In this study, we review the ARIMA (p, d, q), the EWMA and the DLM (dynamic linear moodelling) procedures in brief in order to accomdate the ac(autocorrelation) structure of data .We consider the recursive estimation and prediction algorithms based on Bayes and KF (Kalman filtering) techniques for correlated observations.We investigate the effect on the MSE of these procedures and compare them using generated data.
The argumentation find its origins in some conceptions laid by Aristote. A speaker always intends to influence his hearers to change their beliefs. Therefore, this study deals with texts of the political speech of the French presidents Nicolas Sarkozy and François Hollande in the treatment of argumentative strategies.
Find cares studying ways in the development of industrial products and designs: the way the progressive development (how typical) and root development (jump design), was the aim of the research: to determine the effectiveness of the pattern and the jump in the development of designs and industrial products. After a process of analysis of a sample of research and two models of contemporary household electrical appliances, it was reached a set of findings and conclusions including:1-leaping designs changed a lot of entrenched perceptions of the user on how the product works and its use and the size and shape of the product, revealing him about the possibilities of sophisticated relationships with the product, while keeping the typical desi
... Show MoreLos enunciados interrogativos desempeñan un papel de sumo interés en el habla del ser humano en todo el mundo, además de la gran importancia que desempeñan sus distintos enunciados y partículas en abreviar las oraciones y hacer llegar a nuestro interlocutor nuestra intención con pocas palabras, por eso a través de esta investigación vamos a enfocar la luz sobre uno de sus tipos fundamentales "los enunciados interrogativos directos", a través de un estudio morfológico contrastivo entre el árabe y el español, este fue el principal motivo para elegir este tema.
A pesar de que los enunciados interrogativos directos aparentemente no ofrecen mucha dificultad, pero dominar a dicho tipo de enunciados con
... Show MoreThe penalized least square method is a popular method to deal with high dimensional data ,where the number of explanatory variables is large than the sample size . The properties of penalized least square method are given high prediction accuracy and making estimation and variables selection
At once. The penalized least square method gives a sparse model ,that meaning a model with small variables so that can be interpreted easily .The penalized least square is not robust ,that means very sensitive to the presence of outlying observation , to deal with this problem, we can used a robust loss function to get the robust penalized least square method ,and get robust penalized estimator and
... Show Moreان العقد – في تكوينه – عبارة عن اتفاق ارادتين من اجل احداث اثر قانوني معين ، بيد ان العقد نفسه – في آثاره – يخضع لمجموع الالتزامات التي تشكلت طبقاً لما انصرفت اليه ارادة طرفيه ، فضلاً عمّا تيسّر من احكام اخرى فرضها المشرع او العرف او العدالة او مبادئ حسن النية .
Financial compensation contracts related to Hajj
This paper deals with one of important topics that serve the art movement music, which is looking at the stairs of Arab music in the process of reaching to the directory musical on the subject of so-called (Photo by stairs music) and that by comparing the method used previously and the proposed rules reached by the researcher and received the patent invention, the method is easier for the musician and the author in a directory of peace Arab music when used on grades and half grades voice, and to achieve its objectives researcher dealt with the problem that is determined by the multitude of stairs leading Arab and the difficulty of keeping its catalog of music, and for being an anchor and pillar of the music was taken up and put her impor
... Show MoreAcquisition provisions in Islamic jurisprudence
This piece of research deals with assimilation as one of the phonological processes in the language. It is a trial to give more attention to this important process in English language with deep explanation to its counterpart in Arabic. in addition, this study sheds light on the points of similarities and differences concerning this process in the two languages. Assimilation in English means two sounds are involved, and one becomes more like the other.
The assimilating phoneme picks up one or more of the features of another nearby phoneme. The English phoneme /n/ has t
... Show MoreIn this research, we studied the multiple linear regression models for two variables in the presence of the autocorrelation problem for the error term observations and when the error is distributed with general logistic distribution. The auto regression model is involved in the studying and analyzing of the relationship between the variables, and through this relationship, the forecasting is completed with the variables as values. A simulation technique is used for comparison methods depending