدام وسائل النقل المختلفة ومن بينها السيارات، وبالتالي اصبحت هذه الوسيلة ضرورية لتحقيق هذه السرعة ومن ضرورات الحياة في انجاز الاعمال.

وتتبارى مصانع السيارات فيما بينها لانتاج انواع السيارات بمواصفات عالية من المتانة والامان والراحة، وفي ذات الوقت اصبحت هندسة الطرق علما متخصصا في مجال تصميم وانجاز الطرق الخارجية والشوارع الداخلية في المدن بهدف الوصول الى اعلى انسيابية في حركة سير السيارات والمشاة وبما يحقق اعلى درجة من الامان فيها. ومن جهة ثالثة يزداد اهتمام الحكومات والمنظمات والاتحادات الوطنية والعالمية بخصوص سن القوانين واصدار الانظمة والتعليمات والتوجيهات الهادفة الى رفع درجة الامان في حركة سير السيارات .

رغم كل هذا وذاك تتعاضم وباتجاه معاكس اخطار السيارات والحوادث المتحققة عنها ، وبالتالي تتعاظم الخسائر البشرية والمادية الناجمة عنها ، حتى اعدت اخطار السيارات من الاوبئة التي تعاني منها الدول ومظهرا معيبا من مظاهر التكنلوجيا مما حدا بالعديد من الباحثين والمنظمات والحكومات الى التصدي لهذه الظاهرة بالبحث والتحليل في محاولة للكشف عن اسبابها والعمل على تحجيم تلك الاسباب والقضاء عليها او تقليل الخسائر الناتجة عنها .

ويعد هذا البحث ضمن سياق الدراسات والبحوث التي تتناول موضوع تحليل اخطار السيارات ، الا انه ذو منحى مختلف بعض الشيء، اذ يعمد الى تحليل هذه الاخطار باربعة اتجاهات في ذات الوقت: الاول في في تحديد اخطار السيارات والاهمية النسبية لكل منها، والثاني في تحديد الاسباب الرئيسة والفرعية والثانوية لهذه الاخطار والاهمية النسبية لكل منها، والثالث في تحديد الخسائر البشرية والمادية المتحققة من هذه الاخطار ، واخيرا فان الاتجاه الرابع هو في تحديد اساليب مواجهة هذه الاخطار من خلال التصدي لأسبابها. ويتكون البحث من اربعة اقسام : تضمن القسم الاول استعراضا لمفهوم الخطر ومفهوم تحليل الخطر اضافة الى الاساليب العلمية المستخدمة في عملية التحليل، فيما يتضمن القسم الثاني منهجية البحث مستعرضا مشكلة البحث وهدفه وحدوده والاساليب المعتمدة في تحليله وفي جمع البيانات، اضافة الى عدد من الدراسات السابقة في هذا المجال ، اما القسم الثالث فيتضمن تحليل اخطار السيارات في العراق معتمدا على استعراض انواع الاخطار وحجم تحقق كل منها واهميتها النسبية وكذلك الاسباب (الرئيسة والفرعية والثانوية) والنتائج السلبية المتحققة منها واساليب المواجهة، واخيرا تضمن القسم الرابع الاستنتاجات والتوصيات التي تمخض عنها البحث.

 

 

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 22 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Antimicrobial Resistance of Aeromonas salmonicida Isolated From Common carp (Cyprinus carpio) Fishes in Erbil City/ Iraq
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Aeromonas salmonicida is a fish pathogen and recognized to cause a variety of diseases in humans. There are a few information about A.salmonicida in Iraq and there is no any previous molecular study on it. During the period of December 2017 to May 2018; Sixteen isolates of the A. salmonicida were isolated and identified from 300 common carp (Cyprinus carpio) fishes stomach in aquarium of Erbil city/ Iraq by using manual, automated Vitek 2 compact system, and confirmed by PCR using gene TonB-dependent siderophore (364bp). Antimicrobial susceptibility was determined by disk diffusion method and the results found that all isolates 100% susceptible to imipenem, 100% resistant to nalidixic acid and variable resistan

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The construction of Investment Portfolios in the Iraq Stock Exchange: Market Timing Vs. an Efficient Selection
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Abstract

         Uncertainty, the deeply-rooted fact that surrounding the investment environment, especially the stock market which just prices have taken a specific trend until they moved to another one for its up or down. This means that the volatility characteristic of financial market requires the rational investor an argument led towards the adoption of planned acts to gain greater benefit in the goal of wealth maximizing. There is no possibility to achieve this goal without the burden of uncertainty and the risk of systematic fluctuations of investment returns in the financial market after the facts of  efficient diversification have pro

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 09 2018
Journal Name
اتحاد الاحصائيين العربوقائع المؤتمر الدولي العلمي السادس لاتحاد الاحصائيين العرب
The Use of Markov Chain to reveal the reality of non- oil econ0miv indicators in Iraq
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The research mainly seeks to predict the amounts of non- oil Iraqi exports which concludes ) Food & Animals , Raw materials and non- tanned Leather and fur , Mineral fuels and Lubricating Oil , Chemical substances and amounts , Manufactured goods , Electrical and non - electrical machines , Supplies and Total non- Oil exports ) by using Markov Chain as one of Statistical approach to forecasting in future . In this search We estimate the transliteration probabilities matrix according to Maximum Likelihood on a data collected from central organization for Statistics and information technology represents an index numbers of non- Oil exports amount in Iraq from 2004 to 2015 depending on 2007 as a basic year . Results shown that trend of index

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Iraq after 2003(reality and ambition)
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Foreign direct investment is considered one of important bases to blind economy for many. Countries as if the main stage for developing national economy ,so for this ,many of countries give great prominence to the role of drivel foreign investment due to its importance as one of economic growth pillars in the developing countries. They offer a support for modern technology, organizational and managerial skills.        

