Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
That God Almighty coast with good things to eat and permitted smug, which did not like Muharram, and the Almighty said: Eat well and do good.
The Prophet peace be upon him if making him some of his friends food and preen it on as it was their situation at the time and then called him an answer to that, and most people prefer to eat and drink on the other other sanctuary Kalmbus and the audio and others
Differences in transversal sections and activities of geomorphological operations led to forming geomorphological shapes as river turns and river isles in watercourse in the area of study. The study showed three river turns that are Sindia turn with length 4723m, turn wave 3599 average width 267.6, Zanbour turn length 11374m, turn wave 7110 average width 307.5m,and Dojama turn with length 5876m, turn wave 4982m average width 313.4m. This difference is caused by the activity of erosion and sedimentation that led to the appearance of the length rivers turn.
The study showed that the turn of Dojama is the only corresponding turn, whereas the phenomena of corresponding never appeared in other turns in the area of study. The study also sho
A freshwater bivalve plays a crucial function in aquatic habitats as the filtered water and burrowing mussels mix the sediment, thus increasing oxygen content and making the ecosystem healthier. The aim of the study is to see how chlorpyrifos affects biochemical markers in freshwater mussel Unio tigridis. About 180 individuals per taxon and water samples were collected from the Qandil water resource on the Greater Zab River, Erbil Province, Iraq. Once arrived at the lab, the individuals were kept in aquaria with river water and an air-conditioned room Temperature: 25±2 and Light: 12h/12h and acclimatized to laboratory conditions for seven days in aged tap water. The mussel's identification molecularly and the DNA sequence of t
... Show Moreان الهدف من هذا البحث هو التعرف على أثر انموذج التفكير النشط في تحصيل طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط لمادة العلوم و تفـكيرهم البصري. تكونت عينة البحث من (58) طالباً، يتوزعون بين مجموعتين احدهما تجريبية و اخرى ضابطة. تم اعداد اداتين مقننتين احداهما لقياس التحصيل والاخرى لقياس التفــكير البصري، وبعد تطبيق تجربة البحث والحصول على البيانات، التي تمت معالجتها احصائيا باستخدام البرنامج الاحصائي(SPSS)؛ كشفت النتائج عن تفوق
... Show MoreThe research study aims to investigate the prevalence of the phenomenon of drags and the causes of this phenomenon from the teachers point of view Two hundred Teachers participated in this study Questionnaire was used to collect the data .
The results emphasized the importance 0f the educational counseling through different procedure to prevent drugs abuse . the results also&
... Show Moreيهدف البحث الحالي إلى معرفة اثر التدريس بطريقة التنقيب الحواري في حفظ النصوص الأدبية لدى طلبة قسم اللغة الكردية، اختارت الباحثة طلبة المرحلة الثانية في قسم اللغة الكردية بكلية التربية ابن رشد، للعام الدراسي
(2008-2009) ميدان لتطبيق تجربتها.
تألفت عينة الدراسة من (48) طالبا وطالبة، تم توزيعها عشوائيا إلى مجموعتين، مجموعة ضابطة (درست بالطريقة الاعتيادية) تألفت من (23) طالبا وطالبة ومجموعة تجريبية (درست بطريقة الت
ABSTRACT
Learning vocabulary is a challenging task for female English as a foreign language (EFL) students. Thus, improving students’ knowledge of vocabulary is critical if they are to make progress in learning a new language. The current study aimed at exploring the vocabulary learning strategies used by EFL students at Northern Border University (NBU). It also aimed to identify the mechanisms applied by EFL students at NBU University to learn vocabulary. It also aimed at evaluating the approaches adopted by EFL female students at Northern Border University (NBU) to learn a language. The study adopted the descriptive-analytical method. Two research instruments were developed to collect data namely, a survey qu
... Show Moreتعيش قارة آسيا حالة فريدة تكاد تقترب من حالة أوروبا قبل الحرب العالمية الثانية، فالقارة حاليا تحتوي على العديد من القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة أبرزها الصين وروسيا والهند واليابان، أما القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة في نطاق نظمها الإقليمية الفرعية نجد من أهمها الكوريتين (الشمالية والجنوبية)، وباكستان، وإيران وغيرها، ووجه الاختلاف عن أوروبا هو أن آسيا منطقة شاسعة جغرافياً، وكل نظام إقليمي فرعي فيها هو نظام قاري بحد ذات
... Show MoreAbstract
The current research aims at identifying any of the dimensions of organizational learning abilities that are more influential in the knowledge capital of the university and the extent to which they can be applied effectively at Wasit University. The current research dealt with organizational learning abilities as an explanatory variable in four dimensions (Experimentation and openness, sharing and transfer of knowledge, dialogue, interaction with the external environment ), and knowledge capital as a transient variable, with four dimensions (human capital, structural capital, client capital, operational capital). The problem of research is the following questio
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