The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.
In view of the huge and speedy development of the information and communications technology sectores which cover all the life aspects. The traditional government started to adopt the Electronic Government Concept to deliver the information, services and product marketing to the beneficiaries through the Internet and Computer system. The E-government became inevitable necessity that should be applied in every country wishes to face the Modern technical development.
E-government is not on alternative of the traditional government but a supporter which can increase its efficiency by keeping away from the routine and Beaurucratic complexity, this will save the efforts, increase achievement and reduce costs, in addition to Provide Man
... Show MoreKnowing the conduct of the common stocks during the different intervals of time (quarterly and yearly) is an important step in choosing and administrating the portfolio of common stocks which be in accordance with the tendency of the investor toward risk and revenues. This is an attempt to understand the behavior of this common stocks in Amman stock Exchange to discover the extent of change in its behavior for employing them by the managers in identifying the accurate and beneficed investments , which meet the ambitions of Arab investor.
تعد الثقافة التنظيمية في المجال االداري وكذلك الرياضي من المفاهيم الحديثة لذا وجب التعرف عليها من عدة اتجاهات لمعرفة تكوينها واب عادها والنظريات التي تناولتها لتكوين رؤية تختلف عن االخرين لما لها من دور مهم ونافع في مختلف المؤسسات ومنها االتحادات الرياضية، ولعل لعلوم الرياضة واالختبار والقياس على وجه الخصوص الدور الرئيس في المساعدة بإيجاد وسيلة علمية وتطبيقها على االعضاء لمعرفة انماط الثقافة لديهم ومن
... Show MoreThe people lived under Mamluk rule, distress, poverty, famines, oppression of princes, rulers, And their domination and he always wished for a just ruler to relieve his misery, and remove the injustice
from him, so they found in Al-Nasser Mohammed tend to establish justice.
When Al-Nasser ascended the throne of the Sultanate, there was a rise or fall in prices, so he pursued Prices will end and punish those
who come out for it. And you talk about this search for a relationship
Sultan Al-Nasser with the poor classes in society and his keenness to pursue their affairs was compassionate On them, mer
... Show MoreThe current research aims to develop the skills of the kindergarten students in designing and implementing a theater for gauntlets made of cardboard materials. To study this, the researcher determined to build teaching plans for design and implementation skills according to (Kolb model).
The results of this research showed the effectiveness of teaching plans according to (Kolb's model) in developing skills of design and implementation (theater for gauntlets made of cardboard materials) for the students of the Kindergarten Department - the experimental group. Which had a positive effect to reach the desired results in the design and implementation of the gauntlet theater and dealing with cardboard materials
The study falls in Five chapters as follows:
Chapter One : definition of the Study including:
1. The problem of the study: the current study tries to answers two questions;
First: the effectiveness of the performance of the applicants in the department of Quran
Sciences and Islamic Education in the colleges of Education according the point of view of
their supervisors.
Second: what is the future vision for teacher training according to the assessment of the
performance of the applicant students?
2. The importance of the study: the application or the field training is of an important role
in the process of training the students for teaching; as it is considered the real scale of
success in the processes of ac
The performance evaluation had Focused for many years ago on The financial factors which are Not enough for the contemporary business organizations. So in order to get useful information it con used The balanced score card which can used to offer information about some measurement on which the level of the act actual performance is determined.
The bank deposits is fuel banking activity and raw material products for the commercial bank and the basis of its activity and its lifetime So the bank, which seeks to continue the successful development of the volume of cash deposits has translated the work of the bank to meet the needs of different sectors by providing the necessary funding, and from this point of view was the research problem a lack of interest departments of banking services to commercial banks as a means for the development of electronic cash deposits have, and which represents the basis for the supplier commercial bank fund.
In the present work, a z-scan technique was used to study the nonlinear optical properties, represented by the nonlinear refractive index and nonlinear absorption coefficients of nanoparticles cadmium sulfide thin film. The sample was prepared by the chemical bath deposition method. Several testing were done including, x-ray, transmission and thickness of thin film. z-Scan experiment was performed at two wavelengths (1064 nm and 532 nm) and different energies. The results showed the effect of self-focusing in the material at higher intensities, which evaluated n2 to be (0.11-0.16) cm2/GW. The effect of two-photon absorption was studied, which evaluated β to be (24-106) cm/GW. In addition, the optical limiting behavior has been studied.
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