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jeasiq-2276
Using a hybrid SARIMA-NARNN Model to Forecast the Numbers of Infected with (COVID-19) in Iraq
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Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models were applied in the health sector to predict the numbers of people infected with the Covid-19 virus in Iraq where the data were collected via the website of the Iraqi Ministry of Health through the daily epidemiological situation of all Iraqi provinces for the period (2021\3\28 to 2021\8\15). When analyzing, studying, and comparing these models, the researcher noted that the hybrid model outperformed other models because it had the lowest value for the MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE so it was used to predict future values.

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences And Research
Farnesoid X receptor is an exciting new perspective target for treatment of diverse pathological disorders: Review
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Plant Archives
Effect of organic fertilizer sources and application methods on qualitativeand quantitativeapricot (Prunus armeniaca L.) fruit characteristics
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Publication Date
Tue Mar 13 2018
Journal Name
Mustansiria Dental Journal
Dimensional stability of heat-activated acrylic resin at different time intervals by different flask cooling methods
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This study was design to investigate the dimensional stability of heat-activated acrylic resin with different methods of flask cooling (15 minutes rapid cooling, one hour bench cooling, four hours delayed deflasking, and 24 hours delayed deflasking) at different time intervals (immediately, two days, seven days, 30 days) after deflasking. Heat-activated acrylic resin was used to prepare acrylic samples. Then, measurement of the distances where achieved between the centers of selected marks in the acrylic samples. They were measured at different time intervals for different methods of flask cooling. The results showed that the group samples of the four hours and 24 hours of delayed deflasking was insignificantly different from the control an

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 15 2022
Journal Name
International Journal Of Agriculture Environment And Food Sciences
Functional and numerical response of Hippodamia variegata (Goeze) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae) on Macrosiphum rosae (L.) (Hemiptera: Aphididae)
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In this study, functional and numerical response tests, which are important components in the selection of biological control agent, were carried out. In functional response trials, the amount of food consumed, attack rate (a) and handling time (Th) were calculated for each developmental period, depending on the number of preys given after 24 hours. The obtained results were evaluated with the Holling. In numerical response experiments, the development of the predator insect was examined depending on the number of preys given in certain numbers (5, 10, 20, 40 and 80) and the data were recorded. This phase of the trials continued until the individuals died. At this stage of the trials, the reproductive response of the p

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 22 2020
Journal Name
Lecture Notes In Civil Engineering
Geometric Nonlinear Synthetic Earthquake Analysis of Base Isolated Tall Steel Buildings Under Site-Specific Seismic Loading
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Publication Date
Sat Jul 15 2017
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Antibacterial activity of Rosmarinus officinalis and Dodonaea viscosa leaves extracts against Escherichia coli and Staphylococcus aureus
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Publication Date
Mon Apr 22 2024
Journal Name
2024 21st International Multi-conference On Systems, Signals & Devices (ssd)
Digital Twin-Based Decision-Making Technique for Diagnostic 2D Environment Line Following Error of Mobile Robot
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Publication Date
Tue Aug 28 2018
Journal Name
Mechanical Sciences
Mechatronic design and genetic-algorithm-based MIMO fuzzy control of adjustable-stiffness tendon-driven robot finger
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Abstract. This work presents a detailed design of a three-jointed tendon-driven robot finger with a cam/pulleys transmission and joint Variable Stiffness Actuator (VSA). The finger motion configuration is obtained by deriving the cam/pulleys transmission profile as a mathematical solution that is then implemented to achieve contact force isotropy on the phalanges. A VSA is proposed, in which three VSAs are designed to act as a muscle in joint space to provide firm grasping. As a mechatronic approach, a suitable type and number of force sensors and actuators are designed to sense the touch, actuate the finger, and tune the VSAs. The torque of the VSAs is controlled utilizing a designed Multi Input Multi Output (MIMO) fuzzy controll

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 05 2016
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis, Characterization of some New 1, 3, 4-Oxadiazole derivatives based on 4- amino benzoic acid
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In this research various of 2,5-disubstituted 1,3,4-oxadiazole (Schiff base, oxo-thiazolidine , and other compounds) were synthesized from 2,5-di(4,4?- amino-1,3,4-oxadiazole ) which use quently synthesized from mixture of 4-amino benzoic acid and hydrazine in the presence of polyphosphorus acid. The synthesized compounds were characterized by using some Spectral data (UV, FT-IR, and 1H-NMR).

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Asian Journal Of Chemistry
Preparation, Characterization and Biological Activity of New Tridentate Imine-Oxime Ligand (H2L) and Its Metal Complexes
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