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Effect Of Using Quantitative Methods Of Demand Forecasting In Improving Of Supply Chain Performance:" Case Study In One Of An Industerial Organization"
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Objecte The study aims to test the effect of using the appropriate quantitative method of demand forecasting in improving the performance of supply chain of the aviation fuel product ( The study sample), One of the products of the Doura refinery (The study site), By testing a set of quantitative methods of demand forecasting using forecasting error measurements, and choosing the least faulty, most accurate and reliable method and adept it in the building  chain.

Is the study of problem through a starting with the following main questions:

"Does the chosen of the appropriate quantitative method for demand forecasting affect the performance of supply chain of the aviation fuel product in the refinery (site the study)?"

The importance of study shows through investment all opportunities sales and reduce the opportunities

Adopted the study used the case study methodology to study the methods used in the Refinery to demand forecast for aviation fuel and analyze the supply chain, of the product  then test a set of quantitative methods to forecast  the demand of the sample of the study and choose the best method using predictive error measurements, to  depending it in the building  of supply chain proposed by the study, And then compare the performance of the current and proposed chain using a set of financial and quantitative measures most important (quantity of production, quantity of shortage deficit, total costs, revenues, profits) .

The study reached a set of conclusions the light of results the most important that the measurements adopted in the comparison of the two chain have indicated that the supply chain proposed by the study the current excelled supply chain of aviation fuel.

 

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
جدلية تنظير العلاقة بين الجماعية والتعاون في إطار نظرية المنظمة
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أشارت الجهود المعرفية السابقة إلى وجود اهتمام متزايد بالجماعات (Groups) على أساس أنها اللبنات الأساسية لقيام المنظمات. وقد فرض تعدد المنظمات في المجتمعات المعاصرة وتباينها من حيث أهدافها وطبيعة نشاطها، تجزئة فعالياتها إلى تخصصات عدة على وفق إطار تقسيم العمل، وبما أدى إلى تقسيم الأفراد العاملين إلى جماعات مختلفة في أدائها وأحجامها وشكلها، والتي تعمل جميعها لتحقيق هدف&

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
La femme fugitive dans ‘’A une passante’’ de Charles Baudelaire
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The main subject of this poem is a chance meeting between Baudelaire and unknown beautiful lady.  Her presence represents the far-fetched, magnificent beauty. This beauty forms an aspect of idealism that takes its real existence and disappears immediately.

 

This emotional poem deals with the continuous despair that dates back to the Romantic age where it was a key topic; the passing woman embodies destiny. All this comes from constant experience and mad love through the poet’s view to a woman paving the way toward the unknown. Baudelaire, however, noticed this unknown through a passer-by that reflected the real and magical image of this unk

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 12 2020
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الجوانب الادارية والقضائية في كتاب المسند للإمام ابي يعلى الموصلي
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The Studying of  historian aspects in Al-Hadieth books  , such as " Al-Musnad  Book    " subjected to  Al-Imam Abi Yalaa Al-mousily" ,has great importance in the field of Islamic history , in which Al- Al-Imam Abi Yalaa Al-mousily  has presented valued information that  have significant impact on the understanding of history, Have a significant impact on the understanding of Islamic history

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use the le'vy Model on stock returns for some Iraqi banks estimate
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In this article we  study a single stochastic process model for the evaluate the assets pricing and stock.,On of the models le'vy . depending on the so –called Brownian subordinate as it has been depending on the so-called Normal Inverse Gaussian (NIG). this article aims as the estimate that the parameters of his model using my way (MME,MLE) and then employ those  estimate of the parameters is the study of stock returns and evaluate asset pricing for both the united Bank and Bank of North which their data were taken from the Iraq stock Exchange.

which showed the results to a preference MLE on MME based on the standard of comparison the average square e

