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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 08 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الإشاعة في ضوء القرآن الكريم
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شغلت الإشاعة حيزا مهما من اهتمام العلوم الاجتماعية وكانت مادة بحث في علم النفس الفردي وعلم النفس الاجتماعي وعلم الاجتماع والسياسة. ويأتي هذا الاهتمام الكبير والمتواصل بالإشاعة لآثارها الخطيرة على حياة الأفراد والمجتمعات في أوقات السلم والحرب.

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2014
Journal Name
دار الجواهري للنشر والطباعة
الميسر في موسيقى الشعر العربي
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الميسر في موسيقى الشعر العربي

Publication Date
Sun Mar 26 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الأصوات اللثوية في اللغة العربية
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The Arabic language has always been and still is the preoccupation of our scholars, both advanced and late, because of the amazing secrets that this language holds. What distinguished it from the rest of the languages ​​is that its owners speak with sounds that others are unable to pronounce, except by vigorous attempts, and these voices include za’, middle and extreme hamza, and ha’.

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 22 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مرقد السيدة نرجس في سامراء
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يعدّ مرقد السيدة نرجس كاحد  المعالم القديمة المقدسة في العالم الإسلامي،
لابدّ من تسليط الضوء على شخصية السيدة نرجس عليها السلام

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Publication Date
Mon May 02 2016
Journal Name
مكتبة السيسبان بغداد
دراسات في قانون التجارة الدولية
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دراسات في قانون التجارة الدولية

Publication Date
Sun Nov 04 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الالعاب الألعاب في التراث البغدادي
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In conclusion, I should mention that a lot of Alabaltrathih disappeared and no longer practiced in the present invention of alternatives to it like a game Almsra practiced by children for many generations by Almsra wooden, replaced Almsra-mail, or game Aledo.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الازمات الادارية في المجال التربوي
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  اهميه البحث :

ان ظاهره الصراع هي احدى حقائق العلاقات منذ فجر التاريخ ,وعالم اليوم يتميز بالمتغيرات السريعه التي اسفرت عن توترات شتى , تؤكد اتصافه بالكيانات الكبرى والمصالح المتباينه وعلى الرغم من التقدم الحضاري وثبات الدعائم والاسس التي تقوم عليها العلاقات فان العالم يتسم بتعدد الازمات التي يواجهها والناجمه عن اختلال توازنات القوى الكبرىوتزايد اطماعها مع سعي القوى الصغرى الى تحقيق مز

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 02 2007
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
العلمانية في الفكر الصهيوني المعاصر
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العلمانية في الفكر الصهيوني المعاصر

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Nesrin Erbil'in Şiirlerinde Üzüntü
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Nesrin Erbil, Çağdaş Türk şiirinin kıvançla söyliyebileceğimiz öncü bir isimdir. Gerçek aşk, ayrılık, üzüntü, sevgiliye hasretin yetiştirdiği ve olanaksızlıklara haykıran bir sesidir. O bir Türkcesine tüm zencirleri kıran engelleri aşan sevgiyle sevgiye ve sevgiliye koşan kendi başına bir yaratıcılıktır. Şiirleri Erbil kokar yumuşak saçının tellerini Altın Köprü suyuyla yıkamayı diler. Yüreği ise Gürgür Baba’dır Türkmen için yanar.

          Nesrin Erbil, 1960 yılından sonra Irak’ta gelişen yeni Türk edebiyatı ve serbest şiir akımının en önde gelen temsilcisi olarak, büyük ilgi toplamıştır. Şiire karşı olan merak

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Basic Education
الجودة الشاملة في التعليم العالي
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