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Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاتّجاه العقليّ النّحويّ في "حاشية الخضريّ على شرح ابن عقيل
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Footnotes are considered as an important phenomenon in the lectures of grammar. Al-Khudari's footnote is one of the most distinguished one other than its counterparts due to the prestigious and scientific status of its author

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 04 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اثر أثر الدين في شخصية الملك أمنمحات الأول (1991-1961ق.م)
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The impact of religion in the character of the King Amenmhet I

1991-1961B.C.

This research try to show the  influence of the religion in the character of King Amenmhet I , he entered the names of the gods in the installation of  his names, because he aimed to  the trust of fellows  and to get the loyalty centers of worship, and deliberately enter the name of the god Amun in the composition of his name and make him  the first god of the state, which covered all the gods of Egypt, after the merge with each other, such as the gods Re became the god Amun - Re or after he inherited the functions of some of the other recipes such as what happened with the god Min

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 04 2014
Journal Name
مجلة كلية مدينة العلم الجامعة
تقدير دالة المعولية بالطرائق اللامعلمية في حالة البيانات المراقبة "المتجمعة"
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Publication Date
Tue Mar 31 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
commiseration for lovers Study in Indication Synthetic Lamentation "Kuthaira Ouza" for instance
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There is no doubt that the achievement of the manuscripts of   There  is no doubt  various of situations for performing  a duty , The diversity of stimuli in humans with sensory, unconscious and instinct sensitive systems. Which leads to a diversity of feelings, sensations, emotions and feelings, This therefore requires different types of function linguistic structures indication , Of that linguistic potential that God willing to be unique, In the function of discharging and venting those feelings and emotions that are raised by its various stimuli, which are only needs and psychological and biological purposes require verification and access and gain it. S

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
بيت الحكمة
دور مجلس المنافسة في الحد من الممارسات التمييزية ضد العمالء
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Publication Date
Thu Nov 08 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
براعة براعة علماء الأندلس في الزراعة من خلال مؤلفاتهم الفلاحية
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           It was the sayings of Andalusia scholars in agriculture based on experiments and theories that helped a lot in the success and development of agriculture in the Andalusia ,and also The divisions of the soil and out types and forms it helped a lot of to know arable of non-arable land earth and all off the determination of the color of repentance is important often discovered by agricultural scientists and that helped in the cultivation of certain crops in certain land without another land.and though each particular agricultural crops specific soil in which to live and not live in other soil ,

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Türkçe'de –madan, -meden Ulaç Ekinin Yazılışı ve kullanılışı
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Araştırmamın adı: Türkçe'de –madan, -meden Ulaç Ekinin Yazılışı ve Kullanılışıdır.

      Ulaçlar, kişi ve zaman kavramı olmadan temel cümlenin yada yan cümlenin yüklemini niteleyen, cümlede genellikle zarf tümleci olarak görev yapan fiilimsilerdir. İkinci bir görevleri yardımcı fiillerle birlikte kullanılarak birleşik fiiller kurmak olan ulaçlar, cümlede bağlaç görevinde kullanılabilirler, ve birleşik cümleler kurabilirler. Bazı ulaç ekleri zarf, edat gibi kalıcı sözcük yapımında da kullanılırlar.

      Bu araştırmada Orhun Türkçesi'nde başlayıp Türkiye Türkçesine kadar uzanan tarihi dönemlere ait eserlerden –m

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 08 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
EX-SITU Characterization of Luffa aegyptaica in Lagos State, Nigeria
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Luffa aegyptiaca is a plant of multi-purpose importance whose usefulness cuts across virtually all areas of life. This study has characterized L. aegyptiaca in Lagos state and determined the mineral, proximate, phytochemical as well as the heavy metal accumulation potential. Samples were collected from the 20 Local Government Areas (LGAs) in Lagos state at 2 samples per location.   Genetic similarity and intra-specific variation in 40 samples of L. aegyptiaca were determined using 3 Random Amplified Polymorphic DNA (RAPD) primers which yielded a total of 42 markers of which 25 was polymorphic. The maximum number of bands (14) was produced by OPC4 while the minimum (7) were produced by OPAF20. Percenta

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Impact of Physical Work Environment upon Nurses’ Job performance in Al-Nassiryah City Hospitals
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AbstractObjectives: The work environment has an impact on the performance of nurses, as well as to determine the relationship between the work environment and the performance of nurses.Research methodology: A descriptive analytical study was designed for the impact of the work environment on the performance of nurses' jobs in the hospitals of the city of Nasiriyah. The study began in the period from May 15, 2022 to 1 November, 2022. The non-probability (purposive) sample consisted of (410) nurses working in the city center hospitals. Nasiriyah, they were chosen based on the study criteria, and after obtaining approval from them. The data was collected using the questionnaire, which consi

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 06 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
الواقع الحربي أثر الواقعة الحربية في قصيدة عصر صدر الإسلام
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المؤلف / د. محمود أحمد شاكر غضيب تدريسي في جامعة بغداد / كلية العلوم الإسلامية / قسم اللغة العربية / حاصل على شهادة الدكتوراه عام 2019 في الادب العربي الإسلامي

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