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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 25 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
نظام الفعالية السكنية ومستوى الضوضاء الحالة الدراسية:- منطقة سكنية في مدينة اربيل/ منطقة راستي الجديدة
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Publication Date
Mon Jun 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Fashions Between Form & Content In Shows of School Drama: محمود جباري حافظ -خــــــالد عبـــــاس شـــــايع
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Shows of school drama are consisted of visual elements ( Actor (Student ) , ( Fashions , Decoration , Lighting , Make Up , Accessories ) for these elements have privacy being penetrate inside education institutions ( School ) , besides to property of thought direction , teaching for school drama generally , from among these elements are fashions with their designs , colors and various shapes which address student directly by visual . They affect on him as form or content pursuant to movements or design tackles which are made under directive settings and aims of school drama show wholly . Accordingly , this current study presented question for problem of research . Which it is what is relation between form and content for drama fashions t

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
أسس بناء الجهاز الاداري الكفء : قراءة في عهد الامام علي بن ابي طالب لمالك الأشتر
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أسس بناء الجهاز الاداري الكفء : قراءة في عهد الامام علي بن ابي طالب لمالك الأشتر

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Impact Televised Media Violence upon Children's relationship at Primary Schools with their Mates in Al-Nasiriyah City
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Abstract:
Objective: To know the effect of televised media violence on the relationship of Children's primary school with mates and identify association between the demographic characteristics and socioeconomic status for primary school children and their relation with exposure to televised violence media.
Methodology: simple probability sample of 221 children were selected from 1425 children are learning in schools in Al-Nasiriyah City.
Results: Results of the current study showed that (53.8%) of children exposed to Televised media violence be relationship with their mates weak, (46.2%) of them have their relationship with their mates good, as well as the study showed that the presence significant correlation with males genders

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Ammonia Removal in Free-Surface Constructed Wetlands Employing Synthetic Floating Islands: Employing synthetic floating islands
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Free water surface constructed wetlands (FSCWs) can be used to complement conventional waste water treatment but removal efficiencies are often limited by a high ratio of water volume to biofilm surface area (i.e. high water depth). Floating treatment wetlands (FTWs) consist of floating matrices which can enhance the surface area available for the development of fixed microbial biofilms and provide a platform for plant growth (which can remove pollutants by uptake).  In this study the potential of FTWs for ammoniacal nitrogen (AN) removal was evaluated using experimental mesocosms operated under steady-state flow conditions with ten different treatments (two water depths, two levels of FTW mat coverage, two different plant densities and

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Effectiveness of Education Program on Health Care Workers’ Practices toward Waste Management in Primary Health Care Centers
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Objective(s): The aim of this study is to determine the effectiveness of education program on Health Care Workers’ practices toward Primary Health Care Centers waste management and to identify the relationship between these practices and the demographic characteristics of the health workers. Methodology: A quasi- experimental design (pre-post tests) has been used in the present study for the period of November 16th 2014 to June 22nd 2015 .The allocated sample in the present study is consisted of (60) health care worker. The sample was randomly divided into two groups of (30) health care workers each. The stu

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 18 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التعايش السلمي في الاسلام بين التنظير والتطبيق عهد الامام علي (عليه السلام) للاشتر النخعي / انموذجا
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     Peaceful coexistence is not seen as a new topic of secretions of modern civilization, a requirement to solve the problems of our era or one of the indications of urgent immediate needs, rather, tolerance is considered basis for building a state. Therefore, we can touch on the principles and basics of tolerance in the Holy Qur’an, the speeches of the Messenger (may God bless him and grant him peace) and his hadiths, and the principle of brotherhood that he established

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 03 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Predictability of Burnout in perceived self-competence among Mothers of Students with Disabilities at Sultanate of Oman
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Abstract

The current study aims to identify the predictability of burnout in perceived self-competence among mothers of students with disabilities in the Sultanate of Oman. The study sample consists of (484) respondents who were mothers of students with disabilities. The researcher developed a burnout Scale which consists of (19) items and a perceived self-competence Scale which consists of (20) items. A correlation descriptive design was used. The results showed that the level of burnout was low (Mean= 2.30), while the level of burnout was high (Mean= 3.87). Regarding the correlation coefficient, the results showed that there was a significant negative correlation between burnout and perceived self-competence. A

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Effectiveness of Intervention Program on Nurses' Practices concerning Diet Instructions for Orthopedic Patients treated by Internal Fixation Devices
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Abstract

Objective(s): To determine the interventional program effectiveness on nurses' practices concerning diet instructions for orthopedic patients treated by internal fixation devices.

Methodology: A quantitative approach using prexperimental design is conducted to determine the effectiveness of an interventional program on nurses’ practices regarding orthopedic patients diet instruction and teaching after internal fixation implemented. The study has started from 1st of April 2022 and ended on 15th of December, 2022. The conduction of the study in Misan governorate  / Al-Zaharawy surgical hospital. A non-probability, purpo

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تحسين " مقدرات المتغيرات المساعدة بطريقة جاكنايف " باستعمال صنف من أصناف خوارزمية المناعة مع تطبيق عملي
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تستند أغلب الطرائق الحصينة على فكرة التنازل عن جانب معين مقابل تقوية جانب آخر من خلال عدة أساليب أما آليات الذكاء الصناعي تحاول عمل موازنة بين الضعف والقوة للوصول إلى أفضل الحلول بأسلوب بحث عشوائي . في هذا البحث تم تقديم فكرة جديدة لتحسين مقدرات معلمات نماذج المعادلات الآنية الخطية الناتجة من طريقة المتغيرات المساعدة حسب طريقة جاكنايف Jackknife Instrumental Variable Estimation(JIVE) وذل

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