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تقييم إداء السياسة النقدية في العراق وأثرها في التضخم دراسة تحليلية للمدة من (1980- 2003)
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تلعب السياسة النقدية دوراً فاعلاً ومتميزاً في تحقيق معدلات نمو عالية وتحقيق الاستقرار والتوازن الاقتصادي وبالاخص الحد من ظاهرة التضخم.

يمكن حصر اهداف السياسة النقدية في الدول النامية والعربية خصوصاً من خلال التعرف على الاغراض المنصوص عليها في التشريعات وتشمل (تحقيق استقرار نقدي، المحافظة على قيمة العملة، تشجيع النمو الاقتصادي، تطوير الاسواق المالية والنقدية، استقرار الاسعار، تحقيق التوازن الداخلي والخارجي)([1])

مع ملاحظة وجود اولويات للاهداف المعلنة فمثلاً نجد في الولايات المتحدة تركيز على استقرار الاسعار وفي بريطانيا فإن البنك المركزي حدد الهدف الرئيسي وهو المحافظة على استقرار قيمة العملة والمحافظة على استقرار النظام المالي محلياً ودولياً، اما في المانيا فإن هدف السياسة النقدية ينصب على تحقيق استقرار الاسعار. ان عملية التصحيح الاقتصادي والتي تعنى بتصحيح اوضاع اقتصادية مثل العجز في ميزان المدفوعات او عجز الميزانية العامة او ارتفاع الاسعار او زيادة المديونية وتظهر الكثير من الادبيات الاقتصادية اهمية الدور المتميز للسياسة النقدية في عملية التصحيح الاقتصادي.

وبالرغم من تطور مهمة السياسة النقدية الا انها تتفاعل مع السياسة المالية في عدد من المجالات لأن السياسيتين تستهدفان اهدافاً نهائية واحدة ويشتركان في بعض قنوات التأثير ونجد ايضاً ان هدف السياسة النقدية يكون احياناً هدف مالي مثل الدين العام.

وقد تسعى احياناً السياسة المالية الى تحقيق اهداف نقدية اذن نستطيع القول ان السياسة النقدية تحتاج الى اجراءات مكملة من قبل السياسة المالية تكملها ولا تتعارض معها للوصول الى الهدف النهائي.

عند القاء الضوء على واقع الاقتصاد العراقي في الوقت الحاضر نجد ان المشكلة الرئيسية المطروحة هي وجود بطالة بنسبة عالية تفوق ما حددته الامم المتحدة في نسبة المقبولة من البطالة والتي حددت بـ 6% اما في العراق فإن نسبة البطالة تجاوزت الحد المعقول حيث تقاربت التصريحات بهذه النسب والتي قيل عنها انها بلغت 30% وفق تقديرات وزارة التخطيط والأنماء.

وبغض النظر عن هذه الارقام نجد ان ظاهرة البطالة تزامنت مع وجود تضخم كبير ومزمن وارتفاع في مستوى الاسعار على سبيل المثال بلغت نسبة التضخم في المستوى العام للاسعار عام 2002   19.31% وهذه دلالة واضحة بأن التضخم الموجود في الاقتصاد العراقي هو تضخم جامح ومنفلت.

 

([1]) د. علي توفيق الصادق (السياسة النقدية في الدول العربية) صندوق النقد العربي مايو 1996.

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Publication Date
Sun May 02 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Value at risk simulation in a fixed return stock portfolio using the Monte Carlo simulation model The concept of a bond portfolio
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This research aims to predict the value of the maximum daily loss that the fixed-return securities portfolio may suffer in Qatar National Bank - Syria, and for this purpose data were collected for risk factors that affect the value of the portfolio represented by the time structure of interest rates in the United States of America over the extended period Between 2017 and 2018, in addition to data related to the composition of the bonds portfolio of Qatar National Bank of Syria in 2017, And then employing Monte Carlo simulation models to predict the maximum loss that may be exposed to this portfolio in the future. The results of the Monte Carlo simulation showed the possibility of decreasing the value at risk in the future due to the dec

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 29 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Impact of the Seven Principles of Good Practice as a Teaching Technique on EFL Student –Teachers' Performance: سوسن سعود عزيز
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The interest in pre-service teacher training has become influential in teaching English as a foreign language, and the purpose of this training course is to prepare qualified teachers to teach effectively through the application of this technique by undergraduate students. This research aims to find out the effect of using the seven principles of good practice as a teaching technique on the fourth stage student-teachers’ performance at the College of Education for Women/University of Baghdad, during the academic year 2017-2018. The sample includes (60) students selected according to the stratified sampling method. The observational checklist used by the department to assess the student teachers’ performance during the practicum perio

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 19 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Special Education Teachers’ Perceptions of the Factors lead to School Bullying of Students with Intellectual Disabilities in Asir
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Abstract

This study aims to identify the most prominent factors that lead to bullying of students with intellectual disabilities in primary and middle schools from the perspectives of special education teachers. A quantitative descriptive approach was utilized. A questionnaire was used as a tool for data collection. The sample consisted of (72) male and female teachers from the Asir region in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The results revealed the most prominent factors that lead to bullying as follows: factors associated with the school and its policies, factors associated with peers, factors associated with students with intellectual disabilities, and factors associated with general education teachers. The findin

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
العلاقــة بين المقرر الدراســي والتخصـص والتحصـيل العلمي في الكيميــاء والاتجــاه نحــو العـلوم لدى طلبــة كليــة التربيــة ابن الهيثــم / جامعــة بغــداد
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تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى معرفة الفرق في التحصيل الدراسي في الكيمياء والاتجاه نحو العلوم بين طلاب التخصص العلمي وطلاب التخصص الصناعي الصف الأول كلية التربية ابن الهيثم، كذلك تهدف الدراسة إلى معرفة العلاقة بين التحصيل الدراسي في الكيمياء ودرجات اختبار نهاية الفصل في الكيمياء، والمعدل التراكمي بعد أخذ المقرر الدراسي والاتجاه نحو العلوم بالنسبة لطلاب التخصص العلمي وطلاب التخصص الصناعي.

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of IFRS 16 on the quality of financial reporting For the Iraqi economic units Applied to the General Company of Iraqi Airways
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The article deals with the marked vocabulary of Russian and Arabic language, extrapolated to the phraseological: Маркировка арабского и русского языков: На примере фразеологии
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Mon May 11 2020
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Estimating Lipoxygenase and Gamma-glutamyl Transferase Activities in Sera of Colon Cancer Patients with Partial Purification of Lipoxygenase
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The effect of using Daniel's model for people with two types of brain control (left and right) to learn the skill of the Cartwheel in artistic gymnastics for second-stage students
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