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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2024
Journal Name
المجلة السياسية والدولية
الذكاء الاصطناعي والوجود الإنساني: قراءة فكرية في الابعاد العسكرية
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تُعد فكرة الذكاء الاصطناعي من العلوم الحديثة التي ارتبطت بالإنسان منذ العقود الخمسة الماضية، وأصبحت السياسة الرقمية جزءاً لا يتجزأ من المجتمع لكونها تُستخدم في أغلب مجالات حياة الانسان. وهذا ما شجع صانعوا السياسات التكنولوجية الجديدة في التفكير بكيفية توظيفها لخدمة مصالحهم العليا السياسية والعسكرية، للتعزيز من قوتهم ونفوذهم، وغاضين النظر عن بذل الجهود للتفكير في تنظيمهم للذكاء الاصطناعي التوليدي، ووضعه

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 15 2015
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات ادارية
‫بواعث الفساد وتقنيات مواجهته في المؤسسات العامة - العلاقة والأثر
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كان الفساد وما زال أحد المواضيع الرئيسة التي شغلت اهتمام الباحثين والدارسين في المجالات المعرفية المختلفة بضمنها المجال الإداري نظراً للتأثير السلبي والمباشر لإدارات المؤسسات الحكومية العامة على نجاح برامج وخطط التنمية في تحقيق أهدافها المجتمعية, إذ أن عملية تنفيذ هذه البرامج تقع على عاتق إدارات هذه المؤسسات في إطار التزام العاملين فيها بتحقيق الأهداف والسياسات التنموية العامة للدولة ، وحرصهم على تلبية ا

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 26 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
ظاهرة المفارقة في كتاب بلاغات النساء دراسة بلاغية اسلوبية
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The Arab woman expressed the life of oppression that she suffers from in her masculine environment, as she expressed her linguistic abilities with eloquence and intelligence, as she did not neglect philosophy, wisdom, and exhortation

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
سياسة التنمية الاقليمية ودورها في نشوء المستقرات البشرية وتطورها
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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
مجلة جامعة الامام جعفر الصادق (ع) للعلوم الانسانية والاجتماعية
التمييز الايجابي للمرأة في ضوء الاتفاقيات الدولية والتشريعات العراقية
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قام هذا البحث بتسليط الضوء على التمييز الإيجابي للمرأة بين الاتفاقيات الدولية والتشريعات العراقية، وهو مجموعة من الإجراءات والتدابير التي تتبناها الدول لتعويض الفئات التي تعرضت للتمييز لفترات طويلة، مما ألحق بها الضرر. وقد مُورس التمييز ضد المرأة في العديد من جوانب حياتها، مما دفع المجتمع الدولي إلى تبني وسائل مختلفة لتخفيف معاناتها. ومن بين هذه الوسائل، جاءت “تقنية التمييز الإيجابي” لتحقيق مبدأ تكافؤ ال

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 07 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
المشكلات الاجتماعیة المصاحبة للفقر ( دراسة میدانیة في مدینة بغداد)
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The povety in a subjct of one of the most important problems that
accompanied the development process in iraq and is now pointing in the
depth of institutional struetues and threaten the sociol fabric and cohesion
mechamisms .
The study included of the most importana social problems that
accompamied thecrises and occupation in iraq as aproblem of unemployment
aworce, forced displacement and disintegration of family and juvenile
delinguency and the problems of drug addiction .
The study relied on sample slected from the city of Baghdad ,showed
the most important results of that two-thirds of the asssets of an urban sample
compared to one third of them from rural aelcyrounds and that there is
arelationship

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 29 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
توظيف شخصيات التراث الديني في شعر أديب کمال الدين
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 Using religious characters which come from religion is a significant means that poets applied in their texts. The Iraqi poet Adib Kamal Aldin applied religious characters as an active means helping the theme of the text and playing a great role in expanding the meanings and their implications in the text. 

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 20 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التحليل الداللي للكلمات المستبدلة في سورتي المؤمنون و النور
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The words in the Holy Qur’an are distinguished by the
accuracy of expression, their elegance, the lightness of their
performance, the harmony of their timbre, as well as the ease of
their pronunciation. We find the coarse words in which the
movement of sounds and the hesitation of the soul are mixed, as
it was distinguished by the abundance of its words indicating the
same meaning without a phenomenon that the reader or the
listener notices

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الامام الإمام الطرطوشي (520هـ) وآراؤه الفقهية في الأحوال الشخصية
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This research deals with the ideas of Imam Muhammad bin Al-Waleed bin Khalaf bin Sulaiman bin Ayyub , Al -Qurashi, The Moroccan, The  Andalusian, Al-Maliki. He was  known as Abu Bakr Al-Tartoushey , where thesis deals  with the details of his personal life and as well as his scientific path  as well as  his works, and also covered the views of jurisprudence in the personal status and especially on the subject of divorce and inheritance,

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 04 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
دراسة دراسة في أعلام بغداد الأب أنستانس الكرملي أنموذجا
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The study of the Baghdad personalities is an important issue because the owners of these personalities usually belong to the elite, which play a distinct role in the development of any society in all political, economic, social and cultural fields. These include the study of the personal personality of Father Anastas Marie Carmeli to highlight many aspects of personality And his clear fingerprints on the movement of society in the field of culture and thought

    That Karamli's efforts in the field of language, literature and history made him one of the most prominent pioneers of Renaissance late in the history of modern Iraq

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