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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2020
Journal Name
مجلة جامعة الانبار لللعلوم القانونية والسياسية
تقويم قواعد إدارة الشركات في ضوء قانون الشركات العراقي رقم 21 لسنة 1997،
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تقويم قواعد إدارة الشركات في ضوء قانون الشركات العراقي رقم 21 لسنة 1997،

Publication Date
Sun Jan 26 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
استعمال نظام محاسبة المسؤولية في تقويم اداء مراكز الربح: بالشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية
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Use the accounting system of responsibility in assessing the performance of the company profit centers of the leather industry Given the importance of the profit centers of the General Company for Leather Industries, where a circle of activity that is accountable responsible for them (the director) about what is happening with costs and achieve revenues other words, the profit center is the beginning of an independent company with revenues and costs contribute to achieving the objectives of the company as a whole, which is to achieve profits, which means the comprehensive work of the centers of the need to evaluate its performance permanent depending on the conversion rates of the Interior. It was relied on the company's production

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 11 2022
Journal Name
جامعة بغداد/ كلية التربية للعلوم الصرفة - ابن الهيثم
التفكير التخيلي وعلاقته بالقراءة الستراتيجية والتحصيل في مادة الرياضيات لدى طلاب المرحلة الثانوية
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
مؤتمرات الآداب والعلوم الانسانية والطبيعية
تحليل واقع السياسات التعليمة العربية المتبعة في التعليم العالي وامكانيات تطويرها والنهوض بها
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هذه الورقة البحثية تهدف الى مناقشة سبل تطوير التعليم العالي في العالم العربي والارتقاء به لخلق راسمال بشري وثقافي قادر على مواجهة تحديات العصر، فالتنمية الاقتصادية في العصر الحالي ما عادت تعتمد على المواد الاولية بل على القيمة الابداعية للانسان التي اصبحت اساسية في المنافسة الحالية بين الشعوب الانسانية و اصبح الفكر المبدع هو المنافس الحقيقي المهم حيث تصنع احدث الاجهزة الحديثة باحجام صغيرة ومواد اولية اقل

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 01 2020
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية
ارمينيا ودورها في السياسة الدولية من القرن السابع قبل الميلاد حتى عام 224م
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أرمينيا أكبر وأعلى إقليم جبلي في آسيا الغربية ، تقع عند الحدود الفاصلة بين آسيا وأوربا ، انعمت عليها الطبيعية بتضاريس كانت تارة خيراً وبركة على الأرمن وتارة اخرى شراً ووبالاً عليهم ، والى جانب كونها منطقة عبور هامة بين الشرق والغرب فان الارباح الطائلة التي جنتها من نشاطها الاقتصادي دفع الدول الكبرى آنذاك إلى السيطرة عليها وسلبها حريتها . وتتابع على ضمها الى نفوذه منذ ظهورها في القرن السابع قبل الميلاد كل من ا

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
موقف القيادات الجامعية في الأردن من إلغاء وزارة التعليم العالي مدخلا لتنمية المجتمع
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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2024
Journal Name
نسق
تحليل اثر برامج تدريبية في مجال تطوير المهارات الاساسية للاعبات كرة القدم للنساء
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Publication Date
Wed May 01 2019
Journal Name
المجلة العربية للعلوم التربوية والنفسية
الصحة النفسية وعلاقتها بتقدير الذات لدى عينة من أطفال الشوارع في مدينة بغداد
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر برنامج تدريبي في تعديل سلوك الانسحاب الاجتماعي لدى المتخلفين عقليا تخلفا بسيطاً
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الانسحاب الاجتماعي بغض النظر عن العوامل المسببة له قابل للعلاج حيث وضحت البحوث العلمية إمكانية الحد منه باستخدام أساليب تعديل السلوك .

وهو  نمط سلوكي شائع لدى معظم الفئات ان لم يكن كل فئات الاعاقة ،وينتج هذا النمط السلوكي الانسحاب الاجتماعي عن عوامل عدة فاذا الطفل يعاني من تلف في الجهاز العصبي المركزي فان هذا التلف قد يحول دون قيام الطفل بالنشاطات المطلوبة للعلاج. توضح البحوث العلمية ام

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 08 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاحوال الأحوال العامة للأندلسيين في غرناطة بعد انتهاء الحكم العربي الإسلامي دراسة تاريخية
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The harsh human suffering experienced by the Andalusians were a religious conflict and racist impact on all aspects of public life. The religious factor most important factors that determined the nature of the hostile relationship between the Andalusian and Castilian, Castile has sought to make them Christians by force through laws that deprived them of all their rights. In spite of the large number of those laws, the authority admitted inability to subdue the Andalusians to its will through the issuance of the final decree of expulsion.

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