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jeasiq-2089
Predicting Social Security Fund compensation in Iraq using ARMAX Model
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Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
أسس بناء الجهاز الاداري الكفء : قراءة في عهد الامام علي بن ابي طالب لمالك الأشتر
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أسس بناء الجهاز الاداري الكفء : قراءة في عهد الامام علي بن ابي طالب لمالك الأشتر

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تصـمـيم ومــحـاكاة سلسلة التجـهـيز الالكترونية دراسـة حـالة في الـشـركة الـعـامـة للـصـناعـات الـصـوفية – مـعـمل 1 أيـار
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Supply Chain Management (SCM) attempts to a create a synchronization of the firm’s processes and those of the supplier to match the flow of materials, services, and information with the customer demand. Due to its importance, the SCM has become inevitable to modern companies. Therefore this research work has been conducted to set a theoretical and applied basis to assist the 1 AYAR factory in adopting the Electronic Supply Chain (e-SC).  To accomplish that the searchers applied many tools such as: quantitative and qualitative analysis, process analysis, Visual Basic software, Monte Carlo Simulation to simulation the designed supply chain to compare its performance against the actual performance of the current supply chain

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of leadership patterns on the phenomenon of jop burnout among employees at Baghdad College of Economic Sciences University
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This study deals with the impact of leadership styles in its three main dimensions (democratic, autocratic, lenient) as an independent variable of the dimensions of functional combustion (emotional stress, inhumanity, personal achievement). The research sought to achieve a set of goals, the most prominent of which are: studying the reality of the researched organization to identify the leadership patterns used in its management and its impact on the phenomenon of functional combustion, Moreover, knowing the extent of support for these established patterns and their contribution to mitigating the phenomenon of functional combustion in the organization's environment, and testing the impact of these leadership patte

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Speech Acts Through Ages - A Comprative Study between Traditional and Modren Approches
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This study has been developed axes of the search, including: Search (deliberative) language and idiomatically, and Description Language (b social phenomenon), and the definition of the theory of (acts of speech), and discussed the problem of the conflict between tradition and innovation, as defined objectively have a target aimed at reviving the deliberative thought when Arab scholars , and the balance between the actual done Arab and Western rhetoric, but Meet in intellectual necessity, a sober reading that preserve the Arab language prestige, and its position in the light of the growing tongue Sciences, as long as we have inherited minds unique, and heritage huge able to consolidate the Arab theory lingual in linguistics.

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مصطلح مصطلح (i3-gal2) في ضوء نصوص مسمارية غير منشورة من عصر سلالة أور الثالثة
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The verbal formula // i3-gal2 //is a commonly form in the written Sumerian economic texts, starting from the early dynastic period (2900-2372 BC), ending with the Ur III dynasty (2112-2004 BC).  This formula has appeared either without infixes, or accompanied by infixes like / in-da-gal2/,  corresponded in Akkadian the formula: ibaššu ,which is  means "to found, to Storage ", As to the formula / da / come to indicate "to found with, to storage with--).

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
إيجاد الحل المقبول (الممكن) والأمثل لأنموذج البرمجة الخطية في ظل عدم تحقق شرطّي الإمكانية والأمثلية
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تعد البرمجة الخطية عاملاً مؤثراً وفعالاً في عملية صنع و إتخاذ القرار عندما تكون الموارد متاحة أو متوفرة لكي تعطي أهدافاً معينة ، وتكمن البرمجة الخطية في حل وتقييم الانشطة أو الفعاليات عند تطبيق إحدى أدواتها وهي الطريقة المبسطة العامة ، التي يكون فيها الحل مقبولاً (ممكناً) ويجب التوصل الى الحل الامثل عندها تسمى بالطريقة المبسطة الاولية أو يكون الحل فيها أمثلاً ويجب التوصل الى الحل الم

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الحجاج الحِـجاج في الشـعر الأنـدلـسي_ عـصر الطوائـف - (حجاجية الورد والنرجس لأبي بكر بن القوطية* أنموذجاً)
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Argumentation in the era of Andalusia poetry Denominate on the orbital roses and narcissus to Abu Bakr bin Gothic model research deals with the subject of Argumentation and employment in Andalusia Poetry has been studied in two sections display in the first reasons of self- Argumentation included human relationships

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر استراتيجية التدريس التبادلي في اكتساب مهارة قراءة الخريطة الجغرافية لدى طالبات الصف الخامس الأدبي
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The aim of this study is to find out the effect of reciprocal teaching   on the fifth literary class pupils in acquiring the skill of geographic map reading. The researcher uses the partial experimental design/pre- post-test for two equivalent control and experimental groups.

   The population of the study is represented by the fifth literary class pupils at a school of the Directorate of Education /Baghdad Karkh second. The sample is selected randomly as section (A) the experimental group and section (C) the control group. The sample total number is (60) pupils, (30) pupils for each group. The two groups are equalized in the following variables: IQ, age and the pupils’ previous geog

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر استراتيجية ( فكر – زاوج – شارك ) في تحصيل مادة التاريخ والاحتفاظ بها لطلاب الصف الرابع الأدبي
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The current research aims to know on influence strategy (thinking – pairing – sharing) in learning subject of Islamic civilization of Arab and keep it for students 4th class / literary in order to aim of research , the researcher takes measures of experimental method which included selection of experimental designing with partial adjustment in two groups (experimental and controlling) . Experimental group studies according to strategy (thinking – pairing – sharing) , while controlling group studies according to normal way , the researcher choose Zari secondary school for boys in Baghdad intently to run experiment within it. Sample of studying consist of from (64) students , by (32) student in experimental group and (32) students

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
مجله كليه التربيه للبنات
دراسه الاعلان التلفزيوني وتأثيره في السلوك االاستهالكي لدي عينه من الاطفال بعمر(9-12) سنه
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