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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 28 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
بابل بابل في العصر الشبيه بالكتابي وعصر فجر السلالات
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This study deals with the region of the Babylon governorate in Iraq during the Proto-Literate and Early Dynastic periods. It is the region of the well- known ancient capital Babylon. The earlier period includes Late Uruk, Jamdat nasr, and the first epoch of the Early Dynastic period. The latter includes the second and third epochs of the Early Dynastic period. The both periods had lasted more than one thousand years (3500-2334 BC

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2005
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
عرض اطروحة (الحركات الاسلامية في ظل الوضع الدولي الجديد)
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الحركات الاسلامية في ظل الوضع الدولي الجديد

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 24 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
معوقات عمل المرأة في المنظمات غير الحكومية بحث ميداني
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The issue of volunteerism is one of the most important issues that have become prominent in social sciences and contemporary social thought, especially as a result of the transformations and changes that the world undergoes today. The voluntary sector has become the concern of all societies and governments for its development and service to society and various sectors. The practice of women is prominent in the work of volunteerism after 2003 in Iraq, but its work face a number of obstacles and hindrance. The problem of research is the obstacles of women's work in non-governmental organizations. The research aims to identify the nature and characteristics of volunteer work of Iraqi women.        &nb

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 05 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
مشكلات الطلبة العراقيين الدارسين في أوكرانيا وعلاقاتها ببعض المتغيرات
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Chapter One

First, the importance of research and the need for him

Highlight the status of the nation and occupies a decent position among nations by what they offer for the good of humanity and tender, which is based mainly on the human and material wealth owned by the nation.

The investment of this wealth investment scientifically accurate based on the strong foundation that qualifies them to heights of glory, so stand out necessary development of all energies Alepeshriaaly the limit can not be considered as these energies fortune unless all elements of effective elements characterized by the positive interaction in various spheres of life and in the in

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
دراسة دراسة في أعلام بغداد الأب أنستانس الكرملي أنموذجا
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The study of the Baghdad personalities is an important issue because the owners of these personalities usually belong to the elite, which play a distinct role in the development of any society in all political, economic, social and cultural fields. These include the study of the personal personality of Father Anastas Marie Carmeli to highlight many aspects of personality And his clear fingerprints on the movement of society in the field of culture and thought

    That Karamli's efforts in the field of language, literature and history made him one of the most prominent pioneers of Renaissance late in the history of modern Iraq

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 27 2020
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الفكر الإداري للإمام علي (عليه السلام) في سياسة الدولة
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  The political system during the reign of Imam Ali (peace be upon him) was based on explicit openness in its features and objectives away from misinformation, and built its foundations and foundations on the Koranic legislation, and enacted by the Prophet (peace be upon him), and the decent legislation required by humanity

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 05 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Kenyan foreign policy towards Somalia
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Abstract The Kenyan policy towards Somalia was influenced by a set of interrelated factors between the two countries and stemmed from the internal environment and most prominent: the geographical factor, ethnic, cultural, religious, political, economic and security, has been dominated by this policy since independence from the British colonial administration in the sixties of the last century and so far the nature of instability and tension, As the two countries are geographically contiguous and as security risks escalate, Kenya in 2011 rushed military action against Somalia, the first military action by Kenya outside its borders since independence.

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
دراسة تاريخية للمجتمع الاسلامي في كتاب البصائر والذخائر للتوحيدي
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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تطور تطور التعليم اليهودي في بغداد خلال العهد الملكي
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That the Jewish minority in Iraq, were considered among the Iraqi people, building.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
القبائل الآمورية ودورها التأريخي في بلاد الرافدين وبلاد الشام
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The research titles “Ammorrite tribes and their historical role in Mesopotamia and Levant” deals with tribe structure, nomination, political and cultural roles of these tribes in Mesopotamia and Levant, as it terminate Sumerian presence in Iraq and changed historical course and contributed in changing population landmarks and started new bright era, in addition to admitting new beliefs, gods and laws, beside ruling principles which became tribal, i.e., dynasties instead of Sumerian rulings based on religion belief.

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