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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
سلوك السائح ودوره في تحديد النمط السياحي
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المقدمة

تعد السياحة احد مستلزمات الحضارة الحديثة لما تفرزه من آثار ايجابية ودور متميز في دعم الاقتصاد الوطني وتقليل نسبة البطالة وتنشيط الحركة التجارية بين البلدان، اذ لا يمكن ان نتصور وجود بلد متحضر بلا فنادق ولا سياحة وتقديم مختلف السلع والخدمات سياحية التي يمكن ان تسبع الحاجات والرغبات واذواق السياح من خلال  وجود منشآت سياحية تعكس النمط السياحي القائم على اختلاف انواعه

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 07 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
سياسة سياسة الخلفاء العباسيين في المجال الزراعي
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       سار العباسيون على نفس النهج الذي كان عليه الأمويين في كثير من الانظمه والتقاليد والسياسات على الرغم من إن الدولة العباسية كانت تمثل بداية لعصر جديد في تاريخ الإسلام(1)،ومن تلك الأنظمة التي ورثوها عن الأمويين  وطوروها هي اهتمامهم بالنظام الزراعي منذ بداية قيام دولتهم وهنا سنحاول تقديم بعض الانجازات

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 04 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
استحصال الخبرات اللغوية للأطفال في مرحلة الرياض
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تنبع أهمية البحث من أهمية الخبرات اللغوية التي يكتسبها الأطفال في مرحلة الرياض لما لها من أهمية بالغة في تطوير النمو اللغوي لطفل الرياض وزيادة ذخيرته اللغوية في المرحلة المستقبلية القادمة.

أن ما يكتسبه الطفل في مرحلة الرياض من ألفاظٍ وكلمات تساعد على تنمية محصوله اللغوي وتمكنهُ من النطق اللغوي السليم وتطوير قابليتهِ على تكوين الجُمل والعبارات السليمة التي تُمهد لدخولهِ المرحلة الابتدائ

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 23 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
جغرافية جغرافية المدن في كتب التراث الجغرافي
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The Heritage geographical Arab-Muslim of great value in the history of the evolution of thought geographical The themes of cities, like other subjects heritage books geographical Islamic related to geography descriptive and regional were subject to the style of Arabic writing,

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
القنوات القنوات المحفورة في الصخر لجر المياه
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Archaeological waste in the field of irrigation and watering methods, with its agricultural experience and skills, is one of the most significant achievements of the ancients, and perhaps our study area, the province of Aurès, which is located east of Algeria, bears witness to these achievements in the light of geological, geographic and topographic data. Although the inhabitants of this territory have used many techniques for the various civilizations

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة جامعة الامام الصادق
النطاق القانوني لاكتساب الحيازة المؤهلة في المصارف
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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنافع المنافع الحيوانية الواردة في القرآن الكريم
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Quran is a basic reference of production it is as a source to all sciences, Ayat of Quran would mention the importance of benefits of animals.  Quran contain full surrat named in animal names as Al-Baqara that is to clarify its benefits and importance in human’s life.

 

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 28 2024
Journal Name
مجلة بحوث الشرق الاوسط
أيديولوجيا العنف في الفكر الاسلامي : داعش أنموذجاً
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أيديولوجيا العنف في الفكر الاسلامي : داعش أنموذجاً

Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
سياسات الاصلاح النقدي في جمهورية الصين الشعبية
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سياسات الاصلاح النقدي في جمهورية الصين الشعبية

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنهج التجريبي والمنهج الرياضي في فلسفة الكندي
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الكندي هو ابو يوسف يعقوب بن اسحاق بن الصباح . كما هو عند ابن جلجل (1) بن عمران بن اسماعيل بن محمد بن الأشعث بن قيس الكندي . كما يضيف ابن النديم(2) كان أبوه اسحق بن الصباح أميرا ً على الكوفة للمهدي والرشيد . على ما يقرره ابن نباته المصري(3) ، كان جده الأشعت بن قيس من أصحاب النبي الكريم وكان قبل ذلك ملكا ً على جميع(كندة)

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