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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التراث الجامعة
دور الرسول صلى الله عليه وسلم في مجال تنظيم الادارة العامة وتطبيق مبدأ الشورى في ادارة الدولة الاسلامية
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Publication Date
Sun Oct 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
خزائن خزائن كتب المساجد والأربطة البغدادية في كتاب تلخيص مجمع الآداب في معجم الألقاب لابن الفوطي(ت723هـ/1323م)
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The Abbasid period is one of the most fertile Islamic ages attention to the bookcases have been prominent of each of the caliphs, ministers and dignitaries acquisition of books and stop in the coffers of public books, so that the largest number of students of science to see them. Baghdad's portfolio of scientific status in the late Abbasid times, which was characterized by weakness and division

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر إستراتيجية خلايا التعلم في تنمية التفكير الناقد والتفكير التأملي لدى طلاب الصف الخامس الأدبي في مادة الجغرافية
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Find extract This research aims to find out (after learning strategy cells in the development of critical thinking and reflective thinking at the fifth-grade students in the geographic literary material). And follow researcher Almhnj demo for the purpose of achieving the goals of current research and design on an experimental group and a control with a test group after me and adopted chose researcher sample Find a way Mqsidih students of junior high Kadhimiya Boys of the breeding Baghdad / Karkh II and to verify the effectiveness of the search coined researcher hypotheses following cases: - 1. No statistically significant between the mean scores of the experimental group and the students taught her students that strategy differences (lea

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Publication Date
Sun May 31 2026
Journal Name
Imam Jaafar Al-sadiq University Journal Of Human And Social Sciences
قياس فجوة تطبيق ابعاد القيادة الملهمة في المنظمات العامة بحث تحليلي في المديريات العامة لمقـــــــــــــــــــــــــــر وزارة التربية العراقية
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يهدف البحث الى قياس مدى التطبيق والتبني للقيادة الملهمة في المنظمات العامة، وقد اشتقت مشكلة البحث النظرية من وجود فجوة معرفية وذلك لقلة الدراسات والبحوث التي تناولت متغير البحث بأبعاده (الرؤية المستقبلية، الثقة بالنفس، تمكين العاملين، ادارة التغيير)، واعتمد البحث المنهج التحليلي عن طريق استعمال الاستبانة في المنظمة التي تم اختيارها وذلك لكونها تعد من المنظمات الاساسية في تقديم الخدمات التعليمية المهمة في

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 02 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر استراتيجية تنال القمر في مهارات ما وراء المعرفة في مادة علم الاحياء لدى طالبات الصف الرابع العلمي
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وللتحقق  من هدف البحث  صيغت الفرضية الصفرية الاتية:

  • لا توجد فروق ذات دلالة احصائية عند مستوى (0.05 ) بين متوسط درجات طالبات المجموعة التجريبية التي درست وفقا لاستراتيجية (تنال القمر ) ومتوسط درجات طالبات المجموعة الضابطة التي درست على وفق الطريقة الاعتيادية في مقياس مهارات ما وراء المعرفة .

ولأجل التحقق من صحة هذه الفرضية اجرت الباحثة  تجربة استغرقت الفصل الدراسي

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الآداب
العمود الومضة وتجلياته في الشعر العراقي المعاصر
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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
اسلوبية التصوير في شعر التصوف قراءة نقدية
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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
التداوي بالأعضاء والأجزاء الآدمیّة في المنظور الإسلامي
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In a controversy between the intellectuals and doctors of Legal and Islamic
scholars, about the legality of medication organs and human parts, comes this
study, in order to reveal the controls of Islamic in that issue above, and to show the
effectiveness of Islam and its role, and the extent needed in the treatment of
problems intractable, and the resolution of the controversy in the case above, in
order to preserve the human dignity and the right integration of physical, and
prevents from Aptmalh, and included in the financial contracts, and to achieve that
goal, presented the study to the issue of the rule of medication and look to Islam to
him, and the rule of therapeutics in human organs, and the views of Almj

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 27 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
دور اعادة التأمين في تغطية الاخطار الكوارثية
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The re-insurance of    the same important   role in the development programs and activities that reinsurance  companies   and   their   level    of development and the mechanisms of action and the laws that govern the relationship between the re-insurance companies and direct companies reflect the cultural level and degree of progress of any country.                                                     &n

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 11 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
البيروني البيروني وجهوده العلمي في الرياضيات والفيزياء
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    He was born in one of  suburbs of Khawarzm in 362 AH and he was  died in 440 AH.  Newton and Gregor quote from him the  mathematical laws in the interpolation and he laid the first foundations for trig.

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