Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
This study attempts to highlights on the evaluation of performance efficiency for Investments in both National & Iraqi Insurance companies for the years 2001-2010 and their importance on those companies and the economy of the country in order to find out the investment areas and to compare between investment activity and its revenues as well as to compare performance of both companies in investment field.
The study was based on annual reports and balance sheets of both companies. In many chapters, this study dealt with theoretical and practical aspects of the investments and its revenues. Key hypothesis was based on this study, including four parts of Sub hypotheses about (statistical effective relationship between the
... Show MoreThe Andalusi did not leave any poetic art without expressing his psychological and sentimental emotions and the depth of emotions and it sincerity. We found Andalusian translated his emotions into poetry and in many different subjects. The Poetic images and the analogies were plentiful in their poetry.
يعيش المجتمع العالمي أزمات بنيوية ونسقيه عميقة واختلالات وظيفية أسهمت في تنامي مظاهر الصراع المختلفة واشتداد تفجر الأزمات الهوياتية وتزايد الامراض الاجتماعية المقضة للعيش المشترك والمربكة لمظاهر التعايش والتآلف مع لجوء إنسان العصر الحالي الى التقوقع والاحتماء والانزواء تحت هويات ضيقة ونحل صغيره في مشهد يظهر مدى تراضي شبكة العالقات الاجتماعية على أداء وظائفها وأصبح عندها الاغتراب والقلق واللاتضامن والع
... Show MoreTraining has an effect on employees’ performances. Accordingly, the person who is responsible for employees’ development must figure out the most effective way to train and develop employees. Central Michigan University (CMU) has recognized the importance of providing appropriate training for employees who have a duty in advising students. The reason is that these employees have a significant impact on students’ educational performances. Thus, special attention to this category of employees is needed to improve advising quality. This research attempted to explore the impact of training on academic advising at CMU. Face-to-face interviews and online surveys were used as data collection tools for this study. The study scope c
... Show MoreDespite the global economic downturn, online e-commerce, especially the sale of counterfeit goods, continues to witness a rise in sales, and one of the important players in e-commerce is the owners of e-commerce auction sites. Although they do not have a direct role in trademark infringement, they still consider them indirectly responsible (secondary liability) for infringing on their trademarks. Thus, many cases have been filed by the owners of the original trademarks (which have been infringed by persons who have sold some of the goods and products that are imitating their marks through some electronic auctions) against the owners of those auctions. In view of the international character of the Internet, in different countries, and despit
... Show Moreان الصراع الداخلي السوداني مابين قوات الدعم السريع وقوات الجيش السوداني والذي يشير الى حدوث اكبر ازمة انسانية عالمياً مرتبط بالتفاعلات الخارجية للدول الاقليمية وتعد دولة الامارات العربية المتحدة أكثر الدول التي تُثار حولها الاتهامات بشكل متكرر. لذا تهدف هذه الورقة البحثية الى دراسة العلاقة مابين دولة الامارات العربية المتحدة والصراع في السودان مستخدماً المنهج الوصفي التحليلي ومن خلال الدراسات العلمية و
... Show Moreمن اهداف بعض التجارب هي معرفة تاثير التسلسلات المختلفة لبعض الادوية او التغذية او تجارب التعلم. وفي بعض الاحيان قد تكون الوحدات التجريبية نادرة لهذا نقوم باستخدام الوحدات التجريبية على نحو متكرر. او بسبب الميزانية المحدودة فان صاحب التجربة يخضع كل وحدة تجريبية لاختبارات عديدة ويطلق على هذا النوع من التجارب التي يتم فيها استخدام الوحدات التجريبية (الاشخاص) Subject على نحو متكرر
... Show MoreThe study aims at identifying the morphological and psycho-socio-economic qualities wished to be in a life partner among a sample of Palestinian youth. The total sample was (231) and consisted of (83) male and (148) female students. Each student presented a detailed report on the qualities he/she wished to be in life partner. The study used the descriptive approach and content analysis method. The validity and stability of the analysis were calculated. The results showed eight qualities in both groups: physical, psychological, emotional, social, intellectual, familial, economic and academic. Female students were found to have more variations than male students in terms of the qualities preferable in the life partner. Male students
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