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The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 13 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
قبيلة قبيلة همدان في التاريخ العربي في عصري قبل الإسلام وصدره
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Hamdan tribe had considered one of the biggest tribe in Yemen. It contained many branches, thus, it had distributed in many cities and for this reason , it was different in their warship. it was one of the tribe that had many courageous men .

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 31 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
التعارض بين الرواية والفتوى وأثره في اختلاف الفقهاء في أحكام العبادات
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فإن مسألة التعارض بين الرواية، والفتوى، من المسائل المشهورة عند الأصوليين والفقهاء، وهي من مباحث السنة عند الأصوليين، والتي تبنى عليها مسائل متعددة، وهي من أسباب اختلاف الفقهاء، فإذا ما روى أحد الرواة حديثاً معيناً، ثم عمل بخلاف ما روى، فللعلماء في ذلك خلاف، مبني على أن العبرة بروايته

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 15 2019
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية للبنات
واقع تطبيق عمليات ادارة المعرفة في كليات التربية في جامعة بغداد
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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الاداب الجامعة المستنصرية
منصة زوم ودورها في تقديم خدمات المعلومات في ضل جائحة كورونا
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
مجلة ابحاث ميسان
دور مؤسسات التعليم العالي في تعزيز قيم المواطنة في المجتمع العراقي
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دور مؤسسات التعليم العالي في تعزيز قيم المواطنة في المجتمع العراقي

Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
مجلة كلية المأمون الجامعة
دور المصفي في انهاء اعمال الشركات التجارية في القانون العراقي والمقارن
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يبخث البحث في عملية انهاء وتصفية الوجود المالي للشركة ودور المصفي في انهاءه واعطاء كل ذي حق حقه

Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
نظرات في آراء العلَّامة فؤاد سِزكين"1924ـ2018" في الشِّعر النِّسوي الأندلسي
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The Andalusi woman’s poetry forms a point upon which there has been much vagueness and prejudice may be because of the distorted versions that have recorded the women’s heritage. The

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات محاسبية ومالية
استخدام نموذج Sherrod في التنبؤ بالفشل المالي في المصارف الخاصة العراقية: دراسة تطبيقية في مصرفي التجاري العراقي والعراقي الاسلامي
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The phenomenon of financial failure is one of the phenomena that requires special attention and in-depth study due to its significant impact on various parties, whether they are internal or external and those who benefit from financial performance reports. With the increase in cases of bankruptcy and default facing companies and banks, interest has increased in understanding the reasons that led to this financial failure. This growing interest should be a reason to develop models and analytical methods that help in the early detection of this increasing phenomenon in recent year . The research examines the use of Sherrod's model in predicting financial failure in Iraqi private banks. The researchers relied on this mathematical model to anal

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 11 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
علاقة العوامل الحرجة لنقل المعرفة في فرص النجاح الاستراتيجي" (بحث ميداني في عدد من الكليات الاهلية في مدينة بغداد)
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المستخلص: تناول البحث الحالي " علاقة العوامل الحرجة لنقل المعرفة في فرص النجاح الاستراتيجي " إذ يحظى موضوعيّ نقل المعرفة والنجاح الاستراتيجي باهتمام متزايد لكونهما من الموضوعات المهمة والمعاصرة، والتي لها تأثير كبير على وجود المنظمات ومستقبلها. ويهدف البحث الى الوقوف على العوامل الحرجة لنقل المعرفة في بيئة التعليم الأهلي العالي والتي تُمكن ( الكليات الأهلية المبحوثة ) من تحقيق نجاحها الاستراتيجي وقد سعى الب

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
مجلة اداب المستنصرية
اثر استعمال نظرية التلقي في تحصيل طلبة قسم اللغة العربية لمادة الادب الاسلامي في كلية الآداب في الجامعة العراقية
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