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Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
SYNTHESIS AND CHARACTERIZATION OF NEW DEMULSIFIER FROM NATURAL AND SYNTHETIC POLYMER: SYNTHESIS AND CHARACTERIZATION OF NEW DEMULSIFIER FROM NATURAL AND SYNTHETIC POLYMER
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ABSTRACT

This research included the preparation and characterization of new demulsifies from natural and synthetic polymers of chitosan and polyvinyl alcohol that are environmentally friendly and at the same time have high efficacy comparable to emulsifiers. imported foreign. The prepared compounds were examined using infrared spectroscopy and nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy, and all the spectral signals of the polymers were in good agreement with the chemical composition of the polymers. And the melting and decomposition that occur on polymers at high temperatures. The effect of the length and type of side chain in the compositions of polymers on the process of water separation of oil emulsions w

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Methods of forecasting demandOn the blood substanceApplied study at the National Blood Transfusion Center
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The current research deals with short term forecasting of demand on Blood material, and its' problem represented by increasing of forecast' errors in The National Center for Blood Transfusion because using inappropriate method of forecasting by Centers' management, represented with Naive Model. The importance of research represented by the great affect for forecasts accuracy on operational performance for health care organizations, and necessity of providing blood material with desired quantity and in suitable time. The literatures deal with subject of short term forecasting of demand with using the time series models in order to getting of accuracy results, because depending these models on data of last demand, that is being sta

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
فاعلية أستراتيجية ثنائية التحليل والتركيب في تحصيل طالبات الصف الرابع العلمي والتفكير عالي الرتبة في مادة علم الأحياء
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The current research aims to study (the effect of strategy of analysis - synthesis duality in the collection of scientific fourth stage students and high-order thinking in Biology material). For evidence the objective of the research, the researcher formulated the following two null hypotheses: 1. There is no significant difference at the statistical level (0.05) between the average of scores of the experimental group students that will study according to the dualism strategy of analysis and structure and the average of scores of the controlled group students that will study according to the normal way in the collection. 2. There is no significant difference at the statistical level (0.05) between the average of scores of the experimenta

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 15 2017
Journal Name
Global Journal Of Bio-science And Biotechnology
ISOLATE AND IDENTIFICATION OF PSEUDOMONAS AERUGINOSA FROM CONTAMINATED SOIL WITH HYDROCARBONS DISCHARGED FROM GAS FILLING REFINERIES
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Petroleum is one of the most important substances consumed by man at present times, a major energy source in this century, petroleum oils can cause environmental pollution during various stages of production, transportation, refining and use, petroleum hydrocarbons pollutions ranging from soil, ground water to marine environment, become an inevitable problem in the modern life, current study focused on bioremediation process of hydrocarbons contaminants that remaining in the bottom of gas cylinders and discharged to the soil. Twenty-four bacterial isolates were isolated from contaminated soils all of them gram negative bacteria, bacterial isolates screening to investigate the ability of biodegradation of hydrocarbons, these isolates inocula

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Silver nanoparticles synthesized by three species of genus Streptococcus and evaluate their synergistic effects with the oil extracted from Syzygium Aromaticum on some clinical bacterial isolates
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Silver nanoparticles synthesized by different species

Publication Date
Fri Dec 03 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Optoelectronic And Biomedical Materials
Antibacterial activity with eggshell nanoparticles activated by microwave plasma.
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The eggshell cuticle is the proteinaceous outermost layer of the eggshell which regulates water exchange and protects against entry of micro-organisms. Outer eggshell and cuticle protein was extracted from domestic chicken. The aim of the research is to find out the effect of the treated and untreated nano particles of egg shells with micro wave cold plasma on the effectiveness of E. coli (negative bacteria) that infect the skin and measure the diameter of bacterial inhibition zone, the eggshell has been prepared by a chemical method (sol gel) and measure the level of acidity and the PH is neutral. The result of Atomic Force Microscope (AFM) shows that the particles diameters become smaller with nano-particles solution than for egg

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 15 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of College Of Education
تحضيروتشخيص بعض المعقدات الفلزية مع ليكاندات مختلطة من ا*موكسولين و٣-بيكولين
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يتضمن ھذا البحث تحضير وتشخيص بعض المعقدات الفلزية التي تحوي على ليكاندات مختلطة ل (Amoxicillin)( Axn (و(Picoline-٣) (Pic-٣ (وقد تم دراسة ھذه المعقدات بالطرائق الطيفية (اIشعة تحت الحمراء و اIشعة المرئية –فوق البنفسجية والتوصيلية الموIرية والحساسية المغناطيسية ، ومن نتائج ھذه الدراسات التشخيصية امكن اعطاء الصيغة المقترحة العامة لھذه المعقدات و كاIتي

Publication Date
Sun Apr 08 2018
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Design of Hybrid Neural Fuzzy Controller for Human Robotic Leg System
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 In this paper, the human robotic leg which can be represented mathematically by single input-single output (SISO) nonlinear differential model with one degree of freedom, is analyzed and then a simple hybrid neural fuzzy controller is designed to improve the performance of this human robotic leg model. This controller consists from SISO fuzzy proportional derivative (FPD) controller with nine rules summing with single node neural integral derivative (NID) controller with nonlinear function. The Matlab simulation results for nonlinear robotic leg model with the suggested controller showed that the efficiency of this controller when compared with the results of the leg model that is controlled by PI+2D, PD+NID, and F

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 30 2018
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Materials Science And Engineering
Damage pattern scope prediction for well point dewatering on building foundations
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 03 2024
Journal Name
Mesopotamian Journal Of Cybersecurity
Using Information Technology for Comprehensive Analysis and Prediction in Forensic Evidence
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With the escalation of cybercriminal activities, the demand for forensic investigations into these crimeshas grown significantly. However, the concept of systematic pre-preparation for potential forensicexaminations during the software design phase, known as forensic readiness, has only recently gainedattention. Against the backdrop of surging urban crime rates, this study aims to conduct a rigorous andprecise analysis and forecast of crime rates in Los Angeles, employing advanced Artificial Intelligence(AI) technologies. This research amalgamates diverse datasets encompassing crime history, varioussocio-economic indicators, and geographical locations to attain a comprehensive understanding of howcrimes manifest within the city. Lev

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