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The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التحديات التحديات المعاصرة للثقافة الإسلامية دراسة في الصورة النمطية المتبادلة للسلام وللحرب بين الإسلام والغرب
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Islamic Culture face many challenges Such as، Secularism، westrenism، globalism and Colonialism under current attempts For western States and united states of America to dominate on world and Confront all her Opponent Polaris it be clear when U. S. A. Occupied Afghanistan and Iraq and Threatened many Arabic and Islamic States

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تقويم جودة مهارات التدريس لدى مدرسي الرياضيات في المرحلة الإعدادية الفرع العلمي من وجهة نظرهم
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   Research aims at evaluating the quality of the teaching skills of math teachers in junior high / scientific branch  from their point of view.

The researchers prepared for this purpose a quality of teaching skills standards questionnaire, It consisted of 72 items distributed on four axis, The research sample was 200 teachers The researchers used statistical methods: the arithmetic mean, standard deviation, variance test, test Shiva  , The results showed a statistically significance difference Attributed to the qualification  variable  in the second  axis (Planning for teaching topics) And the absence of statistical difference function,

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2022
Journal Name
مجلة الجامعة العراقية
المكتبة الاسلامية الرقمية مشروع صناعة مكتبة رقمية للطالب في قسم علوم القران الكريم والتربية الإسلامية
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تهدف الورقة البحثية الى اعداد مشروع لصناعة مكتبة رقمية للطالب في قسم علوم القران الكريم والتربية االسالمية في كلية التربية ابن رشد للعلوم االنسانية / جامعة بغداد ، اعدت الباحثة استمارة نموذج كوكل تضمنت مجموعة من االسئلة الغرض منها تحديد المؤلفات االساسية التي يحتاجها طالب العلوم االسالمية في دراساته وابحاثه ،واعتمدت الباحثة على المنهج الوصفي اسلوب المسح لجمع البيانات ، ووزعت االستمارة عبر الصفوف االلكترو

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
ES’AT NAİB’İN “ZAMANIN ELİ” ADLI DİVANINDA İSİM ÇEKİM EKLERİ (Karşılaştırmalı İnceleme)
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Irak Türk ağızları Azeri Türkçesinin bir uzantısı olarak değerlendirilir.Kerkük Türkçesiyle yazılan edebi ürünler, Irak Türkçesinin tamamını ifade etmek üzere kullanılmaktadır. Zamanın Eli divanı Kerkük Türkçesile yazılan bir eserdir. Bu yüzden bu divanı seçtik ve Irak Türkmen Türkçesi , Osmanlı Türkçesi ve Türkiye Türkçesi dilleri arasında  karşılaştırmalı bir inceleme yaptık.

Bu araştırma, Irak Türkmen şairlerinden birisi  sayılan  Es’at Naib’in  şiirleri üzerinde uygulamalı bir çalışmadanoluşmaktadır. Bu çalışmada adı geçen şairin “Zamanın Eli” Divanından bazışiirlerini önce yeni Türkçeye çevirdik vedaha sonra isim ç

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 25 2021
Journal Name
الابحاق في العلوم الانسانية والاجتماعية
الاختصاصات المالية للسلطة التنفيذية في تطبيق الموازنه وفقا لقانون الإدارة المالية رقم ٦ لعام ٢٠١٩
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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Tikrit Journal Of Administrative And Economic Sciences
ادارة المخاطر المصرفية في ظل ازمة دراسة تحليلية لعدد من المصارف التجارية الخاصة العراقية Covid-19
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ي لا ماق ثحبلا فادهأ قيقحتلو ثحبلا ةنيعل نايبتسا ءارجاو فراصملل ةيلاملا مئاوقلا ليلحتب ثحاب اهمهأ ناك تاجاتنتسا ىلإ ثحابلا لصوت دقو لإ صاخ معد دوجو مدع نم ةيفرصملا رطاخملا ةراد ةروصب اهدوجو مدعو فراصملل ةماعلا تارادلاا يف اهدوجو رصتقي ثيح ،ايلعلا تاهجلا لبق نم ديزي امم ،عورفلا يف ةلاعف مدع ةجيتن عورفلا نم ةدلوتملاو فراصملا اههجاوت يتلا رطاخملا اهمهأ ناك تايصوت ىلإ ثحابلا لصوت دقو امك ،ةيفرصملا تلاماعم

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 20 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تقييم مخاطر نشاط مبيعات الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية في ظّل ظروف السوق المحلية للمدة 2010 - 2014
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Research is aimed at defining the risks that the sales activity of the General Company for Leather Industries about a special, then diagnose these risks, through a set of indicators, which indicate its existence and try to overcome them, and minimizing the negative effects on those activities.

The research found some conclusions, which emphasizes that the General Company for Leather Industries, suffer from a lack of profit, and a large decrease in sales; a result of absence of demand on its products and rising cost of the expenses to income ratio of, which was reflected in the cost per unit produced. Also the conclusions shown that the number of sales outlets for the company to cover the geographical area is not enough, in spite

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2023
Journal Name
مجلة البحوث التربوية والنفسية
اثر استراتيجية مقترحة وفقا لنظرية الرياضيات الواقعية في التحصيل والترابط الرياضي لدى طالبات الصف الثالث المتوسط
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هدفت الدراسة الحالية إلى ( معرفة اثر استراتيجية مقترحة وفقا لنظرية الرياضيات الواقعية في التحصيل والترابط الرياضي لدى طالبات الصف الثالث المتوسط)، تم اختيار مجموعتين من صف الثالث المتوسط في مدرسة تابعة للمديرية العامة لتربية بغداد- الرصافة الاولى للعام الدراسي(2022-2021) تمثل المجموعة التجريبية والتي تدرس على وفق الاستراتيجية المقترحة وبلغ عدد طالباتها(30)، والمجموعة الضابطة التي تدرس بالطريقة الاعتيادية وبلغ

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
قضايا سياسية
اشكالية التنافس الامريكي -الروسي دراسة في السلوك السياسي الخارجي حيال المنطقة العربية(دراسة انموذج الحالة السورية)
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يعد موضوع التنافس بين القوى الكبرى من الموضوعات المستقبلية المهمة التي تؤشر لنا جانبا من صور العلاقات الدولية التي تتسم بالصراع والتعاون من ناحية، والتعاون والتنافس من ناحية أخرى، وبقدر تعلق الموضوع بالمنطقة العربية التي تعد إحدى أهم المناطق العالمية إثارة في مستوى التفاعلات بأنساقها المختلفة، كونها منطقة لازالت محكومة بعوامل غير مستقرة، تشكل نافذة فاعلة لتدخلات القوى الكبرى الساعية إلى إعادة تشكيل المد

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة المستنصرية لعلوم الرياضة
الأداء الابداعي لدى اللجنة الأولمبية الوطنية العراقية من وجهة نظر أعضاء الهيئات الإدارية في الاتحادات الرياضية
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