The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.
Experience the Islamic financial industry faces many challenges, most notably the lack of proper risk management tools that meet the requirements of legality and economic efficiency advantage from another side, so it requires the search for innovative ways to manage the risk of Islamic banking, Islamic finance industry is manufacture up-to-date, if compared with the financial industry (traditional), which increases the problematic of risk management in the Islamic financial industry nature of treatment which should be compatible with Islamic law, as well as economic efficiency, thereby Progress came the importance of research to highlight the entrance to Islamic financial engineering and the goals sought to be achieved through the use of
... Show More(فتح الرحمن بكشف ما يلتبس في القرآن ) لزكريا الأنصاري (ت 926 هـ ) مصنَّف مهم تبارت فيه علوم العربية لفكّ ما يثيره ظاهر آيات قرآنية من لبس لدى المتلقي ، فكان للبلاغة السطوة في ذلك ، ولأهميته طبع طبعات كثيرة ، خمس منها بتحقيق محمد علي الصابوني ، وهو التحقيق المهمين الشائع ، غيرأنه لم يستوفِ الأسلوب العلمي في اخراج النصوص، إذ بدت فيه مزالق كثيرة بينَ تغيير وسقط ووهم وتحريف وتصحيف ودمج مما استنهض فكرة هذا البحث ، للتنب
... Show Moreيهدف البحث الحالي إلى دراسة تأثير المناخ التنظيمي لشعب الرياضة المدرسية في اقسام الانشطة الرياضية على مدرسي التربية الرياضية لأهمية المناخ التنظيمي لما يمثله من الخصائص والسلوكيات التي يتأثر بها العاملون التي قد تتباين من مكان لآخر والبيئة الجغرافية وثقافتها النوعية وذلك باستخدام المنهج الوصفي ولتتحقق من خلال الدراسة الميدانية, يتمثل مجتمع البحث الحالي من مدرسي التربية الرياضية في مدارس محافظة بغداد وال
... Show MoreObjective: To find out the relationship between vaginal bleeding during third trimester and pregnancy outcomes. Methodology: A purposive sample is "Non-probability" of (100) women who had diagnostic vaginal bleeding during third trimester (27-40wk) of pregnancy, and who visited the Bint Al-Huda Hospital for the period from 15th Feb. to 17th May 2015.Validity and reliability of questionnaire are determined through pilot study. Descriptive and inferential statistical procedures were used to analyze the data, and the data were collected by using interview technique, constructed questionnaire has been desig
Obesity-related deaths continue to rise, and thus losing weight in overweight and obese patients is critical to prevent complications. Anredera cordifolia (Ten,) Steenis, species of succulent plant of the genus Basellaceae, is widely used in herbal medicine to decrease body weight. This study evaluated the potential benefits of Anredera cordifolia ethanol extract to reduce body weight in high-fat diet-induced obesity rat model. This was an experimental with post-test only control group design study involving 36 obese rats. They were divided into two groups: three control groups (K1, K2, K3) and three treatment groups (P1, P2, P3). All the groups were induced with high-fat diet, except K1 control group that received a standard di
... Show MoreThe problem of the current research has been crystallized through the study of the current reality of teaching Islamic Education in the intermediate schools. In order to get realistic results and to built on them the recommendations and suggestion that might help in improving teaching Islamic Education with more effective styles in the intermediate and secondary schools, this research has been formulated with the following question:
What are the common methods and styles used in teaching Islamic Education in the intermediate schools?
The importance of the research can be summarized as follows:
- The importance of the Islamic Education according to its
Sought researcher to try to detect the type and size of the problems detected in or discovered or exposed or trying to find solutions to them as teachers and lecturers who are studying the educational, psychological and social articles in college studying these materials, whether the jurisdiction or extra materials, and clarified language definitions and terminology for search terms, indicating the importance of research into the problem of these either for teachers or for their students, and prepared a questionnaire organization questions open to get a clear responses and the Organization of the kind of problems faced by the lecturers and their students who are dealing with the educational, ps
... Show MorePurpose: This research seeks to provide a point of view based on the creation of sustainable value to the customer of the banks in the context of total quality management and relationship marketing. It aims to develop a model to measure the value of sustainable customer peduncular under total quality management PAL (administrative leadership, involvement of employees, continuous improvement, process improvement, staff training), through the mediation of relationship marketing and objective dimensions (administrative leadership, involvement of employees, continuous improvement, improving processes , staff training), and to explore any of the variables and dimensions more influential in the creation of sustainable value to the cust
... Show MoreThe objective of this research is to analyze the relationship between the Factors of critical success and sustainable competitive advantage, and I have tested Search Company Mu'tasim General Contracting, through applied on a sample of (90) manager, engineer and project manager, spread over sections and the company's projects surveyed. has been selected sector construction industry as one of the sectors vital and important that play a major role in the advancement of Iraq's infrastructure under the current circumstances, which epresent a set of Projects are Mu'tasim General Contracting construction imple
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