  Dneto the importance of direct foreign investment on the economic growth, today, we discover that Iraq in need to rebnlid the in frastructuve and renew what has been destroyed during was in many production and export institutions . as wel

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 21 2013
Journal Name
المؤتمر العلمي الدولي الرابع لاتحاد الاحصائيين العرب / بغداد
Estimating Fertility Rates in Iraq by using (Lee-Carter) Model And Forecasting for the Period (2012_2031)
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A large number of researchers had attempted to identify the pattern of the functional relationship between fertility from a side and economic and social characteristics of the population from another, with the strength of effect of each. So, this research aims to monitor and analyze changes in the level of fertility temporally and spatially in recent decades, in addition to estimating fertility levels in Iraq for the period (1977-2011) and then make forecasting to the level of fertility in Iraq at the national level (except for the Kurdistan region), and for the period of (2012-2031). To achieve this goal has been the use of the Lee-Carter model to estimate fertility rates and predictable as well. As this is the form often has been familiar

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Geological Journal
GEOHISTORY ANALYSIS AND BASIN DEVELOPMENT OF THE LATE BERRIASIAN-APTIAN SUCCESSION, SOUTHERN IRAQ
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The studied succession is deposited during late Berriasian-Aptian interval, which is represented by the Zubair, Ratawi, Yamama formations. The present study includes stratigraphic development and basin analysis for 21 boreholes (Rachi-1, 2; Rifaei-1, Diwan- 1; Ratawi-1, 2; Halfaia-5; West Qurna 12, 15; Nahr Umr-7,8; Zubair-47,49; North Rumaila- 72, 131, 158; Suba-7; Majnoon-2, 3 and Luhais-2, 12) distributed within 13 oil fields in the southern Iraq. The back-stripping process determined the original direction of basin depocenter for the studied succession. The Yamama basin in the study area stretches from southeast to southwest with single depocenters, it was located in the southeast of the study area near wells Mj-2, Mj-3.NR-8 and

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Impact of Non Iraqi shares trading on financial investment: An Applied in Iraq stock Exchange
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 The research aims to identify the extent of the impact of non-Iraqi trading of shares in the Iraq Stock Exchange on the overall financial investment in the market size. And it imposes a search and no statistically significant relationship between variable trading non-Iraqis, the size and the total volume of the market and took the search Iraq Stock Exchange sample to search being the only private place to trade securities in Iraq for the period of 2009- 2015 in order to see if there is a positive impact on the size of trading non-Iraqis or not. Search and adopted the annual reports issued by the Iraq Stock Exchange the main conclusion are:

Having a positive effect on the size of the trading of non-Iraqis in the financial vo

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 08 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
THE ROLE OF TAX IDENTIFICATION NUMBER IN TAX FRAUD PREVENTION : APPLIED RESEARCH AT THE GENERAL TAX AUTHORITY IN IRAQ
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This thesis aims to show the effects of the development of the traditional manual system of the tax accounting process to the electronic system by the activation of the tax identification numbers (TINs) mechanism. The impact of this development is facilitating the tax accounting process, tax fraudand thus increasing the tax outcome.To prove the research hypothesis, an electronic system was designed based on income tax report, estimation note of individuals, in additional to using Adobe Dreamweaver application to write PHP, HTML, Javascript, and CSS web languages to implement  the proposed system. The research reached a set of conclusions, the most important of which is; not enough the communication methods between the Genera

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Managing risk and its impact in the face of accidents and work injuries in industrial organizations
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The industrial sector of the important drivers of economic activity sectors due to having the capabilities and the potential to qualify biggest contribution to the economic development of the country, which requires the availability of a higher degree of safety in industrial organizations, and the preservation of the lives of employees and workers in emergency situations, and that all the work is not without its dangers, which produces in a year of uncertainty in the possible events get in the future, therefore, reduce the dangers that could be exposed to industrial organizations and management are at the heart of the strategic direction which works to stimulate thinking about the future and respond to the changes that occur in theextern

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The analysis of time series considers one of the mathematical and statistical methods in explanation of the nature phenomena and its manner in a specific time period.
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The analysis of time series considers one of the mathematical and statistical methods in explanation of the nature phenomena and its manner in a specific time period.

Because the studying of time series can get by building, analysis the models and then forecasting gives the priority for the practicing in different fields, therefore the identification and selection of the model is of great importance in spite of its difficulties.

The selection of a standard methods has the ability for estimation the errors in the estimated the parameters for the model, and there will be a balance between the suitability and the simplicity of the model.

In the analysis of d

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