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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
موقف القيادات الجامعية في الأردن من إلغاء وزارة التعليم العالي مدخلا لتنمية المجتمع
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  • The study aimed to identify the position of the university leaders from the proposed abolition of the Ministry of Higher Education in Jordan as un approach for the development of society, the study relied descriptive method survey with the assistance consists of (33) items, and check validity and reliability of the instrument, and was applied to a sample of university leaders, (57) a leading university presidents and their assistants and deans and their assistants, and after processing the data bagful statistical( spss) overall results showed the to arithmetic average of (2.74) and the degree of medium and this means that most respondents moderately support the abolition of the ministry, the most prominent item that makes
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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Soft power employment strategy in foreign affairs (Eygpt after Mubarak Regime : An Analytical study)
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(January 25, 2011) represented a real opportunity to bring about fundamental changes in Egyptian foreign policy and to start a new phase that would cut off all the negative and problematic aspects of Egyptian politics in the period before the revolution. Through the employment of Egypt's huge balance and the role of historical is a civilization rooted in the roots of thousands of years and Islamic reference represented over more than a thousand years the Islamic medium of religion in the start of vision and tools to achieve the Egyptian national interest, and safeguarding Egyptian national security in its comprehensive sense. The research attempts to answer a central question: Is there a role for Egyptian soft power in the Islamic world

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
" أثر استراتيجية الجيجسو في تحصيل مادة الجغرافيا وعمليات العلم لدى طالبات المرحلة الاعدادية"
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The goal of current researcher to know the impact of strategic Jigsaw in the collection of hypertext and geographic operations of science students at the preparatory stage And that by checking the following 1.There is no difference statistically significant at the significance level 0.05 between the experimental group students who were studying strategy Jigsaw and between the control group students who studied in the usual way traditional degrees in the average achievement in the subject of geographical 2.There is no difference statistically significant at the significance level 0.05 between the experimental group students who were studying strategy Jigsaw and between the control group students who studied in the usual way traditional av

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2013
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Numerical Analysis of Double Diffusive Laminar Natural Convection in a Right Angle Triangular Solar Collector
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A numerical study of the double-diffusive laminar natural convection in a right triangular solar collector has been investigated in present work. The base (absorber) and glass cover of the collector are isothermal and isoconcentration surfaces, while the vertical wall is considered adiabatic and impermeable. Both aiding and opposing buoyancy forces have been studied. Governing equations in vorticity-stream function form are discretized via finite-difference method and are solved numerically by iterative successive under relaxation (SUR) technique. Computer code for MATLAB software has been developed and written to solve mathematical model. Results in the form of streamlines, isotherms, isoconcentration, average Nusselt, and average Sherw

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 26 2022
Journal Name
جامعة بغداد/ كلية التربية للعلوم الصرفة - ابن الهيثم
مهارات التفكير المعرفي وعلاقته باليقظة العقلية لدى طلبة أقسام الرياضيات في كليات التربية
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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Efficiency of Green Algae Chlorella vulgaris in Remediation of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (Anthracene) from Culture Media
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The fresh water green alga Chlorella vulgaris was selected to study its ability to degrade one of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAHs)known is anthracene (ANT). ANT is widely used in artificial products such as wood preservatives; insecticides; dye and coating materials. This algae was cultivated in CH-10 medium under constant laboratory conditions and exposed to different concentrations (1, 3, and 5 mg/l) of anthracene for 3, 5, 7, 9 and 15 days, with the concentration of ANT measured  by high performance liquid chromatographic analysis (HPLC). The results showed that C.vulgaris has high ability to reduce anthracene to 80% at 1mg/Lcon centration after 3 days and 100% after 5 days, while at 3 and 5 mg / L concent

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 15 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
Mechanisms of Employing Secondary Event in Cinematographic Discourse: ماهر مجيد ابراهيم-شروق مالك حسن
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  The cinematic story depends on many construction techniques that together constitute the story features technically and the secondary events are considered one of these basic techniques that are directly affected by the employment mechanisms inside the cinematic achievement. This subject initiated the two researchers to decide the title of the research: (Mechanisms of Employing Secondary Event in Cinematographic Discourse). The research is divided into an introduction that included the problem details, the aim and defining the terms used. The first section was the act and the event in the cinematic story, which addressed the relation between the act and the event and the nature of the simulation that tries to ascend the human act

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المادة المادة السابعة في معاهدة باريس لعام 1856 وموقف الدول الأوربية الكبرى منها
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            The issue of the survival of the Ottoman Empire during the nineteenth century, a controversial topic in European diplomacy, was what was called the "Eastern Question" containing the fate of this country and its regions sprawling one of the hottest topics in the diplomatic major European powers of that century

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Directive Vision Transformations in Iraqi Political Theatre: محمد عبدالرضا حسين-سهى طه سالم
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  The creative arts in general and the theatre in specific represent man's rushing and carving for freedom, goodness and beauty, and the relation between creativity and freedom has always been fluctuating following the censorship pressures of all types and shapes the political, religious and social. Since the theatre is the closest and more touching creative art to the problems of the society of numerous types and levels and it was and has always been playing an enlightening role in shedding light on what the societies experiencing with crises and problems in all directions. The theatre, thus, derives the essence of existence from life, through topics concerned with what the human being is. It seeks to be the real witness and partne

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
مجلة الآداب والعلوم الإنسانیة
الأداء الاعلامي بين الرضا الوظيفي و المهنية للمرأة الاعلامية في القنوات الفضائية العراقية
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ﺔﻴﻋﺍﺫﻹﺍ ﺕﺎﻴﻨﻘﺘﻟﺍ ﻡﺍﺪﺨﺘﺳﺍ ﰲ ﲑﺒﻛ ﺭﻮﻄﺗ ﻦﻣ ﻝﺎﺼﺗﻻﺍ ﺮﺼﻋ ﻩﺪﻬﺷ ﻱﺬﻟﺍ ﺖﻗﻮﻟﺍ ﰲ ﺔﻴﻧﻮﻳﺰﻔﻠﺘﻟﺍﻭ ﺍ ﺢﺴﻓ ﰲ ﻢﻬﺳﺃ ﺕﺎﻄﶈﺍ ﺀﺍﻮﺳ ﺔﻴﻧﻮﻳﺰﻔﻠﺘﻟﺍ ﺕﺍﻮﻨﻘﻟﺍ ﺚﺒﻟ ﻊﺳﺍﻮﻟﺍ ﻝﺎ ( ﺔﻴﺿﺭﻷﺍ ﺔﻴﻠﺑﺎﻜﻟﺍ ﻭﺃ ﺔﻴﺋﺎﻀﻔﻟﺍ ﻭﺃ ( ﱵﻟﺍ ﺔﺻﺎﳋﺍ ﺔﻴﺋﺎﻀﻔﻟﺍ ﺕﺍﻮﻨﻘﻟﺍ ﻦﻣ ﺪﻳﺪﻌﻟﺍ ﺭﻮﻬﻇ ﰲ ﺎﻀﻳﺃ ﺪﻋﺎﺳ ﺎﳑﻭ ، ﺕﺎﻴﺋﺎﻀﻔﻟﺍ ﺭﻮﻬﻇ ﻚﻟﺫ ﻞﺒﻗ ﺩﺎﺳ ﻥﺃ ﺪﻌﺑ ﺔﻴﻣﻮﻜﺣ ﲑﻏ ﺕﺎﻴﻌﲨ ﻭ

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