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The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المواقع الجغرافية التابعة لمدينة دمشق في كتاب تاريخ دمشق الكبير لابن عساكر ت 571هـ/1272م
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the history of Damascus by Ibn ' asaakir d. 571 a.h. 1272 m from local histories books concerned with male citizen narrators, to distinguish between rate and Rob them, this book is more a history of Islamic heritage books on Islamic City, and if we know that Ibn ' asaakir translated it for personal

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تأثير تأثير الحضارة الأندلسية في الحضارة الأوربية انتقال أصناف من الأغذية إلى مائدة الطعام الأوروبية
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       The progress that happened in Andalusia civilization was affected  by Arabic through taking care of agriculture by entering of new kinds of planets that were more important as political sides which led to prominence new kinds of food transported to Europe that had showed a real reflect of how chat of civilization among people who had lived in various ages until now

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تقويم محتوى كتاب الاحياء للصف السادس العلمي من وجهة نظرمدرسي ومدرسات الاحياء في محافظة كركوك
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The present study aims to identify the extent to which biology book of sixth grade achieves the basic scientific aspects in light of its scientific objectives. To achieve this goal, the researcher needed to build two questionnaires to evaluate the biology book for sixth-grade. To answer the questions of the study, the researcher used the following statistical methods : the weighted average, and percentages; and to identify the extent to match the perspective of teachers of the material with the perspective of a researcher in each paragraph of the questionnaire as well as the degree of severity of each paragraph in the book neighborhoods sixth-grade has reached Aalbagesh to several of the most important results: 1. All the teachers were w

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 25 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
نظام الفعالية السكنية ومستوى الضوضاء الحالة الدراسية:- منطقة سكنية في مدينة اربيل/ منطقة راستي الجديدة
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Publication Date
Sat Nov 10 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
(دور الوعي البيئي لدى الأسرة العراقية في التخلص من النفايات الصلبة) (مدينة الرمادي – حي العزيزية)
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Publication Date
Tue Nov 13 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التحديات التحديات المعاصرة للثقافة الإسلامية دراسة في الصورة النمطية المتبادلة للسلام وللحرب بين الإسلام والغرب
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Islamic Culture face many challenges Such as، Secularism، westrenism، globalism and Colonialism under current attempts For western States and united states of America to dominate on world and Confront all her Opponent Polaris it be clear when U. S. A. Occupied Afghanistan and Iraq and Threatened many Arabic and Islamic States

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر أنموذج وودز في تصحيح المفاهيم الجغرافية ذات الفهم الخاطئ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط
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The present study aims at knowing the effect of Woods' model in correcting the geographical missUnderstanding for first stage students. In order to realize the objective of this study, the researcher used an experimental design with partial adjustment which is experimental group with another control group. The research is confined to the first four chapters of the boon of the principles of geography to be studied for the first stage in the academic year (2010/2011) in Iraq. The researcher chooses purposely the chose a staple form the first stage in Hay Al-Jama'a School for boys, in order to apply the experiment. The total number of the sample was (60) students who were distributed randomly as (30)per group. The researcher matched two gro

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 15 2024
Journal Name
الاستاذ
اثر انموذج التعلم الخبراتي ل روبين في مادة الفيزياء والدافعية الابداعية لطلاب الصف الرابع العلمي
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الملخص : يهذف البحث التعرف على اثر آنموذج التعلم الخبراتي (لروبين) في مادة الفيزياء والدافعية الإبداعية لدى طلاب المرطة الإعدادية, وذلك بالتحقق من الفرضية الآتية: • لا يوجد فروق ذات دلالة إحصائية عند مستوى (0.05) بین متوسط درجات المجموعة التجريبية التـي درست وفق إستراتيجية التعلم الخبراتي (لروبين) ومتوسط درجات المجموعة الضابطة التي درست وفق الطريقة الاعتيادية في مقیاس الدافعية الابداعية. استخدم الباحثون التص

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التحديات التحديات المعاصرة للثقافة الإسلامية دراسة في الصورة النمطية المتبادلة للسلام وللحرب بين الإسلام والغرب
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Islamic Culture face many challenges Such as، Secularism، westrenism، globalism and Colonialism under current attempts For western States and united states of America to dominate on world and Confront all her Opponent Polaris it be clear when U. S. A. Occupied Afghanistan and Iraq and Threatened many Arabic and Islamic States

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تقويم جودة مهارات التدريس لدى مدرسي الرياضيات في المرحلة الإعدادية الفرع العلمي من وجهة نظرهم
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   Research aims at evaluating the quality of the teaching skills of math teachers in junior high / scientific branch  from their point of view.

The researchers prepared for this purpose a quality of teaching skills standards questionnaire, It consisted of 72 items distributed on four axis, The research sample was 200 teachers The researchers used statistical methods: the arithmetic mean, standard deviation, variance test, test Shiva  , The results showed a statistically significance difference Attributed to the qualification  variable  in the second  axis (Planning for teaching topics) And the absence of statistical difference function,

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