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jeasiq-1430
تقدير مصفوفة الحسابات القومية وتحديثها بإستخدام طريقة (C.E) دراسة مقارنة بين الطرق المستخدمة
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ليس جديداً القول بان هناك حاجة مستمرة ومتزايدة لاستخدام البيانات الاقتصادية المتسقة عن القطاعات المختلفة في الاقتصاد القومي لدعم وإسناد عملية التحليل الاقتصادي وتطوير النماذج الاقتصادية الكلية.

وتعرض مصفوفة الحسابات القومية Social Accounting Matrix  (SAM) اطاراً شاملاً من المعلومات الأساسية لهذا النوع من النماذج والتحليل. فهي تتضمن كلا من المستخدم- المنتج
(جداول المدخلات- المخرجات) وحسابات الناتج والدخل القومي في اطار متناسق.

وبينما يتم اعداد جداول المستخدم – المنتج عادة مرة واحدة كل خمس سنوات او شيء من هذا القبيل، فان حسابات الناتج والدخل القومي تعد سنوياً وبتباطؤ زمني، أي لفترة زمنية سابقة. اما تحديث مصفوفة حسابات قومية لفترة لاحقة، فأنها لا تعد مسالة صعبة فحسب، وإنما تعد  مسالة تحدي.

ولتركيب مصفوفة حسابات قومية موسعة قابلة للتحليل الاقتصادي, فان البيانات المطلوبة هي من السعة بحيث يصعب توفيرها، وعند ذلك ينبغي ان تستكمل بواسطة معلومات اضافية ومن مصادر مختلفة، مثل الاحصاءات الصناعية، مسوحات العمل، البيانات الزراعية، الحسابات الحكومية، حسابات التجارة الخارجية، ومسوحات الاسر وغيرها. اما المشكلة الرئيسية في تحديث مصفوفة الحسابات القومية فانها تكمن في أيجاد طريقة كفوءة وقليلة الكلفة لدمج المعلومات المستحصلة من تلك المصادر والتوفيق بينها، بضمنها البيانات المستقاة من سنين سابقة.

ان الطريقة التقليدية لبناء مصفوفة حسابات قومية حديثة متماسكة ومتسقة، هي البدء من مصفوفة حسابات لسنة اساس معينة سابقة، ثم تحديثها لفترة لاحقة من خلال ادخال معلومات جديدة عن مجاميع الصفوف والاعمدة، لتلك المصفوفة مع بقاء المعلومات حول التدفقات الداخلية التي تتضمنها الـ ( SAM) ثابتة، وغالبا ما يتم البدء من مصفوفة حسابات غير متسقة ومعلومات غير متكاملة عن مجاميع الصفوف والاعمدة والتدفقات المختلفة في الـ (SAM).

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
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Thu Dec 31 2020
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Fri Dec 31 2021
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Publication Date
Mon Jan 13 2020
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Sat Dec 31 2022
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Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2023
Journal Name
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