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 02 2013
Journal Name
مجلة حولية المنتدى
الثورات العربية واثرها على معادلة التحولات الاقليمية في الشرق الاوسط
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يعد موضوع الثورات العربية من الموضوعات التي تحظى بأهمية كبيرة على المستويين الاقليمي والدولي، لذا فقد طورت مؤسسات الابحاث الدولية ومراكز صنع القرار السياسي والاستراتيجي الاطر والمفاهيم الجديدة في مجال السياسة الدولية، نظرا للتطورات التي شهدتها المنطقة العربية والتي استدعت التطرق الى مجموعة من المفاهيم النظرية ذات العلاقة الوثيقة بما هو حاصل في المنطقة العربية من تغييرات مما تطلب الامر البحث والتدقيق ومن

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
دور مراقب الحسابات في ظل تكنولوجيا المعلومات المعقدة ومخاطر التدقيق
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بدأت الشركات تخطو خطوات متسارعة  باستخدام أنظمة تكنولوجيا المعلومات في عملياتها المالية وباعتماد قليل على الورق والذي يتم الاحتفاظ بالنسخ الأصلية منه تعزيزا للإجراءات التي تمت معالجتها الكترونيا. إن ممارسة الشركات وبشكل متزايد الأسلوب الواقعي (Virtualization) في علاقاتها مع الموردين والمستهلكين والشركاء أدى للحاجة المتزايدة للثقة والتأكيد على مثل هذه العلاقات مما يولد ضغطا  كبيرا ع

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 27 2020
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
أنساق المثاقفة التراثية في مجموعة "روحه البحر والريح" ليونس البوسعيدي
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Abstract traditional acculturation is one of the significant phenomena which is used in the old and modern arabic poetry.  Poets have found in this tradition and flourishing arena for acculturation and interaction to Express their thoughts and inspection

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Ali Şir Nevai Muhakemetül-lugateyn Eserinin Sesbilimi Özellikleri
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Önsöz
Ali Şir Nevai’nin vücuda getirdiği edebi Çağatayca, edebi ve canlı bazı Türk şivelerinin işlenmesinden ve kaynaşmasından hasıl olmuştur. Bu gün bu dilin
fonetik bünyesi hakkında, en çok bilgi veren, yine Nevai’nin kendisidir. Onun―Muhakeemet-ül-luğateyn‖ adlı eseri, bu bakımından büyük bir değer taşımaktadır.Bu eserinde Nevai, bir taraftan Türk dilinin Farsçaya üstünlüğünü ispata kalkışken, bir taraftan da kendi Türkçesinin fonetik ve morfolojik özelliklerini belirtmiştir. O, Arab imlası kaidesi üzerine ayni şekilde yazılarak, semantik yönden başka başka manalarda kullanılan kelimeleri sıralarken, açık bir surette, edebi Çağataya şivesinin fonetik bünyesini d

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 06 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
دور دور الوزير الفاطمي اليازوري وسياسته الداخلية والخارجية في مصر
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Anhdralazuri of Yazour a village Ramle Palestine, from a religious family of Abu Mohammed Yazouri arrived in Egypt in the year (439 AH / 1036 AD), and was aimed from behind, returned him to his previous position to assume spend Ramle, Fasttaa a senior statesmen to provide Abu Muhammad Yazouri L. Caliph assuming start, Vtm him so, raising its standing and became MetwallyDiwan or caliph, in the year (441 AH / 1049 AD) was assigned the Chief Justice did not stop at that, but the era of his post of the ministry a year (442 AH / 1051 AD), having proven merit in every Matulah, The minister Yazouri of the powerful minister aspiring and employers pens won several titles did not collect it for one by the judiciary, advocacy and ministry granted C

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
تداعیات ظاھرة الفساد المالي والاداري على حقوق الانسان في العراق
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The kinds of financial and administrational corruption have an important
dimensions and affects on human rights because of all events which happened in the world
made tackles concerning with this phenomena.
This article has been researched about an impacts of it to the nature of structural
social system especially its scopes items in institutionally and politically and economically
and culturally to be an obvious in all fields.
This phenomena should be studied carefully in order to put all remedies required
for set up with measures and procedures such as following :
1-the dependency on respecting all laws in the country.
2-the work with principles of accountability transparency in pro-active cooperation level.<

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